{"id":16611,"date":"2019-11-24T09:38:02","date_gmt":"2019-11-24T14:38:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=16611"},"modified":"2019-11-24T09:38:07","modified_gmt":"2019-11-24T14:38:07","slug":"week-12-nfl-sharp-betting-report-2-free-nba-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2019\/11\/week-12-nfl-sharp-betting-report-2-free-nba-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"Week 12 NFL Sharp Betting Report, 2 Free NBA Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>It\u2019s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/record.bettingpartners.com\/_Izswyc1vPl8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/\">Bovada<\/a>,&nbsp;Caesars Palace, Hilton,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/record.webpartners.co\/_HMpGcY-4ZyOU9J4xpxpxGmNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/\">MYBookie<\/a>&nbsp;and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Detroit, Seattle, New York Giants&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Detroit, Baltimore, Seattle<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Jacksonville&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NFL injuries for fantasy football and gambling picks:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>49ers will likely have the services of TE George Kittle, and WR Emmanuel Sanders and Deebo Samuel<\/li><li>Patriots QB Tom Brady will start, but WR Mohamed Sanu will be limited as he practiced very little this week<\/li><li>Seahawks DE Jadeveon Clowney is probable<\/li><li>Eagles WR Alshon Jeffery probable but Nelson Agholor doubtful, RB Jordan Howard is doubtful<ul><li>Howard 525 rushing yards, 6 TDs rushing, 1 receiving&nbsp;<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>Jeffrey 34 catches 353 yards<\/li><\/ul><\/li><li>Redskins RB Adrian Peterson is probable&nbsp;<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>NFL weather.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>High Precipitation<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Game<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Precip %<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots<\/td><td>66%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Strong Winds<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Game<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Wind Speed<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns<\/td><td>15 mph<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Oakland Raiders at New York Jets<\/td><td>15 mph<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles<\/td><td>15 mph<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills<\/td><td>16 mph<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins<\/td><td>16 mph<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Top expert pick on today\u2019s card is from Joe Duffy! 13-3 overall from simply the best sports handicapper to ever walk this earth Joe Duffy! I am 15-7 NFL. Sunday&nbsp;<strong>NFL Game of the Year and Fox Sports Interconference Game of the Year&nbsp;<\/strong>on Dallas-New England is among&nbsp;<strong>four NFL Wise Guys and eight Majors!&nbsp;<\/strong>I mean there is a 72.9 percent angle going back to the 1980s in the Pokes-Pats.&nbsp;<strong>Two NBA winners&nbsp;<\/strong>added&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?Page=Packages\">Get the picks now<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NBA<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mavericks at Rockets<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Houston -5 with o\/u 232<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Houston followed an eight-game win streak with consecutive losses<\/li><li>Favorites or pick said situation 36-31<\/li><li>Dallas won four straight but hitting road<\/li><li>Fade dogs of 5 or more with four or more game winning streaks is 342-244-18<ul><li>67.9 percent when team we are riding has two or more game losing streak<\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Pick: HOUSTON -5<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Pelicans at Clippers<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>LA -12 with o\/u 234<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>New Orleans won three straight but fading streaking road dogs of 7 or more is 321-237-9<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, \u201covers\u201d are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Top NFL teams in terms of MOC:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Team<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>ATS Record<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Margin of cover&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Baltimore<\/td><td>5-5-0<\/td><td>9.9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>San Francisco<\/td><td>5-4-1<\/td><td>9.2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>New England<\/td><td>7-3-0<\/td><td>7.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Minnesota<\/td><td>6-5-0<\/td><td>3.1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Best teams to bet against in terms of MOC<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>Team<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>ATS Record<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Margin of cover<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cincinnati<\/td><td>4-6-0<\/td><td>-6.5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Washington<\/td><td>3-7-0<\/td><td>-5.8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NY Giants<\/td><td>3-7-0<\/td><td>-4.8<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Miami<\/td><td>5-5-0<\/td><td>-4.5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cleveland<\/td><td>3-6-1<\/td><td>-3.3<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It\u2019s the famed sharp versus square report with data from top sportbooks such as&nbsp;Bovada,&nbsp;Caesars Palace, Hilton,&nbsp;MYBookie&nbsp;and other books offshore and in Vegas. We also have two NBA free picks! Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Baltimore, Detroit, Seattle, New York Giants&nbsp; Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2019\/11\/week-12-nfl-sharp-betting-report-2-free-nba-picks\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Week 12 NFL Sharp Betting Report, 2 Free NBA Picks<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[77,1981,1982],"class_list":["post-16611","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-free-picks","tag-nfl-sharp-moves-week-12","tag-nfl-week-12-picks"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16611","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16611"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16611\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16612,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16611\/revisions\/16612"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16611"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16611"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16611"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}