{"id":1294,"date":"2007-08-28T20:41:02","date_gmt":"2007-08-29T01:41:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/08\/preseason-results-are-worthless-in-handicapping-nfl-regular-season-bets\/"},"modified":"2007-08-28T20:41:02","modified_gmt":"2007-08-29T01:41:02","slug":"preseason-results-are-worthless-in-handicapping-nfl-regular-season-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/08\/preseason-results-are-worthless-in-handicapping-nfl-regular-season-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"Preseason Results Are Worthless in Handicapping NFL Regular Season Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple style='tab-interval:.5in'><\/p>\n<div class=Section1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><a name=\"OLE_LINK2\">Preseason results are worthless in<br \/>\npredicting the spread winners in NFL gambling. The Indianapolis Colts are 2-12<br \/>\nstraight up their last 14 exhibition contests. During that span, they became<br \/>\nthe first team in NFL history to begin 9-0 in consecutive seasons.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><span style='mso-bookmark:OLE_LINK2'>While in the NBA and<br \/>\nMLB, exhibition results are actually a good warning of which teams will come<br \/>\nout of the gate quickly or slowly, making the first 10 days of MLB easy<br \/>\npickings on underdogs, not so in the NFL.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'><br \/>\n<\/span>The Colts have won 14-of-16 September games outright. <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><span style='mso-bookmark:OLE_LINK2'>From 1992-95, <\/span><st1:City><st1:place><span\nstyle='mso-bookmark:OLE_LINK2'>Dallas<\/span><\/st1:place><\/st1:City><span\nstyle='mso-bookmark:OLE_LINK2'> was 49-15 in the regular season, winning three<br \/>\nSuper Bowls.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>Their preseason mark in<br \/>\nthose years was <\/span><st1:date Year=\"2001\" Day=\"12\" Month=\"7\"><span\nstyle='mso-bookmark:OLE_LINK2'>7-12-1<\/span><\/st1:date><span style='mso-bookmark:\nOLE_LINK2'>.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><span style='mso-bookmark:OLE_LINK2'>While appearing in<br \/>\nfour Super Bowls from 1990-93, <\/span><st1:City><st1:place><span\nstyle='mso-bookmark:OLE_LINK2'>Buffalo<\/span><\/st1:place><\/st1:City><span\nstyle='mso-bookmark:OLE_LINK2'> was also 49-15 in regular season contests. In<br \/>\npr<\/span>actice contests: 6-12. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Ben Roethlisberger was abysmal in the 2005 preseason. All<br \/>\nhe did after that was&#8211;in Bob Griese, Joe Montana, <span class=GramE>Tom<\/span><br \/>\nBrady fashion&#8211;efficiently direct the Pittsburgh Steelers to Super Bowl<br \/>\nvictory. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>One of the biggest myths in successful sports gambling comes<br \/>\nfrom the squares who claim sharp players don\u2019t bet preseason football. Those<br \/>\nwho bet on sports for a living know accurate motivational and key player<br \/>\nrotation information is obtainable. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>However the actual results hold no value in beating the<br \/>\nregular season NFL odds.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>Even the<br \/>\nRoethlisberger example showed focusing on key players will often result in<br \/>\nfalse positives or negatives. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>A comparable player at a comparable point in his career is<br \/>\na good example.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span><st1:State><st1:place>Arizona<\/st1:place><\/st1:State><br \/>\nis a great candidate to be this year\u2019s Cinderella. It call comes down to how<br \/>\nfar their young signal caller Matt Leinart has progressed. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>What can we deduce from his mixed preseason performance? Sports<br \/>\nwagering NFL experts will tell you, \u201cnothing\u201d.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Joe Duffy, CEO of <b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span\nstyle='color:blue'><a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>,<br \/>\n<\/span><\/b>is enemy No. 1 at the sports books.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'><br \/>\n<\/span>His premium plays and expert advice can be had there as part of sports<br \/>\nservice <span class=SpellE>GodsPicks<\/span>. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/body><br \/>\n<\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Preseason results are worthless in predicting the spread winners in NFL gambling. The Indianapolis Colts are 2-12 straight up their last 14 exhibition contests. During that span, they became the first team in NFL history to begin 9-0 in consecutive seasons. While in the NBA and MLB, exhibition results are actually a good warning of &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/08\/preseason-results-are-worthless-in-handicapping-nfl-regular-season-bets\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Preseason Results Are Worthless in Handicapping NFL Regular Season Bets<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1294","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_gambling_strategy_articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1294","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1294"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1294\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1294"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1294"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1294"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}