{"id":19329,"date":"2022-11-15T09:58:47","date_gmt":"2022-11-15T14:58:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=19329"},"modified":"2022-11-15T09:58:51","modified_gmt":"2022-11-15T14:58:51","slug":"free-nba-pick-against-the-spread-sweat-barometer-standings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2022\/11\/free-nba-pick-against-the-spread-sweat-barometer-standings\/","title":{"rendered":"Free NBA Pick Against the Spread; Sweat Barometer Standings"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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Free NBA pick from the top basketball capper in history, Joe Duffy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

MEMPHIS +3.5 New Orleans <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Going with teams off a spread loss versus an opponent off a spread win is 629-474-19 under specific situations that apply in this game. Overreaction is a big part of betting and applies here. Our official outlaw line is just +1. The outlaw line is what the line would be without square moves. Especially so close to a pick \u2018em, 2.5-point difference is big. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Top NBA teams to bet on based on sweat barometer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Team       <\/td>ATS Record                                           <\/td>ATS margin<\/td><\/tr>
Portland<\/td>11-2<\/td>+6.9<\/td><\/tr>
Utah<\/td>10-5<\/td>+6.5<\/td><\/tr>
Oklahoma City <\/td>9-5<\/td>+5.9<\/td><\/tr>
Cleveland<\/td>8-5 <\/td>+5.4<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Notes: The Bucks have the fourth best ATS record in terms of winning percentage at 9-4 but by they have a negative ATS margin at -.5. The Kings are second in said category, but by +2.2 points per game, which puts them seventh. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Top NBA teams to bet against based on sweat barometer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Team       <\/td>ATS Record                                           <\/td>ATS margin<\/td><\/tr>
Minnesota<\/td>5-9<\/td>-6.4<\/td><\/tr>
LA Clippers<\/td>6-8<\/td>-5.4<\/td><\/tr>
Golden State<\/td>5-9<\/td>-4.9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Notes: Miami has the worst record ATS at 3-11 but only -2.9 cover margin. Lakers are the second worst at 3-10 ATS, but -2.9. Some bettors interpret this as both teams being undervalued. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often-deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, \u201covers\u201d are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.\u00a0 <\/p>\n\n\n

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\ud83d\udcb0\ud83d\udcb0\ud83d\udcb0Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. A 4-0 college basketball sweep leads us to a winning day!<\/em> <\/em>It starts early this week! <\/strong>First two winners are up this week, Tuesday college football.<\/strong> <\/strong>Inspired by Billy Walters and the Vegas Computer Boys, Joe Duffy has been for decades the top data scientist in sports handicapping. NBA Wise Guy added.<\/strong> <\/strong>Get the picks now<\/a> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

[table id=2 \/] <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Free NBA pick from the top basketball capper in history, Joe Duffy.  MEMPHIS +3.5 New Orleans  Going with teams off a spread loss versus an opponent off a spread win is 629-474-19 under specific situations that apply in this game. Overreaction is a big part of betting and applies here. Our official outlaw line is … Continue reading Free NBA Pick Against the Spread; Sweat Barometer Standings<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19329","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19329","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19329"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19329\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19332,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19329\/revisions\/19332"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19329"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19329"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19329"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}