“My reliable sources tell me that Michael Vick is doubtful and he has, “struggled just to put on his clothes,” reports Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports betting site in the world.

While Duffy and Performance Gap Analysis continue to thrive in sports betting, another Vegas insider group is also having one of the best football seasons in terms of betting. ScoresOddsPicks nailed New England easily and the over as the Monday Night Best Bet Total of the Month. The pro bettors at ScoresOddsPicks are on a 9-2 overall short-term run with both standard picks and named plays. Get a named play, the Tuesday Night Lock of the Year on Troy and Middle Tennessee State. The latest point spread winner is up for Tuesday night football.

Here was the latest sweep:

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins – Monday at 8:30 p.m. ET

The Patriots (2-1, 1-2 ATS) 38-30 victory over the Bills. New England failed to cover the 14.5-point spread, and the game served as a microcosm of how this season is likely to go for the Pats: a great offense mixed with a terrible defense. Tom Brady continued his great start in 2010, completing 21 of 27 passes for 252 yards and three touchdowns against the Bills. He’s doing a great job spreading the football around, as seven different players caught passes. Brady was also aided by an improved running game. BenJarvis Green-Ellis rushed 16 times for 98 yards and a touchdown.

The defense, however, is a nightmare. The Pats are allowing a whopping 27 points per outing, and giving up 30 to the Bills is just embarrassing. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed over 70 percent of his passes against the overwhelmed secondary while the ground game racked up 134 yards and averaged 5.6 yards per pop. Last but not least, New England was burned for a touchdown on special teams. There’s no question Brady and Co. are in playoff form, but the “D” has some tremendous catching up to do.

Miami (2-1, 2-1 ATS) lost a 31-23 heartbreaker to the Jets last week (the Dolphins failed to cover as a one-point favorite). The team has nobody to blame but itself, especially after Chad Henne drove the Dolphins inside the 20-yard-line with seconds remaining. Despite managing to tie the game up, Henne should be applauded for a great game. He threw for a career high 363 yards and added a pair of touchdown passes. That said, the coaching staff could do a better job balancing the offense. Henne had 44 pass attempts, while running backs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams combined for just 18 carries (for 82 yards). Running the football is Miami’s bread and butter, so expect to see more of that on Monday night.

The Dolphins were exposed in a few areas on defense in last week’s loss to New York. Tight end Dustin Keller had a great day, racking up 98 yards and two touchdowns. The Pats have utilized a pair of rookie tight ends very well this season—Aaron Hernandez and Ron Gronkowski have combined for 18 catches for 269 yards and two touchdowns—so that will be a factor in tonight’s game.

There are some nice match ups for the Patriots to exploit in this one, particularly at tight end. Miami is going to rack up some points and you’re best bet is to take the over on the total. Look for Brady to continue his fine season, outduel Henne, and lead the Pats to a shootout victory.

The over is the Monday Night Best Bet Total of the Month

New England is a standard play

The personal bets of the Vegas syndicate are on OffshoreInsiders.com

“It is literally the DNA of football handicapping,” says Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports betting site in the world.

Duffy has announced the permanent capitalization of sports handicapping’s version of DNA:  employing a popular and scholarly business and economics tool, Performance Gap Analysis and applying it to sports betting in exploiting oddsmaker errors.

Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, they’ve developed a “performance gap analysis”. It’s based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.

Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and are more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.

The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter. Any dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside, overvalued and undervalued teams.

However Duffy puts the fears of long-time clients to rest, “This newest weapon merely tests and more times than not corroborates and substantiates our existing football handicapping methods,” assures Duffy.

But much like DNA in the courtroom, it will occasionally refute the preponderance of evidence and has cancelled a small percentage of bets.

“We’ve been quietly availing ourselves to this prototype, but more so in hypothesis test mode,” informs Duffy.

However, only a small percentage of bets will be affected. In some cases, plays will be upgraded, others slightly downgraded, while a small minority cancelled.

By upgrading and downgrading, it does not mean simply changing a Major to Wise Guy or visa versa.

When weighing their preponderance of evidence, certain potential picks are often “on the bubble” so further validation will upgrade so-called “strong leans” to premium picks.

“Performance Gap Analysis does not supersede or replace our time-tested and proven techniques,” reassures Duffy.

Among the procedures long mastered by Duffy include:

Situational: letdown, look ahead, and “sandwich” games; revenge, motivational, intangibles, etc.

Matchups of strengths and weaknesses: using some of the top experts including subscribing to real “scout services”. This is of course very much taking into consideration injuries.

