{"id":16470,"date":"2019-10-13T08:01:56","date_gmt":"2019-10-13T13:01:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=16470"},"modified":"2019-10-13T08:01:59","modified_gmt":"2019-10-13T13:01:59","slug":"week-6-nfl-injuries-sharp-moves-public-consensus-weather","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2019\/10\/week-6-nfl-injuries-sharp-moves-public-consensus-weather\/","title":{"rendered":"Week 6 NFL Injuries, Sharp Moves, Public Consensus, Weather"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In no shock, the public loves road favorites this week, with the only two overwhelming public consensus bets on Atlanta and Arizona. Tennessee is slight road underdog, but opened as a favorite on the <a href=\"https:\/\/record.commission.bz\/_ejy4onLiLhH2Bt63Rqn6jGNd7ZgqdRLk\/1\/\">Betonline<\/a> lookahead line. Plus with home field being worth three-points, they are the implied better team playing on the road.<\/p>\n<p>As one can see below, with top advisor to pro gamblers Joe Duffy in another groove, high rollers are putting a beating on the books.<\/p>\n<p>Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Atlanta, Arizona<\/p>\n<p>Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Atlanta, Tennessee; Atlanta OVER<\/p>\n<p>Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Jacksonville<\/p>\n<p>Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds. This includes true opening lines over the summer when books had \u201cgames of the year\u201d lines posted: Dallas opened -1.5 to Jets now -7; Kansas City -8.5 now -4, Carolina P now -2.5.<\/p>\n<p>Top expert pick on today\u2019s card is from I am 40-24 NFL since preseason. I am 18-7 in college football! Updated: <strong>Ten<\/strong> <strong>NFL led by Wise Guy side<\/strong>. I swept Wise Guys already with Friday Night GOY on Miami, Big 10 Total of the Year Wisconsin UNDER. Also, Army UNDER was a Wise Guy. <strong>Added the ALCS total, plus a side or runline. <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Simply put, you never have runs like this on your own. My clients expect it and get it delivered. I am smoking hot. <strong>  <\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?Page=Packages\"><strong>Get the picks now<\/strong><\/a><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Two sites have fairly high winds today. Here is the week 6 NFL weather report:<\/p>\n<table>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Game<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Wind Speed<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n  Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/td>\n<td>\n  18 mph<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n  Seattle Seahawks at Cleveland Browns<\/td>\n<td>\n  16 mph<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<p>Critical NFL injuries:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n    Saints star RB Alvin Kamara will play<\/li>\n<li>\n    Rams RB Todd Gurley is out<\/li>\n<li>\n    Cardinals RB David Johnson probable<\/li>\n<li>\n    Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill is probable<\/li>\n<li>\n    Ravens WR Marquise Brown is doubtful<\/li>\n<li>\n    Dallas is ravaged with injuries with starting ORT La\u2019el Collins out and OLT Tryon Smith doubtful. WR Randall \u201cTex\u201d Cobb is game-time decision<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In no shock, the public loves road favorites this week, with the only two overwhelming public consensus bets on Atlanta and Arizona. Tennessee is slight road underdog, but opened as a favorite on the Betonline lookahead line. Plus with home field being worth three-points, they are the implied better team playing on the road. As &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2019\/10\/week-6-nfl-injuries-sharp-moves-public-consensus-weather\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Week 6 NFL Injuries, Sharp Moves, Public Consensus, Weather<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[173,291,1927],"class_list":["post-16470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-nfl-locks","tag-nfl-picks","tag-week-6-nfl-injuries"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16470","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16470"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16470\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16471,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16470\/revisions\/16471"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16470"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16470"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16470"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}