{"id":16665,"date":"2019-12-10T13:10:19","date_gmt":"2019-12-10T18:10:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=16665"},"modified":"2019-12-10T13:10:21","modified_gmt":"2019-12-10T18:10:21","slug":"nfl-week-15-early-betting-intel-4-free-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2019\/12\/nfl-week-15-early-betting-intel-4-free-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Week 15 Early Betting Intel, 4 Free Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Four NFL free picks from superstar handicapper Joe Duffy. I am 34-17 NFL and 63-36 in football! Follow my premium picks on&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/offshoreinsiders.com\/\">OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Jets at Ravens (-14.5, 45)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Going with very bad underdog based on sweat barometer is 296-207-8 (Jets)<\/li><li>At least a 118-point difference for season on ats margin, go with worse team is 139-95-9 as Ravens league best 11-2 by +10.2 points per game (Jets)<\/li><li>Better team in short week unless they had substantially more snaps is 82-34 (Ravens)<\/li><li>Go with teams with at 90 fewer snaps on the season is 208-159-10 (Jets)<\/li><li>Jets final three games Ravens, Steelers, Bills&nbsp;<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The pick: Jets +14.5<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pats (-10, 40.5) at Bengals<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Anti-splits angle about fading road teams who have been better on road than home team has been at home is 141-104-11 (Cincinnati)<\/li><li>Much worse run defense late in season is 59-31-3 (Cincinnati)<\/li><li>Home underdogs of 9.5 in week 15 or later are 32-19 (Cincinnati)<\/li><li>Bengals franchise WR A.J. Green considered day-to-day<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The picks: Cincinnati +10<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rams at Cowboys (-3, 47)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Surprise stat: Dallas +64 point margin on year but under .500&#8230;<\/li><li>Going against teams with better points per game margin than record is 78-52-3 (Rams)<\/li><li>Favorites with +15 or more edge for season in points margin, yet two fewer wins are 22-15-1 (Dallas)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The pick: Rams +3<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Vikings (-3, 45) at Chargers&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Worse turnover team is 538-407-30 (Chargers)<\/li><li>Vikings WR Adam Thielen is probable after missing six of last seven games<ul><li>Minnesota averaging 24.5 points per game without him<\/li><\/ul><\/li><li>Fading home underdogs off win of 21 or more is 16-6 since 2012 (Vikings)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The pick: LA Chargers +3&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some of our favorite online books. All are vetted and approved.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/affiliates.5dimes.eu\/tracking\/Affiliate.aspx?idBook=1&amp;mediaTypeID=220&amp;AffUrlID=411\">5 Dimes<\/a>\u00a0very high limits, fantastic for added rotation games that many books either do not have or post very late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/record.webpartners.co\/_HMpGcY-4ZyOU9J4xpxpxGmNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/\">MYBookie<\/a>&nbsp;easy deposits and withdraws. As professionally run as any sportsbook I\u2019ve ever dealt with.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/record.bettingpartners.com\/_Izswyc1vPl8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/\">Bovada<\/a>&nbsp;longest track record of any A-plus online sportsbook.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gtbets.eu\/lp-baseball-betting?refer=137\">GTBets<\/a>&nbsp;my clients love their online casino in addition to sportsbook.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Four NFL free picks from superstar handicapper Joe Duffy. I am 34-17 NFL and 63-36 in football! Follow my premium picks on&nbsp;OffshoreInsiders.com&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Jets at Ravens (-14.5, 45) Going with very bad underdog based on sweat barometer is 296-207-8 (Jets) At least a 118-point difference for season on ats margin, go with worse team is 139-95-9 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2019\/12\/nfl-week-15-early-betting-intel-4-free-picks\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">NFL Week 15 Early Betting Intel, 4 Free Picks<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16665","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16665","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16665"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16665\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16666,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16665\/revisions\/16666"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16665"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16665"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16665"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}