All posts by JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Herta Muller Wins Nobel Prize; Now Nobel Peace Prize Odds Updated

Herta Muller wins the 2009 Nobel Prize in Literature. One of the top sportsbooks Paddy Power has Nobel Peace Prize odds: Seema Samur as the favorite, followed by Piedad Cordoba, Hu Jia, and Ghazi bin Muhammad.

The Nobel Prize has become notoriously left-leaning, rarely missing a chance to take a political potshot at George W. Bush. Hence US President Barack Obama would be a reasonable long shot at 14/1.

Free Betting Pick

Today’s free pick comes from legendary tipster handicapper Matt Rivers. Boston minus 110 at Anaheim at BetUs Sportsbook.
 
It’s certainly not easy to travel across the country and deal with Mike Scioscia’s Angels but I love Jon Lester and at this near pick-em price I’m all about the visitors.
 
John Lackey is a really good pitcher and at times a total bulldog who will eat up innings and dominate. But something lately has not been right with the righthander and to get a stud in Lester and the Sox at this price is definitely fine with me.
 
Boston did not play great at times down the stretch, I understand that, but they are still a very deep and dangerous team with Pedroia, Ellsbury, Bay, Lowell, Big Papi and a few others and will be just fine today. Lackey does not seem right of late as he has allowed 12 earned runs and 21 hits in his last 13 innings. In the last start he left after two innings and allowed a pair of runs on four hits. I just do not think this guy can match the dominant Southpaw that Boston is throwing out there.
 
Lester is a total stud and being a lefty certainly does not hurt against the running and small ball team which the Angels are. I’m not saying that Vlad, Abreu, Napoli or Hunter can’t go deep because without a doubt they can but the Halos are built around running the bases and being pesky with a guy in Chone Figgins leading the way.
 
Anaheim could win this series and I would not be too shocked but Jon Lester is awesome and I flat out just do not trust Lackey at this point, period, end of story!

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MLB Handicapping: Red Sox vs Angels

The Boston Red Sox will battle the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium on Thursday in Game 1 of their ALDS.
The Red Sox will give the ball to starter Jon Lester in this one. Lefthander Lester is 15-8 this season with a 3.41 ERA.
Lester’s opponent in this one will be John Lackey. The Angels ace righthander has a 3.83 ERA to go along with a 11-8 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 110-moneyline favorites versus the Angels, while the game’s total is sitting at 8.
Jed Lowrie smashed a grand slam, as the Red Sox dumped the Indians 12-7 on Sunday.
Boston cashed as -230 home favorites, while the game played OVER the 10-run total posted by sportsbooks.
Mike Napoli was 2-for-3 with a solo shot, as the Angels got past the Athletics 5-3 on Sunday.
Los Angeles won as -135 road favorites, while the teams played UNDER the 9-run total set by oddsmakers.
Team records:
Boston: 95-67 SU
Los Angeles: 97-65 SU
Boston most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing LA Angels are 6-4
After playing Cleveland are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Boston are 4-6
After playing Oakland are 8-2
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston’s last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston’s last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels’s last 6 games
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
LA Angels are 14-7 SU in their last 21 games when playing Boston
Next up:
LA Angels home to Boston, Friday, October 9
 
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MLB Odds: Cardinals vs Dodgers

The fans at Dodger Stadium will be treated to Game 2 of the NLDS between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Los Angeles Dodgers when they take their seats on Thursday.
Righthander Adam Wainwright will take the mound for the Cardinals to start this game. Wainwright is 19-8 this season with a 2.63 ERA.
The Dodgers will counter Wainwright with Clayton Kershaw. Lefthander Kershaw has a 2.82 ERA to go along with a 8-8 record this season.
Odds aren’t yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total.
The Dodgers captured Game 1 of the series with a 5-3 victory over the Cardinals on Wednesday, as +115 underdogs. The eight runs made it OVER the posted over/under (7).
Rafael Furcal went 3-for-4 at the plate with one RBI for the Dodgers. Jeff Weaver picked up the win in relief, and Jonathan Broxton collected his first save of the postseason.
Mark DeRosa had three hits and drove in one run for the Cardinals, who were -135 favorites. Chris Carpenter gave up nine hits and four runs over five innings in the loss.
Team records:
St. Louis: 91-71 SU
Los Angeles: 95-67 SU
St. Louis most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
Before playing LA Dodgers are 7-3
After playing LA Dodgers are 6-4
After a loss are 4-6

