{"id":5429,"date":"2009-08-31T12:45:00","date_gmt":"2009-08-31T17:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2009\/08\/2009-sec-preview-from-football-handicapping-standpoint\/"},"modified":"2009-08-31T12:45:00","modified_gmt":"2009-08-31T17:45:00","slug":"2009-sec-preview-from-football-handicapping-standpoint","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2009\/08\/2009-sec-preview-from-football-handicapping-standpoint\/","title":{"rendered":"2009 SEC Preview From Football Handicapping Standpoint"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=Section1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>As stated before, preseason college football publications do have some handicapping value, but only the sharp players know what the worth is from a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?Page=Articles&amp;ArticleID=94\">handicapping standpoint<\/a>. In short, we compare the preseason consensus to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.linetrackers.com\/\">sportsbook<\/a> odds to isolate overvalued and undervalued teams. <\/span><\/font><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><st1:State><st1:place><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span   style='font-size:12.0pt'>Alabama<\/span><\/font><\/st1:place><\/st1:State> is the overwhelming favorite in both the consensus and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?PageID=103\">college football futures odds<\/a>. Eight of 12 magazines project the Crimson Tide to win the division, with a ninth projecting a tie. The oddsmakers have them at 5\/4 <span class=SpellE>faves<\/span>. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>The oddsmakers have Ole Miss the second favorites at 19\/10, just a small notch above LSU at 2\/1. However, the annuals cumulative has the two flip-flopped by a small margin. While the oddsmakers have <\/span><\/font><st1:State><st1:place>Arkansas<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> and <st1:City><st1:place>Auburn<\/st1:place><\/st1:City> each at 13\/2, the compilation has <st1:State><st1:place>Arkansas<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> the better team. <st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Mississippi<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> is the unanimous doormat. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>We rate LSU -1 meaning slightly overvalued and Ole Miss +1 at marginally undervalued in the oddsmakers eyes. <\/span><\/font><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><st1:State><st1:place><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span   style='font-size:12.0pt'>Florida<\/span><\/font><\/st1:place><\/st1:State> is an eye-popping 2\/17 at <span lang=EN style='mso-ansi-language:EN'><a href=\"http:\/\/sports.bodog.com\/welcome\/1861245\/\">Bodog<\/a><\/span> to win the SEC West, followed by <st1:country-region><st1:place>Georgia<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region> at 5\/1 and <st1:State><st1:place>South Carolina<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> at 8\/1. <st1:State><st1:place>Tennessee<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> is 12\/1. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>However, the hacks have <span class=SpellE>Vol<\/span> Nation a comfortable third behind the Gators and Bulldogs, and <\/span><\/font><st1:State><st1:place>South   Carolina<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> is a distant fourth. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Rocky Top is +2 on our cheat sheet, the Gamecocks -2 on the value meter. <\/span><\/font><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>While the magazines have Vanderbilt and <\/span><\/font><st1:State><st1:place>Kentucky<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> closely rated, the <span class=SpellE>linesmaker<\/span> has the Wildcats at 25\/1 and the Commodores at 50\/1. Vanderbilt is +1, <st1:State><st1:place>Kentucky<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> -2 on our assessment scale. Value ratings are -3\/+3.<\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-weight:bold; mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>For more information: <\/span><\/font><\/b>The best college <a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">football picks<\/a> against the betting <a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?PageID=69\">line in college football<\/a>, plus exclusive betting previews, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lines-maker.com\/\">college football injuries<\/a> are on the OffshoreInsiders.com Network. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt'><o:p>&nbsp;<\/o:p><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face=\"Times New Roman\"><span style='font-size: 12.0pt'><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/font><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"blogger-post-footer\"><a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\"><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>OffshoreInsiders.com<\/b><\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As stated before, preseason college football publications do have some handicapping value, but only the sharp players know what the worth is from a handicapping standpoint. In short, we compare the preseason consensus to the sportsbook odds to isolate overvalued and undervalued teams. Alabama is the overwhelming favorite in both the consensus and college football &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2009\/08\/2009-sec-preview-from-football-handicapping-standpoint\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">2009 SEC Preview From Football Handicapping Standpoint<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5429","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5429","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5429"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5429\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5429"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5429"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5429"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}