{"id":18437,"date":"2021-04-09T12:57:05","date_gmt":"2021-04-09T17:57:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=18437"},"modified":"2021-04-09T12:57:08","modified_gmt":"2021-04-09T17:57:08","slug":"nba-sharp-report-free-pick","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2021\/04\/nba-sharp-report-free-pick\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA Sharp Report, Free Pick"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery columns-0 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><ul class=\"blocks-gallery-grid\"><\/ul><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>So it begins for Joe Duffy clients! A new wave of super systems, streamlining of old ones, and the<em>&nbsp;Grandmaster goes 4-1 in MLB.&nbsp;<\/em><strong>Six MLB winners<\/strong>, three each of mid-to-late afternoon and three night led by&nbsp;<strong>NL Runline Game of the Week and a system that is +683.16 units<\/strong>&nbsp;on the plus side.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Four NBA tonight&nbsp;<\/strong>including a super system that is&nbsp;2301-1914-81. This includes 52-18-1 this year and 481-302-26 since 2015.&nbsp;It applies to both Wise Guys.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?Page=Packages\">Get the picks now<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Free NBA pick from Joe Duffy is&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SAN ANTONIO +8.5 Denver&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is no secret that the public loves better on the better and hotter teams. This creates an overlay. Spurs are 2-9 SU last 11. Denver is sizzling including winning seven straight and 16-of-19. However, we have an angle that says to bet on a much colder team is 519-377-13 ATS, despite being 356-553 outright, crushing the inductive myth about betting on the team you think will win outright.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sportsline gives San Antonio a 59 percent chance of covering. Action Network power ratings have this at 7.2 difference, so like TeamRankings, slight edge to our side. MasseyRatings has the spread at -7.5.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jamal Murray, who averages 21.8 points per game for Nuggets likely limited.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NBA trends:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Rockets under 79-50-1 last 131<\/li><li>Pelicans over 31-12 at home&nbsp;<\/li><li>Timberwolves 43-68-2 ATS last 113<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets NBA: Chicago (63), this is significant as the public generally likes favorites. The popular adage is public dogs die.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Philadelphia (82)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: LA Clippers, Golden State, Orlando&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Denver opened -6.5, now -8.5.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.betnow.eu\/wc\/clicks.php?aff=OFFSHOREINSIDERS_356_681_32585\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Bet Now<\/a>&nbsp;has the lowest moneyline juice of any approved and vetted sportsbook. This is massive as cutting one\u2019s risk per each losing bet maximizes profits.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So it begins for Joe Duffy clients! A new wave of super systems, streamlining of old ones, and the&nbsp;Grandmaster goes 4-1 in MLB.&nbsp;Six MLB winners, three each of mid-to-late afternoon and three night led by&nbsp;NL Runline Game of the Week and a system that is +683.16 units&nbsp;on the plus side.&nbsp; Four NBA tonight&nbsp;including a super &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2021\/04\/nba-sharp-report-free-pick\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">NBA Sharp Report, Free Pick<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18437","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18437"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18437\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18438,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18437\/revisions\/18438"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18437"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18437"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18437"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}