{"id":16983,"date":"2020-03-24T21:00:19","date_gmt":"2020-03-25T02:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=16983"},"modified":"2020-03-24T21:00:20","modified_gmt":"2020-03-25T02:00:20","slug":"sports-gambling-podcast-exploiting-splits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2020\/03\/sports-gambling-podcast-exploiting-splits\/","title":{"rendered":"Sports Gambling Podcast: Exploiting Splits"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Show notes on\u00a0Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/offshoreinsiders.com\/\">OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>\u00a0superb podcast on betting splits.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.talkshoe.com\/conf\/summary\/8939144\">Listen to the full podcast here<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What are splits?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>How a pitcher or team does in a subcategory, the most popular being home\/road dichotomy&nbsp;<\/li><li>Most common usage is home\/away stats<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Sharp versus square usage&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Prevailing theory if one or both teams substantially better at home than road, go with home team<ul><li>False, such stats rarely hold up<\/li><\/ul><\/li><li>Fool\u2019s Gold is going with home underdogs if their home winning percentage much better than road teams away winning percentage&nbsp;<ul><li>Road favorite is almost always sharp bet<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>\u201cLouder\u201d the statement, the stronger it is<\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Why do anti-splits do so well?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Very rarely, especially in pro sports, is a team truly Jekyll and Hyde<\/li><li>Splits regress to the mean<\/li><li>SU stats overrated anyway, though even points per game margin splits don\u2019t hold up<\/li><li>Use oddsmakers knowledge against them<ul><li>Counterintuitive odds; follow the \u201cmessage\u201d<\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Conclusion<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Don\u2019t outsmart yourself<\/li><li>Think outside the box<ul><li>Zig while square zag<\/li><\/ul><\/li><li>If your capper advises you to ride splits, run like hell<\/li><\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Show notes on\u00a0Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy, CEO of\u00a0OffshoreInsiders.com\u00a0superb podcast on betting splits.\u00a0 Listen to the full podcast here What are splits? How a pitcher or team does in a subcategory, the most popular being home\/road dichotomy&nbsp; Most common usage is home\/away stats Sharp versus square usage&nbsp; Prevailing theory if one or both teams substantially &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2020\/03\/sports-gambling-podcast-exploiting-splits\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Sports Gambling Podcast: Exploiting Splits<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2104,2105,2106],"class_list":["post-16983","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-how-to-exploit-splits","tag-road-home-splits-gambling","tag-top-sports-bettor"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16983","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16983"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16983\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16984,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16983\/revisions\/16984"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16983"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16983"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16983"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}