{"id":1347,"date":"2007-10-24T10:33:08","date_gmt":"2007-10-24T15:33:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/10\/radio-touts-revive-myth-of-bailout-game\/"},"modified":"2007-10-24T10:33:08","modified_gmt":"2007-10-24T15:33:08","slug":"radio-touts-revive-myth-of-bailout-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/10\/radio-touts-revive-myth-of-bailout-game\/","title":{"rendered":"Radio Touts Revive Myth of Bailout Game"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple style='tab-interval:.5in'><\/p>\n<div class=Section1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Joe Duffy (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\"><b\nstyle='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>OffshoreInsiders.com<\/b><\/a>)<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Often spending 15 hours per day in front of this computer,<br \/>\nI do listen to a lot of sports radio stations around the country via the magic<br \/>\nof streaming audio. Every Monday, Friday and Saturday, I am entertained by<br \/>\nso-called handicappers, \u201cVegas legends\u201d and other mercenaries. The various<br \/>\npitchmen purchase infomercial segments peddling their weekly \u201copportunity of a<br \/>\nlifetime\u201d.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span><span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Bobby Ventura is the most pathetic.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>I heard a commercial from a guy in radio<br \/>\nvoice saying he was Bobby Ventura and they were 6-1 on Monday Night Football.<br \/>\nThen another guy in a boiler room Long Island accent comes on, says he\u2019s Bobby<br \/>\nVentura and it\u2019s only his second Monday Night Football release of the year. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>A handful of the touts do supply worthwhile information,<br \/>\nbut most of the shows, to quote politico William Gibbs, consists of an \u201can army<br \/>\nof pompous phrases moving across the landscape in search of an idea.\u201d<span\nstyle='font-family:Arial'> <\/span><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span>It\u2019s a<br \/>\nweekly echo chamber of how many ways the huckster tries to sway listeners into<br \/>\nbelievers. \u201cYou have to know which teams are coming to play and which are not\u201d<br \/>\ngenerally followed by a strange segue comparing football teams to horses, race<br \/>\ncars or other generic talking points. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>However, the one recurring specific assertion makes me<br \/>\ncringe because the boiler room tout is exploiting a myth with the intent of separating<br \/>\nfools from their money. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>It\u2019s the fairy-tale where the canned script claims that<br \/>\nwith about 60 or so college and pro football games they find \u201cone game\u201d in<br \/>\nwhich \u201cinformation so strong\u201d comes in.\u201d Of course \u201cwhen an opportunity this<br \/>\nstrong (\u201cstrong\u201d seems to be a favorite word of the <span class=SpellE>scamdicappers<\/span>)<br \/>\nlands on your lap, you have to simply unload on this game.\u201d As luck would have<br \/>\nit, that week\u2019s treasure chest just so happens to fall on the same day the paid<br \/>\nannouncement is scheduled to broadcast. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>The \u201cunload on this one game\u201d fool\u2019s gold could not be<br \/>\nfurther detached from reality. Like we said in reference to the Tim Donaghy<br \/>\nscandal, sharp players look to get information (not necessarily the vague<br \/>\nclaims of \u201cinside\u201d information) that will give them an edge over a span of<br \/>\nhundreds of bets. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>This is the No. 1 reason the NCAA should be concerned<br \/>\nabout Texas <span class=GramE>A&amp;M<\/span> coach Dennis <span class=SpellE>Francione\u2019s<\/span><br \/>\nsecret newsletter. \u201cGetting accurate injury information before the oddsmakers<br \/>\nacquire it would increase any decent sports bettor\u2019s winning percentage by 6-8<br \/>\npercentage points\u201d says Mike Godsey, Senior Handicapper of <a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.godstips.com\/\">GodsTips.com<\/a>. He admits that estimate errs<br \/>\non the conservative side. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Stevie Vincent of <a href=\"http:\/\/betonsports360.com\/\">BetOnSports360.com<\/a><br \/>\nagrees if \u201cevery coach published a secret newsletter, professional gamblers<br \/>\nwould annihilate the sportsbooks.\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>But contrary to what the boiler room touts want you to<br \/>\nbelieve, Vincent and Godsey are not referring to \u201cbetting the mortgage\u201d on any<br \/>\nsingle game or a small number of games, but hitting 60-plus percent of hundreds<br \/>\nof bets per year. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Between having been the GM of the Freescoreboard<br \/>\nscorephone network and now CEO of <b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span\nstyle='color:blue'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a><\/span><\/b>,<br \/>\nI\u2019ve gotten dozens of inquiries from handicappers who wanted to be part of said<br \/>\nnetworks. I always demand at least a week\u2019s worth of writing samples before<br \/>\nthey are even given consideration. <span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Frankly this caveat weeds out about 95 percent of<br \/>\napplicants. If the aspiring candidate does not supply analysis that convinces<br \/>\nme that the handicapper has insight that few bettors possess, he has zero<br \/>\nchance of ever being on a site in which I am the decider. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>My credo is that all established professional handicappers<br \/>\nare proud to show off the amount of research that goes into a bet.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>If a handicapper gives you no rationale, rest<br \/>\nassured you just paid for a coin flip. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Many claim to have \u201cinformation\u201d such as the previously referenced<br \/>\nnewest wave of radio touts. Those who actually can supply the privy and precise<br \/>\nscoop will document their claims with specifics of what their knowledge actually<br \/>\nis. Otherwise it\u2019s all propaganda. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Again, the golden rule is no matter how invaluable the lowdown<br \/>\nproves to be, any upper hand will pay off long-term. This is no \u201cbail out<br \/>\ngame\u201d.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>Excluding pushes, even the<br \/>\npreeminent gamblers will lose four out of every 10 bets. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Perhaps the biggest difference between the professional<br \/>\ngambler and the degenerate is that the elite bettors measure success by the<br \/>\nmonth, year and decade. Losing 40 percent of their bets has to be the cost of<br \/>\ndoing business.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>The deadbeat meanwhile falls<br \/>\nprey to any clown with a sales pitch and an 800 number. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Luckily for radio sales people and bookmakers, so many rainbow<br \/>\nchasers continue to choose the latter. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Joe Duffy is CEO of <b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span\nstyle='color:blue'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a><br \/>\n<\/span><\/b>and lead handicapper of GodsTips on said site. His picks are always<br \/>\nbacked by specific rationale as to why you too should bet his plays. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/body><br \/>\n<\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Joe Duffy (OffshoreInsiders.com) Often spending 15 hours per day in front of this computer, I do listen to a lot of sports radio stations around the country via the magic of streaming audio. Every Monday, Friday and Saturday, I am entertained by so-called handicappers, \u201cVegas legends\u201d and other mercenaries. The various pitchmen purchase infomercial segments &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/10\/radio-touts-revive-myth-of-bailout-game\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Radio Touts Revive Myth of Bailout Game<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[51,168,166,167],"class_list":["post-1347","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_gambling_strategy_articles","tag-bet-on-sports","tag-betting-information","tag-bobby-ventura","tag-tim-donaghy-gambling"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1347","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1347"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1347\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1347"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1347"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1347"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}