Computer systems: most importantly knowing that to be statistically significant, the system must have a z-rating of 4.5 or better or at least 80 units on the plus side based on one-unit per bet.

Contrarian info: Betting with the sharp and against the square bettor.

Realizing the top expert is not the only expert: The famed competitor consensus plays. If they have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources that GodsTips respects has a big pick on a certain side, they pass along as a competitor consensus.

Outlaw lines: The official outlaw line is what the point spread would be without any adjustments to public perception. GodsTips exploits the dichotomy.

Comparing splits: home/road variances are contrasted with overall numbers. Most importantly, knowledge of how to utilize the data and many squares abuse it.

With information hotter than Jaime Edmondson, here is week 4 injury info for week 5 NFL picks.

For both fantasy football fans and NFL betting sharps, Week 4 was a bitter pill to swallow, as injuries affected several games. Let’s sort through the wreckage with an early injury report.

Michael Vick, Eagles: RIBS

Is the Eagles’ season about to go south in a hurry? Michael Vick has been one of football’s most exciting stories in 2010 but his glory may be short-lived thanks to a nasty hit he took in Philly’s loss to Washington on Sunday. As he walked off the field grimacing, it looked like he broke a rib or his collarbone. For now, the Eagles are calling him “day to day or week to week” with a rib cartilage injury. It’s still too early to tell how long he’ll be out and whether or not the injury will affect his throwing motion.

Jay Cutler, Bears: CONCUSSION

Poor Jay Cutler took nine sacks in just two quarters against the New York Giants before exiting with a concussion on Sunday night. Reportedly, he’s “doing OK” and may not miss any time, but the Bears’ offensive line is so bad that we should expect Cutler to take more big shots and get hurt again.

Darren McFadden, Raiders: HAMSTRING

Just when it looked like Run DMC was about to become a superstar…he gets hurt again. McFadden injured his hamstring and looks like he’ll turn over the running back reins to Michael Bush for at least a week.

LeSean McCoy, Eagles: RIBS

This news only broke today. Apparently more than one Philly skill player got his ribs banged up on Sunday. Starting running back LeSean McCoy fractured a rib in the defeat. If he doesn’t miss the Eagles’ next game, he’ll still probably be limited. The Eagles’ NFL futures suddenly don’t look like they did even one week ago.

Clinton Portis, Redskins: GROIN

The creaky veteran Portis showed surprising burst yesterday before “hearing his groin pop.” Ouch. Looks like Ryan Torain will get the lion’s share of the carries if Portis is out for a while. It certainly looks like he will be.

Pierre Thomas, Saints: ANKLE

Thomas didn’t play at all yesterday as he had trouble planting or cutting on his ankle before the Saints’ game against Carolina. Thomas’ Week 5 status is uncertain but, after Ladell Betts and Christopher Ivory did fine in his stead, perhaps the Saints won’t rush Thomas back.

Steve Smith, Panthers: ANKLE

We already had enough reasons to avoid betting on Carolina – but now Panthers’ top wideout Steve Smith is out with a high ankle sprain. The Panthers have a bye in Week 6 so we probably won’t see him until Week 7. Then again, Smith is a famously quick healer. Remember when he broke his arm over the summer?

Las Vegas betting odds are up for NFL picks and predictions on the New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins.

The bookmaker’s point spread is New England -1 or a pick.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Patriots are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games in October, 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games as a road favorite.

Dolphins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC East, but 15-40-1 ATS in their last 56 home games. The road team is 5-1 in the series.

Over/under trends: Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games overall. Under is 7-1 in Dolphins last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Top expert pick on this game: ScoresOddsPicks is beyond volcanic. Since the Hall-of-Fame Game, the pro bettors are 15-3 with pro football named plays. This includes three moneyline underdogs. Yesterday it was Washington outright over Philadelphia as the Football Best Bet Year to Date. Oh it was. ScoresOddsPicks is having one of the great pro football betting seasons ever recorded including NFLX.

Get the Monday Night Best Bet Total of the Month plus a standard play on the side. Oh, all picks are 7-2 the last two days. Click now to purchase

The posted online sportsbook’s total is 48 to 48.5.

Yes all the Monday Night Football picks are up and so are the odds to win the World Series. Baseball handicappers are monitoring yankees.mlb.com, phillies.mlb.com, rays.mlb.com, rangers.mlb.com and every important website for the latest DCS playoff round breaking news. The Philadelphia Phillies are the favorites, followed by Yankees baseball and surprisingly the Tampa Rays are tied with the devils as No. 2.

Courtesy of OddsShark.com: Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: A pair of AFC East division rivals clash on the gridiron as the Dolphins play host to the Pats down in Miami on Monday Night Football.

