Here is week five NFL sharp report, which includes the so-called sweat barometer. As usual, the public consensus biggest bets are dominated by road favorites, the road underdog Arizona is in the house. Please note, the line moves are from in the preseason when many sportsbooks had odds posted.<\/p>\n
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: New England, Chicago, Arizona, Minnesota<\/p>\n
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New England, Arizona, Minnesota<\/p>\n
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Denver, Atlanta<\/p>\n
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Philadelphia opened -6.5 to the Jets but now -14; Pittsburgh -4 to Baltimore now +3.5; New Orleans -6 to Tampa now +5<\/p>\n
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, \u201covers\u201d are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.<\/p>\n
Top expert pick on today\u2019s card is from Joe Duffy. 33-17 NFL since preseason is the Grandmaster.\u00a0<\/em>Four NFL Wise Guys plus Major on Sunday. NFC South Total of the Year among the winners. Monday NFL winner too. Four NFL Wise Guys in the same day is substantial!\u00a0 Get the picks now<\/a><\/p>\n These have been the best teams to bet on:<\/p>\n These have been the best teams to bet against.<\/p>\n Weather looks good and no major problems to worry about.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Super sharp betting tips for week 5 NFL picks. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1904,1905],"class_list":["post-16430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-nfl-sweat-barometer","tag-week-5-nfl-betting"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16430"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16430\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16431,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16430\/revisions\/16431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}\n\n
\n Team<\/strong><\/td>\n ATS Record<\/strong><\/td>\n Margin of Cover<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n San Francisco<\/td>\n 2-1-0<\/td>\n 12.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n New England<\/td>\n 2-2-0<\/td>\n 11.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Tennessee<\/td>\n 2-2-0<\/td>\n 8.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Kansas City<\/td>\n 3-1-0<\/td>\n 4.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Carolina<\/td>\n 2-2-0<\/td>\n 4.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n \n\n
\n Team<\/strong><\/td>\n ATS Record<\/strong><\/td>\n Margin of Cover<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Miami<\/td>\n 0-4-0<\/td>\n -18.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Cincinnati<\/td>\n 2-2-0<\/td>\n -8.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Washington<\/td>\n 1-3-0<\/td>\n -6.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Atlanta<\/td>\n 1-3-0<\/td>\n -6.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Arizona<\/td>\n 2-2-0<\/td>\n -5.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n \n Denver<\/td>\n 1-3-0<\/td>\n -4.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n