The Seattle Seahawks take on the Dallas Cowboys in Seattle. Dallas is 1-1 SU, but 0-2 ats, splitting their two totals. Seattle is 2-0 SU and ATS, going over both games. Seattle is third in the NFL in over margin, going over by an average of 16.8 points per game.<\/p>\n
Dallas is fresh off a stunning come from behind win against Atlanta. Dogs of 4.5 or more off a comeback win in which they trailed by at least 17 points are go-against of 18-8 including 12-4 since 2006. This says to fade Dallas and go with Seattle. However, anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 185-129-8. One may point out that Dallas has played just two games. Overreaction is enormous early in year, so this angle is 73-43 for 62.9 percent in first four weeks or more accurately, weeks 3 and 4.<\/p>\n
When a team, in this case Seattle, is coming off consecutive games in which at least 60 points were scored, and the current total is 57 or higher, it goes over 15-4-1 all-time. It applies here.<\/p>\n
Odds: Seattle is -5 and a total of 57. It opened Seattle -3, -116 and 56.<\/p>\n
Public betting percentages: Though 55 percent of bets on Seattle, 84 percent of money on Dallas. 79 percent of bets and 94 percent of money on over.<\/p>\n
Power ratings: The best power ratings anywhere, say that Seattle should be laying -2.5 with a total of 52 and project Seattle to win 27-24,<\/p>\n
Computer simulations ATS: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found Dallas covering about 52 percent of the time, going under 67 percent with 30-26 final in favor of the Hawks. Another has Dallas covering 56.6 percent of the time at 4.5. The same percentage applies at 5 except the probability of a push goes up to two percent. It has the game under 53.6 percent of the time. Their power line is Seattle -3 and 55.<\/p>\n
Against the spread trends: Dallas 10-3 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Seattle 3-7 at home.<\/p>\n
Over-under trends: Dallas over 13-3 off spread loss. Seattle over 12-5 off SU win.<\/p>\n
Top expert pick on today\u2019s card is from Joe Duffy.\u00a010 NFL Sunday, season-high four Wise Guys, plus Monday Night Football winner.\u00a0<\/strong>All this and more at\u00a0OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>\u00a0with new much more mobile friendly website.<\/p>\n Our official free pick is DALLAS +5 at\u00a0NFL live lines<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" The Seattle Seahawks take on the Dallas Cowboys in Seattle. Dallas is 1-1 SU, but 0-2 ats, splitting their two totals. Seattle is 2-0 SU and ATS, going over both games. Seattle is third in the NFL in over margin, going over by an average of 16.8 points per game. Dallas is fresh off a … Continue reading Free Winning Picks Cowboys-Seahawks Betting Picks Preview<\/span>