Colliding on the gridiron . . .

Monday Night Football this week has New England at Miami, with both of those teams looking to run their records to 3-1 on the season. The Patriots (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) needed 38 points to get past the lowly Bills 38-30 at home last week. Tom Brady went 21-of-27 for 252 yards passing for the Patriots in that victory, with three touchdown strikes and no interceptions. BenJarvus Green-Ellis ran for 98 yards and a score for New England that day. The Dolphins (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) are coming off a 31-23 home loss to the Jets in Week 3, as Chad Henne went 26-of-44 for 363 yards passing with two touchdowns and one interception. Oddsmakers have set Brady and the Patriots as 1-point road favorites for the Monday night contest, while the total for the matchup sits at 46.5 points.

Top expert pick on tonight’s card…

Oh GodsTips is 6-0 with college and pro football Wise Guys this week: BYU under Friday; Navy, TCU-under, Boise State under Saturday. Sunday it was the AFC Game of the Year on Cleveland, plus San Francisco to make it 6-0 with Wise Guys this week and 11-3 the last 14 football Wise Guys. But your wallet says that wasn’t even the biggest pick.

That was Jacksonville +280 as the first and only moneyline pick this season. Wow, get a Wise Guy side and a Major play on the total MNF Patriots vs. Dolphins. Click now to purchase

This week’s football schedule includes the Monday Night Football ESPN contest between the Patriots and Dolphins.

OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at the football betting match-up using key numbers employed by professional gamblers.

In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to New England by a .8 margin.

As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for New England, but surprisingly by a negligible .1.

According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is New England’s by six yards, a strong edge.

Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is New England by a trifle .1.

The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion is also by the Pats, but by just .1.

The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is Miami’s by 4.4

Who to bet on according to the football betting experts against the spread. Oh GodsTips is 6-0 with college and pro football Wise Guys this week: BYU under Friday; Navy, TCU-under, Boise State under Saturday. Sunday it was the AFC Game of the Year on Cleveland, plus San Francisco to make it 6-0 with Wise Guys this week and 11-3 the last 14 football Wise Guys. But your wallet says that wasn’t even the biggest pick.

That was Jacksonville +280 as the first and only moneyline pick this season. Wow, get a Wise Guy side and a Major play on the total MNF Patriots vs. Dolphins. Click now to purchase

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

GodsTips sweeps Wise Guys Friday, Saturday, and Sunday to improve to 11-3 with all football Wise Guys led by the Browns as the AFC Game of the Year from the top sports handicapper of all-time.

Overall it was 4-1 with a Wise Guy on the 49ers, plus Major plays on the Jets and Panthers, both easy covers from the top expert on football handicapping the NFL.

Here is what the pro gamblers got.

Wise Guy…

CLEVELAND +3 Cincinnati

AFC Game of the Year

As far as one of our favorite and productive truism, predictably unpredictable, that is the Cincinnati Bengals for sure. There is no way they win two straight on the road and three straight overall.

In fact, they opened up the year against New England, so this would be a perfect spot for a letdown even for a consistent team.

Cleveland is actually pretty competitive losing all three games by a touchdown or less.

We have said time and time again, straight up won-loss stats are the most overrated facet of handicapping. Looking to the key indicators, Cleveland gets 1.3 more yards per rush offensively than the road favorites do.  They average .9 more passing yards per completion.

On defense, the Bengals allow .7 more yards per rush. The only edge they have is slight in the defensive passing yards per completion.

The Browns’ O-line is playing pretty well; they’ve only surrendered three sacks this season.

Cleveland will win with the ground game. Peyton Hillis is coming off his best game of his career. He’s averaging 5.6 yards per carry for the season and the Bengals are allowing 4.5 yards per carry on defense.

The Browns likely get their first straight up win of the year. Carson Palmer is grossly overrated.

SAN FRANCISCO +7 Atlanta

Yes the 49ers are much better than they’ve shown. They are much more an underacheiver than overrated. My word, talk about a letdown—and it’s only been in recent years that we’ve fully utilized the “situation” angle. The big chalk is off a dramatic overtime win at their hated rivals, the defending Super Bowl Champs. Now they host the most undervalued team in the NFL.

Yes Atlanta is nine ahead of San Francisco in turnover margin, but this is correctable and very difficult to maintain. San Francisco has one of the best—and vastly underrated—defensive lines in the league. It is a very physical group that should be a great test for Atlanta’s nondescript o-line.

Very tough spot for Atlanta, and the perfect chance for a talented San Francisco team to put misery behind them.

