{"id":19338,"date":"2022-11-15T11:22:35","date_gmt":"2022-11-15T16:22:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=19338"},"modified":"2022-11-15T11:22:40","modified_gmt":"2022-11-15T16:22:40","slug":"bills-eagles-lose-has-some-effect-on-divisional-and-super-bowl-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2022\/11\/bills-eagles-lose-has-some-effect-on-divisional-and-super-bowl-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Bills, Eagles Lose Has Some Effect on Divisional and Super Bowl Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The Eagles and the Bills lost this past week, but one is still the Super Bowl favorite.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/record.commissionkings.ag\/_ejy4onLiLhHT2Fu8bIPGIGNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/\">SportsBetting<\/a>&nbsp;&nbsp;updates its Super Bowl, conference, and division odds daily. Yesterday, the Eagles were +350 favorites for the NFL\u2019s 52<sup>nd<\/sup>championship edition. Today, it\u2019s back to the Bills, who outside of the last seven days had been the favorites since the day after Super Bowl LVI.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Chiefs, victors of three in a row with the MVP favorite putting on weekly quarterback clinics, remain stuck in the Super Bowl odds\u2019 second spot.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignright size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"204\" height=\"248\" src=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/super-bowl.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-19339\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>What\u2019s interesting when looking at the NFL division odds is that outside of the AFC East, all the favorites have better than -200 (or 1-2) odds, possibly making the second half of the season not as interesting as the first half.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo is in third place in its division, yet still has -190 odds to take the AFC East. All division favorites have better than a 65% chance of becoming champs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are the current odds and implied probabilities for each:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AFC East&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo Bills&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -190&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(65.5% chance Bills are division champs)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Miami Dolphins&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +225<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York Jets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +1100<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England Patriots&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +1600<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AFC North&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Baltimore Ravens&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -500&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(83.3% chance Ravens are division champs)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cincinnati Bengals&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +350<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland Browns&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +3300<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pittsburgh Steelers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +4000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AFC South&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee Titans&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -500&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(83.3% chance Titans are division champs)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jacksonville Jaguars&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +600<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indianapolis Colts&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +700<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston Texans&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +25000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>AFC West&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kansas City Chiefs&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -2000 (95.2% chance Chiefs are division champs)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los Angeles Chargers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +700<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver Broncos&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +6600<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Las Vegas Raiders&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +10000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFC East&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Philadelphia Eagles&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -350&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(77.8% chance Eagles are division champs)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dallas Cowboys&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +450<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York Giants&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +700<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Commanders&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +6600<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFC North&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Minnesota Vikings&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -5000 (98.0% chance Vikings are division champs)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Green Bay Packers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +1200<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detroit Lions&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +3300<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chicago Bears&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +8000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFC South&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa Bay Buccaneers&nbsp; -400&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(80.0% chance Bucs are division champs)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Atlanta Falcons &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +500<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New Orleans Saints&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +900<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Carolina Panthers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +2500<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NFC West&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>San Francisco 49ers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; -225&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(69.2% chance 49ers are division champs)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seattle Seahawks&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +175<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arizona Cardinals&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +4000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los Angeles Rams&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +4000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Super Bowl<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Buffalo Bills&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +400<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kansas City Chiefs&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +500<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Philadelphia Eagles&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +525<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>San Francisco 49ers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +750<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Minnesota Vikings&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +1100<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Baltimore Ravens&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +1200<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dallas Cowboys&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +1400<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Miami Dolphins&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +1800<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tampa Bay Buccaneers&nbsp; +1800<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cincinnati Bengals&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +3300<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los Angeles Chargers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +4000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tennessee Titans&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +4000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seattle Seahawks&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New England Patriots&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +6600<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York Giants&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +6600<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York Jets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +6600<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Green Bay Packers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +8000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland Browns&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +10000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los Angeles Rams&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +10000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Commanders&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +12500<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arizona Cardinals&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +15000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Atlanta Falcons&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +20000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver Broncos&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +20000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jacksonville Jaguars&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +20000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New Orleans Saints&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +20000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indianapolis Colts&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +25000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Las Vegas Raiders&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +25000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detroit Lions&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +40000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Carolina Panthers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +50000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pittsburgh Steelers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +50000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chicago Bears&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +100000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston Texans&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +200000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[table id=2 \/]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Eagles and the Bills lost this past week, but one is still the Super Bowl favorite.&nbsp; SportsBetting&nbsp;&nbsp;updates its Super Bowl, conference, and division odds daily. Yesterday, the Eagles were +350 favorites for the NFL\u2019s 52ndchampionship edition. Today, it\u2019s back to the Bills, who outside of the last seven days had been the favorites since &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2022\/11\/bills-eagles-lose-has-some-effect-on-divisional-and-super-bowl-odds\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Bills, Eagles Lose Has Some Effect on Divisional and Super Bowl Odds<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19338","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19338","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19338"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19338\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19340,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19338\/revisions\/19340"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19338"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19338"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19338"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}