{"id":19432,"date":"2023-01-05T00:31:59","date_gmt":"2023-01-05T05:31:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=19432"},"modified":"2023-01-05T00:32:02","modified_gmt":"2023-01-05T05:32:02","slug":"this-is-the-intel-that-squares-are-on-the-outside-looking-in-but-sharps-get-every-damn-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2023\/01\/this-is-the-intel-that-squares-are-on-the-outside-looking-in-but-sharps-get-every-damn-day\/","title":{"rendered":"This is the Intel That Squares Are on the Outside Looking In But Sharps Get Every Damn Day"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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This is the type of intel you get every day on Joe Duffy\u2019s Picks. Advanced analytics, not somebody trying to outsmart the room, pulling bullshit \u201cintangibles\u201d out of their ass. But bias-free, bullshit-free computer systems that do literally thousands of manhours of work. It\u2019s all at OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>     <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

CBB<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Major<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MICHIGAN -3.5 Penn State<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bet on a team off a large margin of cover against a team that has played in high scoring games recently is an impressive 38-17-1. Yes, not as great of a sample size as most of our angles but has held up for years. Because college sports are more about momentum and the latter part of the angle says points can be had, it fits into many betting observations about college basketball we have won with. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

PROVIDENCE +6.5 Connecticut<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bubble burst angle that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 104-66-2. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

RHODE ISLAND -2 Fordham <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bubble burst angle that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 104-66-2. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

NBA<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wise Guy<\/p>\n\n\n\n

ATLANTA +2 Sacramento<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fade unrested home teams off a win under specific situations that apply in this game is a stunning 102-40-1. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atlanta is the second worst team in the NBA based on ATS margin. They are 14-22-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of -2.5 points per game. But pro sports are about regression to the mean. Going with bad road teams with inferior spread margins is 92-48. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Phoenix-Cleveland UNDER 218.5<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version that takes into account home\/road splits goes under at a rate of 665-431-48. Total relative to recent numbers goes under 665-431-48. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Houston-New Orleans UNDER 229<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version that takes into account home\/road splits goes under at a rate of 665-431-48. Total relative to recent numbers goes under 665-431-48. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This is the type of intel you get every day on Joe Duffy\u2019s Picks. Advanced analytics, not somebody trying to outsmart the room, pulling bullshit \u201cintangibles\u201d out of their ass. But bias-free, bullshit-free computer systems that do literally thousands of manhours of work. It\u2019s all at OffshoreInsiders.com      Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are … Continue reading This is the Intel That Squares Are on the Outside Looking In But Sharps Get Every Damn Day<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19432","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19432"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19432\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19433,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19432\/revisions\/19433"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}