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 3-7
Before playing St. Louis are 3-7
After playing St. Louis are 6-4
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
St. Louis is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis
LA Dodgers are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing St. Louis
Next up:
LA Dodgers at St. Louis, Saturday, October 10
 
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MLB Betting: Rockies vs Phillies

The Colorado Rockies and the Philadelphia Phillies will both be trying to pick up a win on Thursday when they battle at Citizens Bank Park in Game 2 of their NLDS.
The Rockies will pin their hopes on the pitching of ace righthander Aaron Cook in this game. Cook has a 11-6 record and a 4.16 ERA this season.
The Phillies will counter Cook with ace Cole Hamels. Lefthander Hamels has a 4.32 ERA to go along with a 10-11 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 160-moneyline favorites versus the Rockies, while the game’s total is sitting at 8½.
The Phillies took Game 1 with a 5-1 victory over the Rockies on Wednesday as -150 favorites. That game’s six runs went UNDER the posted over/under (8.5).
Raul Ibanez went 2-for-4 at the plate with two RBIs to lead the Phillies. Cliff Lee tossed a complete game for the victory on the hill.
Troy Tulowitzki drove in the lone run for the Rockies, who were +130 underdogs in that game. Ubaldo Jimenez allowed nine hits and five runs over five innings in the loss.
Team records:
Colorado: 92-70 SU
Philadelphia: 93-69 SU
Colorado most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 1-9
After a loss are 4-6

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Colorado are 7-3
After playing Colorado are 8-2
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Colorado is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Philadelphia is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
Next up:
Philadelphia at Colorado, Saturday, October 10
 
 
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Phillies Radio 1210 WPHT Changed, But Not Live Sports Betting

Phillies radio 1210 WPHT won’t be the same without Harry Kalas. Nor will WPEN EPSN 950 since the fired their best sports host in lieu of ratings winner “guy radio”.

However one thing remains the same. One of the top sportsbooks has live betting for the Phillies-Rockies, Cardinals-Dodgers, Twins-Yankees. It’s all at Bodog

So watch the Phillies game online at MLB.com and win at Bodog

MLB Playoff Odds – Red Sox/Angels Game 1 Pick

If you don’t see an NFL betting line that interests you, why not bet on the baseball playoffs? The Red Sox and Angels kick off what should be the close of the two American League Division Series. Let’s get our playoff baseball picks started on the right foot.

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels
Jon Lester (15-8, 3.41) vs John Lackey (11-8, 3.83)
Game 1 – Thursday, October 8, 9:37 p.m. ET
Sportsbook odds: Red Sox -115, Angels -105

The Red Sox and Angels both trot power pitchers to the mound to open the ALDS. If it weren’t for his ugly April and May, Jon Lester would’ve been part of the Cy Young discussion. From June until now, he’s been Boston’s best pitcher, allowing three or fewer runs 19 times in 21 starts. His nasty stuff leads to boatloads of strikeouts and his control is reasonable. His ERA was a full run higher on the road but he remained an effective pitcher away from Fenway Park this season. He didn’t face L.A. this season but the Angels were the only team to beat him at Fenway in 2008. That may sway bettors toward the Angels, but not so fast; look at the playoff numbers. Last year, Lester tossed 13 scoreless innings over two starts against the Angels.

Big John Lackey regained his impeccable control as the season progressed, going 7-4 with a 3.05 ERA after the All-Star break. In the regular season, he’s just 2-5 All-time against the Red Sox but, like Lester, he rises to the occasion in the playoffs. He held Boston to two runs in each of his two starts against them last October.