Major…

Yes there was a last second loser on Pittsburgh, but everything else won early.

CAROLINA +14 -120 New Orleans

This is a competitor consensus. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side, we pass along as a competitor consensus.

NY JETS -6 Buffalo

Buffalo is a team that’s given up 72 points the last two weeks. The Jets need to get more confidence in their upstart offense. There is plenty of motivation to run up the score.

Buffalo can’t stop the run either. The Bills are allowing 141 yards per game on the ground. That’s four yards per attempt. LaDainian Tomlinson and company may feast in this game

Jets coach Rex Ryan and his crew bring it from multiple angles almost all game. That should be effective against the Bills, who have offensive chemistry issues. But as noted above, don’t over-blitz, because they could get you deep and ignite their crowd.

The Jets are getting .7 more yards per rush and 2.7 more passing yards per completion on offense. They are allowing 1.6 fewer yards per rush on defense. It’s a big blowout coming.

For more information: ready to beat the scores and odds? The OffshoreInsiders.com Network is the ultimate site for inside sports picks.

This week’s football schedule includes a contest between the Chicago Bears and the New York Giants on NBC.

OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at the football betting match-up using key numbers employed by professional gamblers.

In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to the Giants by 1.1, a large upper hand.

As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for Chicago by 2.6,

According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is Chicago by 4.1.

Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is the Bears by a whopping 1.7 dichotomy.

The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion is the G-Men by 2.0

The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is Chicago which forces teams to waste 8.0 more.

Who to bet on according to the football betting experts against the spread It’s from the famed LateInfo line with big Sunday morning info. The NBC Sunday night football keeps domination alive with the side from Big Red on the Bears on the NY Giants.

October is just like September: sweep the month. Oct. 2 finally there was a sweat as UNLV keeps perfection. Sept. 26 the Chiefs routing the 49ers right after Sept. 25 it was another gift on Stanford, Sept. 19 it was the Dolphins over Vikings. Sept. 18 Nebraska routs Washington, Sept 11 it was Alabama humiliating Penn State, and Sept 4 it was Oregon State covering versus TCU. The LateInfo has not missed. “Big Red” is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers.

Big Red now has the Bears vs. Giants on NBC Sports. Click now to purchase

Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

ScoresOddsPicks.com has released a Category 5 Las Vegas odds bulletin on the NBC Sunday Night Football contest between the Chicago Bears vs. NY Giants.

NFL odds are set at the NY Giants -3 -125 or -3 depending in which approved and vetted sportsbook gamblers utilized.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Chicago is 4-1 overall their last five. The Bears are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, 4-11 as underdogs, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 1-8 road underdogs.

Giants are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points, 1-8 to teams with a winning record.

Over/under trends: Over is 6-0 in Bears last 6 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Under is 57-28-2 in Bears last 87 games as an underdog.

Over is 8-0 in Giants last 8 vs. NFC, Over is 15-4-2 last 21 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Top expert pick on this game: It’s from the famed LateInfo line with big Sunday morning info. The NBC Sunday night football keeps domination alive with the side from Big Red on the Bears on the NY Giants.

October is just like September: sweep the month. Oct. 2 finally there was a sweat as UNLV keeps perfection. Sept. 26 the Chiefs routing the 49ers right after Sept. 25 it was another gift on Stanford, Sept. 19 it was the Dolphins over Vikings. Sept. 18 Nebraska routs Washington, Sept 11 it was Alabama humiliating Penn State, and Sept 4 it was Oregon State covering versus TCU. The LateInfo has not missed. “Big Red” is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers.

Big Red now has the Bears vs. Giants on NBC Sports. Click now to purchase

Las Vegas betting odds are up for NFL picks and predictions the Arizona Cardinals vs. San Diego Chargers.

The bookmaker’s point spread is the Chargers laying anywhere from -9.5 at Sportsbook to as high as -11 at BetED but at +113.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in October, 10-2 as underdog, 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The road team is 5-0 in the series.

Chargers are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0, 20-9-3 ATS in their last 32 games following a S.U. loss

Over/under trends: Over is 21-5 in Cardinals last 26 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game, over 40-14 last 54 games as a road underdog.

Top expert pick on this game:  From Matt Rivers, the title says it all, an Outright or a Burial, with no in-between. It’s the game involving Arizona and San Diego. Are we looking at a Cardinal upset win and 3-1 start to the season or will the Chargers get back to .500 and take care fo business going away? Two winners in all, the 400,000* from San Diego along with a 200,000* Carolina and New Orleans. I’m up over 3 million* of profit in the last three weeks alone and that number will only grow today. Click now to purchase