{"id":18139,"date":"2020-10-24T15:39:48","date_gmt":"2020-10-24T20:39:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=18139"},"modified":"2020-10-24T15:39:48","modified_gmt":"2020-10-24T20:39:48","slug":"nfl-betting-primer-week-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2020\/10\/nfl-betting-primer-week-7\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Betting Primer Week 7"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Everything bettors must know for NFL betting for Sunday, October 25.<\/p>\n<p>Best teams to bet on according to margin of cover. Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, \u201covers\u201d are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Team<\/td>\n<td>ATS Record<\/td>\n<td>ATS margin<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Miami<\/td>\n<td>4-2<\/td>\n<td>10.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Pittsburgh<\/td>\n<td>4-1<\/td>\n<td>7.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Arizona<\/td>\n<td>4-2<\/td>\n<td>6.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Team<\/td>\n<td>ATS Record<\/td>\n<td>ATS margin<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NY Jets<\/td>\n<td>0-6<\/td>\n<td>-11.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Dallas<\/td>\n<td>0-6<\/td>\n<td>-8.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Jacksonville<\/td>\n<td>2-4<\/td>\n<td>-5.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Best over teams based on average number of points they\u2019ve gone over by<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Team<\/td>\n<td>Over Record<\/td>\n<td>Over-Under margin<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>New Orleans<\/td>\n<td>5-0<\/td>\n<td>10.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Dallas<\/td>\n<td>4-2<\/td>\n<td>10.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Las Vegas<\/td>\n<td>4-0-1<\/td>\n<td>10.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tennessee<\/td>\n<td>4-1<\/td>\n<td>10.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Best under teams based on average number of points they\u2019ve gone under by<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\">\n<table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Team<\/td>\n<td>Under Record<\/td>\n<td>Over-Under margin<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Arizona<\/td>\n<td>6-0<\/td>\n<td>-4.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>LA Rams<\/td>\n<td>4-2<\/td>\n<td>-4.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>NY Giants<\/td>\n<td>5-2<\/td>\n<td>-3.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Sunday<strong>, 10 NFL winners led by Wise Guy\u00a0<\/strong>from Joe Duffy\u2019s Picks. Oh, last week Detroit wins as NFL GOY and yesterday Oklahoma UNDER as College Football Total of the Year.\u00a0<strong>\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?Page=Packages\">Get the picks now<\/a><\/p>\n<p>ATS Trends<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Kansas City 13-2 all<\/li>\n<li>Chargers 0-7 home favorites<\/li>\n<li>Seattle 7-0 road favorites<\/li>\n<li>Detroit 3-12 last 15<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Over-Under trends<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Pittsburgh under 36-8-2 road<\/li>\n<li>Cleveland over 7-0 favorites<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Injuries<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Cardinals superstar WR DeAndre Hopkins is questionable\n<ul>\n<li>47 catches, 601 yards, 2 TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Jets WR Jamison Crowder is doubtful\n<ul>\n<li>Already 29 catches for 383 yards, 2 TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Saints WR Emmanuel Crowder out\n<ul>\n<li>26 catches, 304 yards, 2 TDs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Buffalo is down to one true TD, Tyler Croft with has 6 catches<\/li>\n<li>Rams WR Robert Woods is probable for Monday<\/li>\n<li>Pats WR Julian Edelman questionable\n<ul>\n<li>20 catches for 302 yards<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Jets QB Sam Darnold is probable\n<ul>\n<li>Another shaky year with 3 TD and 4 INT<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>See above, likely to be without top WR<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Top consensus plays in terms of percent of bets: Green Bay (69), Dallas (64), Seattle (64) as the usual public love of road favorites keeps rolling along.<\/p>\n<p>Top consensus plays in terms of percent of money: Green Bay (97), Tennessee (88), Seattle (84)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Everything bettors must know for NFL betting for Sunday, October 25. Best teams to bet on according to margin of cover. Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2020\/10\/nfl-betting-primer-week-7\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">NFL Betting Primer Week 7<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[291,2221,2222],"class_list":["post-18139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-sports_betting_news","tag-nfl-picks","tag-week-7-nfl","tag-winning-nfl-picks-week-7","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18139","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18139"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18139\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18140,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18139\/revisions\/18140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}