{"id":18860,"date":"2022-03-26T11:47:37","date_gmt":"2022-03-26T16:47:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=18860"},"modified":"2022-03-26T11:47:39","modified_gmt":"2022-03-26T16:47:39","slug":"elite-8-market-report-for-bettors-houston-vs-villanova-arkansas-vs-duke-free-pick-nba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2022\/03\/elite-8-market-report-for-bettors-houston-vs-villanova-arkansas-vs-duke-free-pick-nba\/","title":{"rendered":"Elite 8 Market Report For Bettors: Houston vs. Villanova, Arkansas vs. Duke, Free Pick NBA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-0 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><ul class=\"blocks-gallery-grid\"><\/ul><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Elite 8 betting Saturday sees Houston vs. Villanova, Arkansas vs. Duke. Get a free NBA winner plus market reports on college basketball and the NBA.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Free pick from NBA<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>HOUSTON -3.5 Portland<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Many of my best angles, especially when the theory crosses sports, are based on using the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Houston is 8-30 SU road. Portland is 17-20 SU at home, yet the Rockets are laying 3.5.\u00a0Anti-splits angle in which we go with road favorite if they have a much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is\u00a0423-294.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Market report:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: None in NCAA tournament for Saturday.&nbsp;&nbsp;Brooklyn Nets only big one in NBA, though Spurs a strong public dog. Many contrarian bettors believe in fading public underdogs, even at a lower ticket percentage than one would fade a favorite.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Portland Pilots, Houston Cougars in college. The Associating sees Houston Rockets, Oklahoma City, Brooklyn, Toronto, and Orlando.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Biggest splits: Southern Utah in college basketball has 58 percent of bets, but a mere 10 percent of money on them.&nbsp;&nbsp;Portland Trail Blazers have 51 percent of bets, but only one-percent of the money.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\ud83c\udfc0Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Brooklyn opened -1, now -3.5 at&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/record.revenuenetwork.com\/_INZGLEpYThb97H-d5Ks7MGNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/\">Bovada<\/a>. Raptors have gone from -9 to -11.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy.&nbsp;Our Million Dollar March on Vegas and Offshore is now&nbsp;<em>25-14 with all postseason tournament bets including Miami Florida as NCAA Tournament Game of the Year.<\/em>&nbsp;My 34<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp;March Madness as a pro handicapper may not yet be in my top 15, but I am still destroying the bookies.&nbsp;<strong>Both NCAA Tournament sides, plus side and total on The Basketball Classic.<\/strong>&nbsp;I am just that much better than anyone else. Newbies, now you know I am called The Lord of the Big Dance.&nbsp;<strong>Five NBA led by three Wise Guys.<\/strong><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong>Oh off winning night in NBA too! And MLB around the block.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?Page=Packages\">Get the picks now<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most contrarian bettors love to fade the bets in the first category \u201cpercentage of bets.\u201d The belief is that the public is almost always wrong (which is why bookmakers make a lot of money) by chasing square theories. Hence betting against them is a winning proposition. Joe Duffy, CEO of&nbsp;OffshoreInsiders.com&nbsp;is widely accepted as the top sports handicapper in the world. He prefers percent of tickets, which weighs $5 bettors the same as $500 and $5,000 a game wagerers saying, \u201cIf anything, the small bettor is the ultimate fade.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While not completely disagreeing, Cy McCormick of the Masterlockline asserts that he prefers betting against the money. \u201cBookmakers always win long-term, so I want to be rooting for the same side they are,\u201d while pointing out it is the money, not number of bets that will move the line.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Others like corroboration. If the same team is loved by both the handle and volume of bets, that\u2019s \u201cTruly a public play,\u201d according to noted gambler Big Red. Finally, the splits are considered a sharp versus square metric. If majority of bets are on side A, but most of the money is on side B, some gamblers consider this equating to side B betting a sharp versus square bet.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Elite 8 betting Saturday sees Houston vs. Villanova, Arkansas vs. Duke. Get a free NBA winner plus market reports on college basketball and the NBA.&nbsp; Free pick from NBA HOUSTON -3.5 Portland Many of my best angles, especially when the theory crosses sports, are based on using the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Houston is 8-30 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2022\/03\/elite-8-market-report-for-bettors-houston-vs-villanova-arkansas-vs-duke-free-pick-nba\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Elite 8 Market Report For Bettors: Houston vs. Villanova, Arkansas vs. Duke, Free Pick NBA<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18860"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18860\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18861,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18860\/revisions\/18861"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}