{"id":1364,"date":"2007-12-13T17:56:06","date_gmt":"2007-12-13T22:56:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/12\/bowl-breakdowns-part-3\/"},"modified":"2007-12-13T17:56:06","modified_gmt":"2007-12-13T22:56:06","slug":"bowl-breakdowns-part-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/12\/bowl-breakdowns-part-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Bowl Breakdowns, Part 3"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><body lang=EN-US link=\"#2BA100\" vlink=purple style='tab-interval:.5in'><\/p>\n<div class=Section1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>This is Part-3 where the Center of the Handicapping<br \/>\nUniverse Joe Duffy\u2019s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of<br \/>\nthe bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 28-Dec. 29.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<h1><st1:place><st1:PlaceName><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>Michigan<\/span><\/st1:PlaceName><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'> <\/span><st1:PlaceName><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>State-Boston<\/span><\/st1:PlaceName><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'> <\/span><st1:PlaceType><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>College<\/span><\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>To say the least, these two teams are closely matched<br \/>\nstatistically on both sides of the ball. BC does get 3.3 more first downs per<br \/>\ngame but they are dead even in yards per play. <st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Michigan<\/st1:PlaceName><br \/>\n<st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> gets 93.5 more rushing yards<br \/>\nper game but <st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Boston<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>College<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><br \/>\naccrues 103.8 more passing yards. It\u2019s a net edge of 10.3 for the Eagles.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>However, the Spartans do get .9 more rushing yards per<br \/>\nattempt and .8 more passing yards per reception. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Boston College allows19.9 fewer total yards per game on .7<br \/>\nless yards per play and 66 fewer rushing yards per game. However, <span\nclass=SpellE>MSU<\/span> allows 46.1 fewer passing yards per game. In the key<br \/>\nareas of yards per play, BC has the upper hand in rushing yards per attempt<br \/>\nallowed of 1.6, passing yards per attempt of .6 and passing yards per reception<br \/>\nof .9. Even the turnover ratio is close with <st1:place><st1:PlaceName><span\nclass=SpellE>Mich<\/span><\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><br \/>\nhaving a net edge of two. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<h1><span class=SpellE><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>TCU<\/span><\/span><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>-Houston<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>It\u2019s <st1:City><st1:place>Houston<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\nas the mathematically superior team on the offensive side of the ball, but <span\nclass=SpellE>TCU<\/span> on defense. <st1:City><st1:place>Houston<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\ngets 3.7 more first downs per game, 124.8 more yards, <span class=GramE>1.4<\/span><br \/>\nmore yards per play. This is on 1.3 more rushing yards per attempt, 1.8 more<br \/>\npassing yards per attempt and 1.2 more passing yards per reception. The Cougars<br \/>\nalso complete 9.5 more percent of the passes.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>The only exception to <st1:City><st1:place>Houston<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\nwinning every offensive and <span class=SpellE>TCU<\/span> every defensive matchup<br \/>\nis <st1:City><st1:place>Houston<\/st1:place><\/st1:City> allowing 2.6 less<br \/>\npercent pass completions on defense. Other than that, the Horned Frogs are<br \/>\nallowing 46.6 fewer total yards per game, on 1.1 less yards per play. The<br \/>\nbiggest edge is in yards per catch allowed at 3.6. <span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<h1><st1:place><st1:PlaceName><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>Maryland-Oregon<\/span><\/st1:PlaceName><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'> <\/span><st1:PlaceType><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>State<\/span><\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Oregon<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><br \/>\nhas slight total yards advantages on both sides of the ball, but not so much in<br \/>\nall the yards per rush\/pass\/play categories. <span class=SpellE>OSU<\/span> has <span\nclass=GramE>a <\/span><st1:metricconverter ProductID=\"20.3 yards\"><span\nclass=GramE>20.3<\/span> yards<\/st1:metricconverter> per game upper hand on<br \/>\noffense. However the Terps get a slight <st1:metricconverter\nProductID=\".2 yards\">.2 yards<\/st1:metricconverter> per play edge. <st1:State><st1:place>Maryland<\/st1:place><\/st1:State><br \/>\ngets 1.8 more passing yards per attempt and 1.3 more passing yards per<br \/>\nreception. The Terrapins also complete 8.8 more percent of the passes. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Oregon<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><br \/>\nallows 42.9 less yards per game and .8 less yards per play. <st1:State><st1:place>Maryland<\/st1:place><\/st1:State><br \/>\nthough does allow 18.8 fewer passing yards. The Beavers allow 1.8 fewer rushing<br \/>\nyards per attempt, but <st1:State><st1:place>Maryland<\/st1:place><\/st1:State><br \/>\nallows .2 less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per<br \/>\nreception. <st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Oregon<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><br \/>\nallows 7.4 less percent of their <span class=GramE>opponents<\/span> passes to<br \/>\nbe completed. <st1:State><st1:place>Maryland<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> has a<br \/>\nturnover ratio advantage of six. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<h1><st1:place><st1:PlaceName><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>Central<\/span><\/st1:PlaceName><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'> <\/span><st1:PlaceName><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>Florida-Mississippi<\/span><\/st1:PlaceName><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'> <\/span><st1:PlaceType><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>State<\/span><\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><span\nstyle='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'><o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><st1:place>Central Florida<\/st1:place> has accrued 121.3<br \/>\nmore total yards per game on 1.4 more yards per play. <span class=SpellE>UCF<\/span><br \/>\ngets 1.6 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.6 more passing yards per attempt<br \/>\nas well as 1.3 more passing yards per reception. The Golden Eagles complete 7.2<br \/>\nmore percent of their passes. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Mississippi<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><br \/>\nhas the advantage in more defensive categories though. They allow 66.1 less<br \/>\npassing yards, though <st1:place>Central Florida<\/st1:place> allows 27.9 less<br \/>\nrushing yards. The biggest edge is in turnover ratio where <span class=SpellE>UCF<\/span><br \/>\nis 10 better. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<h1><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Times New Roman\"'>Penn<br \/>\nState-Texas A&amp;M<o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>The teams could not be closer offensively with A&amp;M<br \/>\ngetting a measly 3.8 more yards per game but they are dead even in yards per<br \/>\nplay and close in ever other category. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Penn<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><br \/>\nsweeps the defense, allowing 109.4 less yards per game on 1.3 less yards per<br \/>\nplay. The Nittany Lions allow 1.5 less rushing yards per attempt and 1.3<br \/>\npassing yards per attempt. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>The <span class=SpellE>Aggies<\/span> have a turnover ratio<br \/>\nof seven better.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:\nnormal'><o:p><\/o:p><\/b><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\"><span style='color:windowtext'>OffshoreInsiders.com<\/span><\/a><\/b><br \/>\nis offering complete bowl packages for Joe Duffy\u2019s GodsTips for $149, Stevie<br \/>\nVincent\u2019s BetOnSports360 for $199 or both for $299. Both handicappers give<br \/>\ndetailed analysis on every pick. Sign up now at <b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:\nnormal'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\"><span style='color:windowtext'>OffshoreInsiders.com<\/span><\/a><\/b><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/body><br \/>\n<\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is Part-3 where the Center of the Handicapping Universe Joe Duffy\u2019s GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 28-Dec. 29. Michigan State-Boston College To say the least, these two teams are closely matched statistically on both sides of the ball. BC does get 3.3 more &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/12\/bowl-breakdowns-part-3\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Bowl Breakdowns, Part 3<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1364","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_betting_news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1364","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1364"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1364\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1364"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1364"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1364"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}