A few years back we wrote an article on the importance of We have very similar thoughts about comparing ballpark Yet again, we have to give props to the four-letter evil Still, statistical reliability would assume the quality of Then there is wind direction. Why, according the ESPN Ballpark Factor, is As of this writing, Rogers Centre in Toronto is the second So how do the elite gamblers use the stats? To measure the Yet Jake Peavy<\/span> is actually a Is there an edge for the over\/under better? Often Yet 15 of their last 18 home games have seen a total of 7.5 The Park Factor statistic is a valuable handicapping Brand new features: <\/span><\/span><\/span> <\/body> Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com) A few years back we wrote an article on the importance of evaluating how teams hit left-handed and right-handed pitchers. In summary, we surmised it was important, yet keeping in perspective, we demonstrated how the numbers can be greatly affected by random chance. Hence we warned about becoming too dependant on deceptive … Continue reading A Ballpark Figure Keeps Splits Into Perspective<\/span>
\nevaluating how teams hit left-handed and right-handed pitchers.
\nkeeping in perspective, we demonstrated how the numbers can be greatly affected
\nby random chance. <\/span>Hence we warned about
\nbecoming too dependant on deceptive statistics that are so often fools gold.
\nstatistics. There are some stadiums that could be classified as \u201cpitchers\u2019
\nballparks\u201d while others could reasonably be labeled more friendly to hitters.
\nempire ESPN. <\/span>In their fantasy baseball
\nsection, they have a straight-forward \u201cPark Factor\u201d that compares that rate of
\nstats at home versus the rate of stats on the road. A rate that is higher than
\n1.000 favors the hitter, with lower<\/span> than 1.000
\nfavoring the pitcher.
\nthe opponent has been equal at home and on the road.
\nor use a disproportionate number of aces and No. 2 starters in one location.
\nThis deviation is just one example.
\nin straight from center a higher percentage while other squads has an
\noverbalanced number blowing out to leftfield.
\nthe top hitters\u2019 park this year, but was 13th<\/sup> last season?
\nbest pitchers park, yet last year it was a hitters paradise ranking 7th<\/sup>
\nin hitting (24th<\/sup> pitching). <\/span>
\n
\norchard after finishing first each of the previous three years and third in
\n2003.
\nreliability of pitchers\u2019 splits is how we employ them.
\nto have statistically better stats at home than on the road, so there is no
\nangle in the fact Chris Young, Greg Maddux, and David Wells for example do.
\nbetter pitcher on the road than at home.
\n<\/span>This is an advantage for the gambler. A pitcher\u2019s splits are most
\neffective when measured against the ballpark stats.
\nshort-term, but rarely is the edge long-term as the sportsbooks adjust.
\ngames and 11-of-12 has seen a posted total of 8.0 or higher.
\nor lower. Thinking somehow the sportsbooks are oblivious to such angles is one
\nway for a gambler to subsidize bookmakers.
\nweapon, but more for statistical validation. Those who think they\u2019ve found the
\nHoly Grail with stadium comparisons are not in the same ballpark as the
\nsharpies. <\/p>\n
\nlive odds, matchups<\/span> from StatFox<\/span>
\nand Sports DataBases<\/span>, injuries, free picks and more.
\nsportsbooks are at <\/span><\/b><\/span>
\n<\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"