It’s a good idea to bet under the total (eight runs) in this matchup; in the end, I’d go with Boston. The Red Sox have an X-factor in David Ortiz, who quietly led the majors in homers from June to September. He bats .333 off Lackey with two homers and 10 RBI in 33 career at-bats, so he could be the difference maker Thursday night.

Betting services recommend: Red Sox -115

Free Pick: Cardinals-Dodgers Playoffs Game 1

Today’s free pick comes from handicapper Matt Rivers. He says go with the St. Louis Cardinals -137 at BetUs Sportsbook against the LA Dodgers. Here is why:

 
It’s tough to lay anything on the road in any sport and baseball included but to get arguably the best hurler on the planet in Chris Carpenter and the best player on that same planet in Albert Pujols along with a total stud in Matt Holliday makes me feel ok in backing the Cardinals today.
 
Let’s face it, Randy Wolf had a great season and is a quality lefty but he is no Carpenter as the
St. Louis righthander is an absolute beast and I mean beast. Wolf better be at his best because anything less than 7 or 8 innings and a run or two is almost unheard of for Carpenter. Plus the Cards can bash from the right side and do not at all mind facing a Southpaw today.
 
Joe Torre’s Dodgers limped into the postseason a bit as they almost blew the division late. The Redbirds don’t exactly come into this thing firing away on all cylinders themselves but all in all I do believe that St. Louis is the better overall club with the far superior hurler.
 
Jonathan Broxton and the blue probably do boast the better bullpen, I’ll give them that, but down the stretch the LA closer has looked a little tired and therefore we are not looking at a mismatch as Ryan Franklin has had success this season.
 
Manny Ramirez has another gear which can be scary for sure and Ethier and Kemp and a few others certainly are extremely legit but once again if you want to give me Carpenter and Pujols and Holliday and lay a small number, nothing too crazy, then I’ll make a small play on these visitors and expect a Carpenter gem and a 5-2 type of a victory.

The pick: St. Louis

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Florida vs LSU Betting – Tebow’s Health Is Focus Of SEC Showdown

When it comes to Florida vs LSU betting for this massive Saturday night clash, all eyes and ears are waiting for news on one player and a concussion that threatens to keep him out of this game, as well as his team’s No.1 ranking.

Florida vs LSU Betting – Saturday, October 11, 8:00 PM ET

The No.1 Gators’ top-ranked ground game depends heavily on quarterback Tim Tebow, who suffered a concussion in a 41-7 win two weeks ago at Kentucky. The former Heisman winner hasn’t been cleared to play as of Tuesday, and coach Urban Meyer may leave this until game-time. This means John Brantley will be making his first-ever start for the Gators, and this isn’t a good thing for Florida‘s sports book odds: the Gators opened as a 9.5-point favorite, but have since dropped to 7.5 and it’s possible that it’ll drop more.

The No.4 Tigers got two rushing touchdowns from Charles Scott in the fourth quarter of an enthralling 20-13 win at Georgia, capping a big day on the ground for LSU as they ran for 156 yards. A productive rushing attack is exactly what the Tigers need, because quarterback Jordan Jefferson doesn’t exactly inspire confidence. He was 18-of-27 for 212 yards and a pick, and he’s much better as a game manager, not a player who will win a game for you. LSU is also 17th in the nation in points allowed.

Betting services are waiting to hear what’s going on with Tebow, so keep a close eye on the online wagering line as we come closer to game time. Florida has won six of their last 10 against the Tigers, including a 51-21 destruction at home last year, but LSU has won 32 night games in a row at Tiger Stadium, as known as “Death Valley“, one of the craziest places to play in all of college football. LSU gained some respect with their gutsy win between the hedges at Georgia, and look for them to blow the national-championship race wide open with a victory. Take the Tigers over Florida in your sports picks this weekend.