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Free NFL Pick: Broncos at Raiders

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The Denver Broncos travel to the Bay Area to take on the Oakland Raiders. Denver is a 1.5 point favorite.  The top expert in beating the NFL betting line GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com says to take the Broncos. Here is why:  

As we said many times, Denver is going to be undervalued for the early part of the year because few realize how getting rid of Jay Cutler was a huge addition by subtraction. Cutler is the most overrated QB in the NFL since Jeff George, though today’s opponent JaMarcus Russell is insistent on grabbing that title.

The Broncos have the most improved defense in the league because they are no longer the worst team in the NFL in the most overlooked category: incompletions on offense. It’s certainly not a disregarded statistic among professional bettors.  

Last year the Broncos defense was always on the field, now they spending more time where defenses perform best: the sidelines.

Meanwhile Correll Buckhalter is one of the most underrated players in the NFL; overlooked because he never seems to finish a year. However, he’s healthy now and averaging 8.4 yards per carry. Yes we know Knowshown Moreno missed practice Friday, but he should play, giving the Broncos a great under-the-radar 1-2 punch. Again, this two headed monster is helping keep the defense off the field, the polar opposite of last year.

Forcing JaMarcus Russell to make bad decisions is the key to beating Oakland. Well Denver OLB Elvis Dumervil had four sacks last week. Denver will often clog up the box and force Russell to pass. Incredibly he has only eight completions to wideouts this season, six to a rookie Louis Murphy. Russell’s inability to read his progressions and unmitigated incompetence make him easy to scheme against.

Yes Nnamdi Asomugha is a great shutdown corner for Oakland, but he can only cover one guy in Denver’s three-receiver set. With Brandon Marshall keeping his head on for the time being, he will keep Asomugha busy. This will open up the field for the rest of the receiving corps. 

The Raiders are also without RG Robert Gallery, a key loss indeed. The Broncos have been very good on both sides of the ball.

Denver is getting 6.2 yards per play against teams normally allowing 5.8 while allowing 4.5 yards per play to teams normally getting 4.9. This includes holding squads to 2.9 yards per rush, .8 yards below their average.

Compare that to the Raiders, a team that gets 3.8 yards per rush against teams normally allowing 4.2, 5.7 yards per pass to 6.4 and 4.7 yards per play to 5.2.

The pick: Denver -1.5 at BetUs Sportsbook.

For more information: Off a 6-1 NFL week last week, GodsTips has the AFC Inter-Divisional Game of the Year among seven NFL winners at OffshoreInsiders.com. That includes three NFL Wise Guys and four Majors. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.  Click now to purchase the entire card for $17.  

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NFL Lines: Colts vs Cardinals

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The fans at University of Phoenix Stadium will be treated to a game between the Indianapolis Colts and the Arizona Cardinals when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Cardinals listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Colts, while the game’s total is sitting at 48½.
Peyton Manning’s 48-yard touchdown pass to Pierre Garcon with 3:29 on the clock lifted the Colts past the Dolphins 27-23 in Week 2.
Indianapolis covered as 3.5-point road favorites, while the game played OVER the 44-point total set by oddsmakers.
The Cardinals defeated Jacksonville 31-17 as a 3-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (44).
Kurt Warner passed for 243 yards with a pair of touchdowns for Arizona and Tim Hightower rushed for 72 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries.
Current streak:
Indianapolis has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Indianapolis: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
Arizona: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Indianapolis most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing outside the division are 8-2

Arizona most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis’s last 9 games on the road
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Arizona’s last 14 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Next up:
Indianapolis home to Seattle, Sunday, October 4
Arizona home to Houston, Sunday, October 11

 

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NFL Handicapping: Broncos vs Raiders

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The Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders will meet on the gridiron at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on Sunday in a battle of division rivals.
Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 2-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.
The Broncos defeated Cleveland 27-6 as a 3-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (38.5).
Correll Buckhalter rushed for 76 yards and a touchdown on nine carries for Denver, while Kyle Orton passed for 263 yards with a touchdown.
The Raiders defeated Kansas City 13-10 as a 1.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (40).
Darren McFadden rushed for 35 yards and the game-winning touchdown on 12 carries, while JaMarcus Russell passed for 109 yards in the win.
Current streak:
Denver has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Denver: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS
Oakland: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS
Denver most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 5-5

Oakland most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Denver is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland’s last 15 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Next up:
Denver home to Dallas, Sunday, October 4
Oakland at Houston, Sunday, October 4

 

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NFL Football Betting: Dolphins vs Chargers

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The Miami Dolphins and the San Diego Chargers will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Qualcomm Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Chargers listed as 6-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game’s total is sitting at 44.

Ronnie Brown rushed for 136 yards on 24 carries with two scores for the Dolphins in their 27-23 loss to the Colts in Week 2.

Indianapolis covered as 3.5-point road favorites, while the game played OVER the 44-point total set by oddsmakers.

The Chargers lost to Baltimore 31-26 as a 1-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (41).

Philip Rivers passed for 436 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for Baltimore, while Vincent Jackson caught six passes for 141 yards and a touchdown.

