{"id":19268,"date":"2022-10-24T09:12:50","date_gmt":"2022-10-24T14:12:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=19268"},"modified":"2022-10-24T09:14:00","modified_gmt":"2022-10-24T14:14:00","slug":"nba-playoff-odds-2023-exploit-oddsmakers-overreaction-on-line-shifts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2022\/10\/nba-playoff-odds-2023-exploit-oddsmakers-overreaction-on-line-shifts\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA Playoff Odds 2023: Exploit Oddsmakers&#8217; Overreaction on Line Shifts"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery has-nested-images columns-default is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s easy to overreact to early-season losses in the NBA. But it seems that all of the abhorrent reactions to the Los Angeles Lakers start are warranted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>L.A. dropped to 0-3 following yesterday&#8217;s home loss to Portland, and afterward LeBron James said the team&#8217;s mood was &#8220;s&#8212;ty.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, the oddsmakers have taken note of that stench and dropped the Lakers significantly on the NBA Finals odds board.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Just one week ago,&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/record.commissionkings.ag\/_ejy4onLiLhHT2Fu8bIPGIGNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/\">SportsBetting<\/a>&nbsp;<\/strong>assigned the Lakers with 22-1 odds and reported that 9% of the book&#8217;s entire championship wagering handle was on L.A., which was the second-highest percentage after Golden State (18%).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, the Lake Show is well down the list with 33-1 odds, and the drop marks the biggest odds movement through the first week of the season.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It&#8217;s worth noting that the Lakers have the exact same title odds as the Cavaliers.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"alignleft size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"275\" height=\"183\" src=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/celtics.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-19269\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p>As far as L.A.&#8217;s playoff outlook&#8230;the numbers aren&#8217;t pointing toward a happy place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Will the Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?<\/strong>&nbsp;(play-in tournament does not count)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes +110<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No -140<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NBA Playoffs odds:<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NBA Championship Odds<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Boston Celtics&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 6-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Golden State Warriors&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 6-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los Angeles Clippers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 7-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Milwaukee Bucks&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 8-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brooklyn Nets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 9-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Phoenix Suns&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 12-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Denver Nuggets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 14-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Philadelphia 76ers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 16-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Miami Heat&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 20-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dallas Mavericks&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 22-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Memphis Grizzlies&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 22-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New Orleans Pelicans&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 25-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 28-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cleveland Cavaliers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Los Angeles Lakers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Atlanta Hawks&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 50-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Toronto Raptors&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 50-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chicago Bulls&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 66-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Portland Trail Blazers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 80-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>New York Knicks&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 100-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Charlotte Hornets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 200-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Utah Jazz&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 250-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Washington Wizards&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 250-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sacramento Kings&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 300-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Detroit Pistons&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 500-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orlando Magic&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 500-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Oklahoma City Thunder&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 750-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>San Antonio Spurs&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 750-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston Rockets&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 1000-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Indiana Pacers&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 1000-1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[table id=2 \/]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s easy to overreact to early-season losses in the NBA. But it seems that all of the abhorrent reactions to the Los Angeles Lakers start are warranted. L.A. dropped to 0-3 following yesterday&#8217;s home loss to Portland, and afterward LeBron James said the team&#8217;s mood was &#8220;s&#8212;ty.&#8221; Well, the oddsmakers have taken note of that &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2022\/10\/nba-playoff-odds-2023-exploit-oddsmakers-overreaction-on-line-shifts\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">NBA Playoff Odds 2023: Exploit Oddsmakers&#8217; Overreaction on Line Shifts<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19268","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19268","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19268"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19268\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19271,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19268\/revisions\/19271"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19268"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19268"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19268"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}