{"id":20233,"date":"2024-10-03T13:04:34","date_gmt":"2024-10-03T18:04:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=20233"},"modified":"2024-10-03T15:39:48","modified_gmt":"2024-10-03T20:39:48","slug":"tnf-buccaneers-vs-falcons-pro-bettors-preview","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2024\/10\/tnf-buccaneers-vs-falcons-pro-bettors-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"TNF Buccaneers vs. Falcons Pro Bettors Preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The official betting preview of pro gamblers for Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>3 Thursday night sides:&nbsp;<strong>NFL and 2 CFB<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Friday&nbsp;<strong>CFB total<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Saturday:&nbsp;<strong>CFB Total of the Year among 4 Wise Guys, plus 8 Majors<\/strong>.&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Named play among&nbsp;<strong>8 Sunday NFL, 3 are Wise Guy&nbsp;<\/strong>bets! We added early morning London winner.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Joe Duffy\u2019s Picks at&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/offshoreinsiders.com\/\"><em>OffshoreInsiders.com<\/em><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa-Atlanta (-1.5,44)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Opened: Atlanta -3, 44<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>75% of bets, 86% of money on Tampa<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>80% of bets, 75% of handle on OVER&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Free winning bet:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa-Atlanta UNDER 44<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Medium range total, both teams off a win, one as a favorite one as a dog, both off a cover, goes under 62-33-4. As we will admit, this traded system is somewhat backfitted and less dominant the last three years, not a premium play. However, one of the top sharps, one who is having a good season again, has this bet.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Top NFL Handicapper With Free Winning Bet, Infused By AI Betting, Computer Systems\" width=\"474\" height=\"267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/MIXu33kwC_c?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Systems:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thursday favorites after week 4 under specific situations that apply in this game are 129-73-3 (Atlanta)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa just second road game, but they are 1-0, while Atlanta is 1-2 at home SU. Anti-splits angle about fading road teams with a significantly better road winning percentage than home team\u2019s home winning percentage is 116-68-8 (Atlanta)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>First half of the season underdogs off less than a TD are 234-148-7 under specific situations that apply in this game (Tampa)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Go against home teams in a short week if they averaged less than 45.8 yards per punt in the last series meeting is 24-6 (Tampa)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Go against conference teams off a high-scoring home game if not with extreme rest is 612-483-27 (Atlanta)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since 2024 first or only series meeting with a total of 44 or less goes UNDER 481-362-17 includind113-81-3 if divisional (UNDER)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Primetime games under 78-49-1 last 3 seasons (8-7 this year)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Public loves overs, so books need unders says it\u2019s not coincidental&nbsp;<br><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Trends<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa 9-1 ATS road, Atlanta 0-3 ATS home this year and 3-10 favorites last 2 years<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Curt Cousins 8-3 primetime, Baker Mayfield 3-8, but Atlanta 3-9 under the lights&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cousins under 9-1 last 10, Mayfield under 13-2 in primetime&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa 10-3 as dogs last 2 years, including 8-1 road underdogs&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ron Tolbert is the head ref and unders 43-26 with him<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Notes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa with the third highest blitz rate in the NFL this season but Cousins most TDs against the blitz since 2018 at 68<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Atlanta without C Drew Dalman, starting LB Troy Anderson<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa without S Antoine Winfield; #3 and #4 WRs Jalen McMillan and Trey Palmer&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prop bets<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Cade Otton (TB) over 28.5 receiving yards<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Integrated more into offense and Tampa\u2019s WR depth thinned, so safety valve, especially in a short week, where tougher to throw in more wrinkles. New OC Liam Coen has Mayfield throwing quicker and shorter passes&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Rachaad White (TB) OVER 9.5 carries&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He is averaging 10.3 this season and is bigger than teammate Bucky Irving, so on a short week, should get a 60-40 or better split on carries<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Power ratings:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Massey: Tampa 23-20 (TB ATS and money)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>OddsTrader: Atlanta 22-19 (lean UNDER)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sportsline: Atlanta 24-23<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BetQL: Atlanta 23-21<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>StatSharp: 22-22 tie<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Action: Atlanta -2, 44<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[table id=2 \/]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The official betting preview of pro gamblers for Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy.&nbsp; Joe Duffy\u2019s Picks at&nbsp;OffshoreInsiders.com Tampa-Atlanta (-1.5,44) Opened: Atlanta -3, 44 75% of bets, 86% of money on Tampa 80% of bets, 75% of handle on OVER&nbsp; Free winning bet: Tampa-Atlanta UNDER 44 Medium range total, both teams &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2024\/10\/tnf-buccaneers-vs-falcons-pro-bettors-preview\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">TNF Buccaneers vs. Falcons Pro Bettors Preview<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20233","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20233"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20233\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20235,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20233\/revisions\/20235"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20233"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20233"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20233"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}