{"id":18020,"date":"2020-09-08T23:02:29","date_gmt":"2020-09-09T04:02:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=18020"},"modified":"2020-09-08T23:02:29","modified_gmt":"2020-09-09T04:02:29","slug":"nfl-lock-pick-betting-breakdown-dolphins-vs-patriots-gambling-tips","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2020\/09\/nfl-lock-pick-betting-breakdown-dolphins-vs-patriots-gambling-tips\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Lock Pick Betting Breakdown Dolphins vs. Patriots Gambling Tips"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Miami Dolphins take on the New England Patriots week 1 of Sunday NFL betting. The Patriots begin the post-Tom Brady era. Cam Newton makes his debut for New England, while forever young Ryan Fitzpatrick tosses the pigskin for Miami.<\/p>\n<p>Odds: New England is -6.5 -115 with a total of 43 at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/record.webpartners.co\/_HMpGcY-4ZyP50iyUy8DRTWNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/sportsbook\/nfl\/\">NFL live lines<\/a>, latest odds at MyBookie. It opened Pats -7 and -115.<\/p>\n<p>Public betting percentages: Though 52 percent of wagers are on New England, a stunning 65 percent of money on Dolphins. This strongly implies sharp money on the Fins and the public rarely backs underdogs, especially in this price range.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-991\" src=\"http:\/\/linetrackers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Full-page-mybookie-1000-1024x576.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" srcset=\"http:\/\/linetrackers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Full-page-mybookie-1000-1024x576.jpg 1024w, http:\/\/linetrackers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Full-page-mybookie-1000-300x169.jpg 300w, http:\/\/linetrackers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Full-page-mybookie-1000-768x432.jpg 768w, http:\/\/linetrackers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Full-page-mybookie-1000-1536x864.jpg 1536w, http:\/\/linetrackers.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Full-page-mybookie-1000-2048x1152.jpg 2048w\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Power ratings: Massey Ratings has New England squeezing out a 24-16 win.<\/p>\n<p>Computer simulations ATS: Our top programs are clashing as one has Miami covering 6.5 58.5-41.6 percent of the time. The other elite simulation has the Pats beating the bookies 58 percent of replications.<\/p>\n<p>Computer simulations OU: One tells us the game goes over 52.9 percent to 44, the remaining games land on 43. The other elite simulator also has a mild 51 percent exceeding the number.<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread trends: Miami is 7-17 on field turf, but 7-2 last nine to AFC. Pats are 1-6-1 on field turf. New England is 7-1 at home in the series as the home team is 13-3 head-to-head.<\/p>\n<p>Over-under trends: Miami has gone over 6-1 underdogs.<\/p>\n<p>Follow us on social media:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/sportsbettingfreepicks\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/OffshoreInsidersPicks\/\">Facebook<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/periscope.tv\/offshoreinsider\">Periscope<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/offshoreinsider\">Twitter<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/offshoreinsiders\/\">Instagram<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Miami Dolphins take on the New England Patriots week 1 of Sunday NFL betting. The Patriots begin the post-Tom Brady era. Cam Newton makes his debut for New England, while forever young Ryan Fitzpatrick tosses the pigskin for Miami. Odds: New England is -6.5 -115 with a total of 43 at\u00a0NFL live lines, latest &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2020\/09\/nfl-lock-pick-betting-breakdown-dolphins-vs-patriots-gambling-tips\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">NFL Lock Pick Betting Breakdown Dolphins vs. Patriots Gambling Tips<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[2204,2203,2205,2206,87],"class_list":["post-18020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","hentry","category-sports_betting_news","tag-ats-nfl","tag-dolphins-patriots","tag-sports-memo-picks","tag-top-football-handicapper","tag-vegas-insider","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18020","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18020"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18020\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18021,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18020\/revisions\/18021"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18020"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18020"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18020"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}