{"id":795,"date":"2006-08-23T00:09:45","date_gmt":"2006-08-23T05:09:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2006\/08\/totals-handicapping-is-the-key\/"},"modified":"2006-08-23T00:09:45","modified_gmt":"2006-08-23T05:09:45","slug":"totals-handicapping-is-the-key","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2006\/08\/totals-handicapping-is-the-key\/","title":{"rendered":"Totals Handicapping Is the Key"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Picking Over\/Unders Just May Be the Hot Trend in Handicapping<\/h3>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Joe Duffy (<a\nhref=\"http:\/\/p6.hostingprod.com\/@joeduffy.net\/\"><b>JoeDuffy.net<\/b><\/a>)<\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Long time clients know that we do not use a lot of ATS<br \/>\ntrends in our handicapping.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0 <\/span>However,<br \/>\nknowing the public loves them, we do compile such angles for our daily content.<br \/>\nIt is geared towards non-clients who do utilize them in their own<br \/>\nhandicapping.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Over the years, we noticed an unarguable pattern that our<br \/>\ndata mining sources will turn up a disproportionate number of statistically<br \/>\nsignificant over\/under trends as opposed to wins and losses against the<br \/>\nspread.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0 <\/span>We are ecstatic to see the<br \/>\nsuccess of my long-time colleague, Stevie Vincent of <a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.knockoutpicks.com\/\"><b>KnockoutPicks.com<\/b><\/a>.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0 <\/span>I\u2019ve known Stevie since he was my Executive<br \/>\nEditor of the Scorephone \u201cTailgate Party\u201d pre-game information reports, that if<br \/>\nI may say so, we made famous in the 1980s and 1990s. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Stevie is the founder of forensic handicapping, a<br \/>\ncomplicated process that in short is based on the science of uncovering<br \/>\npatterns in the past to accurately predict the future.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0 <\/span>Trends are the basis of it, but application<br \/>\nrequires systematic and methodical diligence, not just mere trend<br \/>\nregurgitation. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Vincent believes it is very obvious why it is easier to<br \/>\nfind patterns in totals. Sports is about making adjustments, but it is \u201cmuch<br \/>\neasier and therefore more common, to change the methods than it is to augment<br \/>\nthan the end result.\u201d<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Forensic handicapping has proven, what seems so simplistic.<br \/>\n\u201cIf, for example, a football team has lost three straight games in high scoring<br \/>\nblowouts, passing the ball 70 percent of the time and running 30 percent, the<br \/>\narea to adjust is obvious\u201d and according to his contention and research, in<br \/>\nmost cases coaches and teams will adjust the pace or style they\u2019ve employed. \u201cBut<br \/>\nit does not mean the results will change\u201d.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0<br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>He says one can uncover patterns, in which in such<br \/>\nhypothetical model, that team may fiddle with and instead lose a lower scoring<br \/>\ngame. But he asserts, there will be a lot more historical patterns that suggest<br \/>\nthe approach will change even if the result does not. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Approach, pace, or whatever term gamblers wish to assign,<br \/>\nis what generally will effect the total more.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0<br \/>\n<\/span>The actual success in executing it determines the final score. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>While Vincent states emphatically \u201cthe end results (spread<br \/>\nwin or loss) follow a distinctive pattern themselves\u201d but they will not pass<br \/>\nthe necessary laws of probability at as high of a rate as totals handicapping. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>With the success <a href=\"http:\/\/www.knockoutpicks.com\/\"><b>KnockoutPicks.com<\/b><\/a><br \/>\nhas had since Stevie finally made his professional handicapping debut in April,<br \/>\nwe would be \u201ctotally\u201d nuts not to listen to his wisdom with over\/under plays. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Stevie Vincent\u2019s FREE information will be part of the<br \/>\nTailgate Party\u2019s cyber debut all football season long, seven days a week, at <a\nhref=\"http:\/\/p6.hostingprod.com\/@joeduffy.net\/\"><b>JoeDuffy.net<\/b><\/a> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Picking Over\/Unders Just May Be the Hot Trend in Handicapping Joe Duffy (JoeDuffy.net) Long time clients know that we do not use a lot of ATS trends in our handicapping.\u00a0 However, knowing the public loves them, we do compile such angles for our daily content. It is geared towards non-clients who do utilize them in &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2006\/08\/totals-handicapping-is-the-key\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Totals Handicapping Is the Key<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-795","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_gambling_strategy_articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/795","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=795"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/795\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=795"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=795"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=795"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}