{"id":16461,"date":"2019-10-09T18:15:57","date_gmt":"2019-10-09T23:15:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=16461"},"modified":"2019-10-09T18:15:59","modified_gmt":"2019-10-09T23:15:59","slug":"week-7-college-football-sharp-betting-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2019\/10\/week-7-college-football-sharp-betting-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Week 7 College Football Sharp Betting Report"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n<p>\n  North Texas is one of the most significant consensus bets of the year. The public loves betting favorites. The general exception is they do happily bet highly ranked underdogs. But six-point underdog North Texas has gotten a stunning 87 percent of wagers. Here is the sharp rundown. \n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: North Texas, Army, UAB, Maryland, Wake Forest \n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Army, UAB, Vanderbilt \n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: South Florida, Louisville, Charlotte \n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, \u201covers\u201d are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. \n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Top expert pick on today\u2019s card is from Joe Duffy. 39-24 NFL since preseason. Heating up big time in college football with 7-2 Saturday. Football\u2019s first drop is up Thursday through Saturday, I have 15 college football winners. This includes\u00a0<strong>Friday Night Game of the Year and Big 10 Total of the Year. NFL Thursday Night total plus first three Sunday NFL!\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?Page=Packages\">Get the picks now<\/a>\u00a0\n<\/p>\n<p>\n  Best team this year in terms of \u201cSweat Barometer\u201d or margin of cover. \n<\/p><table><tr><td><p><strong>Team<\/strong>\n<\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>ATS Record<\/strong>\n<\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>ATS Margin<\/strong>\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Ohio State\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  5-1-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  18.0\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Wisconsin\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  4-1-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  16.6\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  LA Lafayette\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  5-0-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  14.6\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Penn State\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  3-2-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  14.5\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Navy\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  3-1-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  12.8\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Hawaii\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  3-2-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  11.6\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><\/table>\n<p>\n  Best teams to bet against thus far\n<\/p><table><tr><td><p><strong>Team<\/strong>\n<\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>ATS Record<\/strong>\n<\/p><\/td><td><p><strong>ATS Margin<\/strong>\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Nevada\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  2-3-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  -17.1\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Akron\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  0-5-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  -13.5\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  VA Tech\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  1-4-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  -12.2\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  U Mass\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  1-5-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  -12.2\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Rutgers\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  1-4-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  -12.0\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><p>\n  Bowling Green\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  1-4-0\n<\/p><\/td><td><p>\n  -12.0\n<\/p><\/td><\/tr><\/table>\n<p>\n   \n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>North Texas is one of the most significant consensus bets of the year. The public loves betting favorites. The general exception is they do happily bet highly ranked underdogs. But six-point underdog North Texas has gotten a stunning 87 percent of wagers. Here is the sharp rundown. Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2019\/10\/week-7-college-football-sharp-betting-report\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Week 7 College Football Sharp Betting Report<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16461","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16461"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16461\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16462,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16461\/revisions\/16462"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16461"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16461"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16461"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}