Current streak:
Miami has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Miami: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
San Diego: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS

Miami most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4

San Diego most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing San Diego
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego’s last 7 games
San Diego is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home

Next up:
Miami home to Buffalo, Sunday, October 4
San Diego at Pittsburgh, Sunday, October 4
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NFL Odds: Steelers vs Bengals

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Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Sunday when the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals meet at Paul Brown Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Steelers listed as 4-point favorites versus the Bengals, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.
The Steelers lost to Chicago 17-14 as a 3-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (38.5).
Ben Roethlisberger rushed for 221 yards with a touchdown pass, an interception and a TD run, while Santonio Holmes caught five passes for 83 yards.
The Bengals defeated Green Bay 31-24 as a 7.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (42).
Carson Palmer passed for 185 yards with three touchdown passes, two interceptions and a TD run for Cincinnati, while Chad Ochocinco caught four passes for 91 yards and a touchdown in the win.
Team records:
Pittsburgh: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
Cincinnati: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 9-1

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-6-1
After outgaining opponent are 5-4-1
When playing within the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games at home
Next up:
Pittsburgh home to San Diego, Sunday, October 4
Cincinnati at Cleveland, Sunday, October 4

 

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NFL Football Handicapping: Bears vs Seahawks

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The Chicago Bears and the Seattle Seahawks will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Qwest Field.
Oddsmakers currently have the Bears listed as 3-point favorites versus the Seahawks, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.
The Bears defeated Pittsburgh 17-14 as a 3-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (38.5).
Jay Cutler passed for 236 yards with two touchdowns for Chicago and Johnny Knox caught six passes for 70 yards and a touchdown.
The Seahawks lost to San Francisco 23-10 as a 1-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39.5).
Seneca Wallace threw for 127 yards with a touchdown and an interception in place of the injured Matt Hasselbeck for Seattle and T.J. Houshmandzadeh caught four passes for 62 yards.
Team records:
Chicago: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Seattle: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Chicago most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Seattle most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago’s last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago’s last 10 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle’s last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle’s last 11 games
Seattle is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Next up:
Chicago home to Detroit, Sunday, October 4
Seattle at Indianapolis, Sunday, October 4

 

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NFL Football Odds: Saints vs Bills

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The fans at Ralph Wilson Stadium will be treated to a game between the New Orleans Saints and the Buffalo Bills when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as 6-point favorites versus the Bills, while the game’s total is sitting at 52.
The Saints defeated Philadelphia 48-22 as a 2.5-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (46).
Drew Brees passed for 311 yards with three touchdowns and an interception for New Orleans, while Marques Colston caught eight passes for 98 yards and a two touchdowns.
The Bills defeated Tampa Bay 33-20 as a 4-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (42).
Trent Edwards passed for 230 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Buffalo and Fred Jackson rushed for 163 yards on 28 carries.
Current streak:
New Orleans has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
New Orleans: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS
Buffalo: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS
New Orleans most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 8-2

Buffalo most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games
Buffalo is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Next up:
New Orleans home to NY Jets, Sunday, October 4
Buffalo at Miami, Sunday, October 4

 

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NFL Football Lines: Browns vs Ravens

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The Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at M&T Bank Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Ravens listed as 14-point favorites versus the Browns, while the game’s total is sitting at 38½.
The Browns lost to Denver 27-6 as a 3-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (38.5).
Brady Quinn threw for 161 yard with an interception for Cleveland, while Braylon Edwards caught six passes for 92 yards.
The Ravens defeated San Diego 31-26 as a 1-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (41).
Joe Flacco passed for 190 yards with a pair of touchdowns and an interception for Baltimore, while Willis McGahee rushed for 79 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 15 carries in the win.
Current streak:
Cleveland has lost 2 straight games.
Baltimore has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Cleveland: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
Baltimore: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS
Cleveland most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the division are 3-7

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland’s last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Next up:
Cleveland home to Cincinnati, Sunday, October 4
Baltimore at New England, Sunday, October 4

 

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NFL Handicapping: Packers vs Rams

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The fans at Edward Jones Dome will be treated to a game between the Green Bay Packers and the St. Louis Rams when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Packers listed as 7-point favorites versus the Rams, while the game’s total is sitting at 41½.
The Packers lost to Cincinnati 31-24 as a 7.5-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (42).
Aaron Rodgers passed for 261 yards with a touchdown for Green Bay and Donald Driver caught six passes for 99 yards with a TD.
The Rams lost to Washington 9-7 as a 10-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).
Marc Bulger threw for 123 yards with a touchdown for St. Louis and Laurent Robinson caught six passes for 54 yards with a TD.
Current streak:
St. Louis has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Green Bay: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
St. Louis: 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS
Green Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 2-8

St. Louis most recently:
When playing in September are 0-10
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Green Bay is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis’s last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis’s last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Next up:
Green Bay at Minnesota, Monday, October 5
St. Louis at San Francisco, Sunday, October 4

 

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NFL Football Gambling: Titans vs Jets

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The Tennessee Titans and the New York Jets will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Giants Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Jets listed as 3-point favorites versus the Titans, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.
The Titans lost to Houston 34-31 as a 7-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40.5).
Chris Johnson rushed for 197 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries for Tennessee and he also caught nine passes for 87 yards and a TD.
The Jets defeated New England 16-9 as a 3.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (45).
Mark Sanchez passed for 163 yards with a touchdown for New York, while Dustin Keller caught three passes for 22 yards and a TD.
Current streak:
Tennessee has lost 2 straight games.
New York has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Tennessee: 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS
New York: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS
Tennessee most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3

New York most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee’s last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tennessee’s last 10 games when playing NY Jets
Tennessee is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
NY Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games
NY Jets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tennessee
NY Jets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home
Next up:
Tennessee at Jacksonville, Sunday, October 4
NY Jets at New Orleans, Sunday, October 4

 

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