{"id":5466,"date":"2009-09-03T08:58:00","date_gmt":"2009-09-03T13:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2009\/09\/college-football-pick-north-texas-vs-ball-state\/"},"modified":"2009-09-03T08:58:00","modified_gmt":"2009-09-03T13:58:00","slug":"college-football-pick-north-texas-vs-ball-state","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2009\/09\/college-football-pick-north-texas-vs-ball-state\/","title":{"rendered":"College Football Pick: North Texas vs. Ball State"},"content":{"rendered":"
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It’s time for American tackle football, the regular season edition. One of the most appealing games for football bettors is <\/span><\/font>North Texas<\/st1:place> at Ball<\/st1:PlaceName> State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place>. The Cardinals are a 16.5 point favorite at Bet Online<\/a>. <\/p>\n

At GodsTips, we are going with <\/span><\/font>North Texas<\/st1:place> and the points. Here is the football betting analysis:<\/p>\n

Remember one of our most important Golden Rules and one that the square player cannot grasp is this concept: uncertainty is the enemy of the oddsmaker<\/span> and hence the ally of the sharp player. <\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

The sportsbooks<\/a> despise the fact that both teams are debuting new QBs<\/span><\/span>. It’s certainly a downgrade for the big chalk and all indications are that it’s an upgrade for the significant underdogs. <\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

North Texas QB Riley Dodge did run the same offense system in high school.\u00a0 <\/span>He can only improve a Mean Green offense that was dead last nationally each of the last two years in offense. <\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

Those numbers are a bit deceptive as <\/span><\/font>North Texas<\/st1:place> has played a BCS heavy non-conference schedule during that span including Oklahoma<\/st1:place><\/st1:State>, LSU, and Kansas<\/st1:PlaceName> State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place>. <\/p>\n

Dodge is no slouch. He is a former Class 5A Offensive Player of the Year in the capital of high school football <\/span><\/font>Texas<\/st1:place><\/st1:State>. <\/p>\n

On the other hand, <\/span><\/font>Ball<\/st1:PlaceName> State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place>‘s Kelly Page must replace NFL draft pick Nate<\/span><\/span> Davis. They must also supplant four starters on the offensive front; <\/span>three were first team All-MAC. The Cardinals offensive line has just one experienced starter in left guard Mike Switzer. <\/p>\n

To top it all off, <\/span><\/font>Ball<\/st1:PlaceName> State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> also has a new coach in Stan Parrish, so they are a team in transition. <\/p>\n

North Texas<\/span><\/font><\/st1:place> also has their share of team speed that will give Ball<\/st1:PlaceName> State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> fits. In addition, they return running back Cam Montgomery, who rushed for 928 yards, so they have some balance to keep defenses honest against their Blue Chip signal caller. <\/p>\n

Ball<\/span><\/font><\/st1:PlaceName> State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> has to use this game as a tune-up with so many new players and a new coach. North Texas<\/st1:place> is fighting for respectability, so keeping the score close is very much a building block for them. <\/p>\n

While not quite a “Golden Rule” as stated above, a very strong and profitable rule of thumb is teams coming off one of their best years ever are great fades early the next year. <\/span><\/font>Rutgers<\/st1:place> last year is a perfect example. <\/p>\n

Well<\/span><\/font><\/st1:PlaceName> Ball<\/st1:PlaceName> State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> is coming off their first undefeated regular season ever. There will be a big hangover versus a team that only wants to keep the score close. <\/p>\n

While we can’t go so far as to bet this game on the moneyline, there are plenty of ingredients for an upset. <\/span><\/font><\/p>\n

Free pick: <\/span><\/font><\/b>North Texas<\/st1:place> +16.5. <\/p>\n

For more information: <\/span><\/font><\/b>Leading the list of NFL and college football picks<\/a> for tonight is Grandmaster sports handicapper<\/a> Joe Duffy, who is 18-7 already in football.<\/span> Get 10 NFL and college football winners now, plus five MLB. That’s 15 winners for $17. Click now to purchase<\/a> at OffshoreInsiders.com <\/o:p><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/span><\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

OffshoreInsiders.com<\/b><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It’s time for American tackle football, the regular season edition. One of the most appealing games for football bettors is North Texas at Ball State. The Cardinals are a 16.5 point favorite at Bet Online. At GodsTips, we are going with North Texas and the points. Here is the football betting analysis: Remember one of … Continue reading College Football Pick: North Texas vs. Ball State<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5466","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5466","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5466"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5466\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5466"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5466"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5466"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}