{"id":1264,"date":"2007-04-01T19:27:09","date_gmt":"2007-04-02T00:27:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/04\/late-season-nba-betting\/"},"modified":"2011-07-19T18:22:00","modified_gmt":"2011-07-19T23:22:00","slug":"late-season-nba-betting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/04\/late-season-nba-betting\/","title":{"rendered":"Late Season NBA Betting"},"content":{"rendered":"
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As we approach the homestretch in the NBA, we celebrate that it\u2019s a very profitable time for sharp players. This is in no small part because the oddsmakers adjust to false public perception. \u00a0Betting urban legends are quite popular this time of the year.<\/p>\n

As is the case in every sport, it\u2019s the time of the season that Joeybagofdonuts looks at the playoff races and simply goes with the \u201cteam that needs it more\u201d. Sharp players meanwhile will collect big time going with true spoilers against teams in must-win situations.<\/p>\n

First off all let us define the terms.\u00a0 A \u201ctrue spoiler\u201d is an organization that has no chance of making the playoffs and whose biggest wins henceforth can only be raining on somebody else\u2019s parade. \u201cWe are not talking about a top level team playing spoiler against the No. 9 team in the conference\u201d emphasizes Curt Thomas, lead NBA handicapper of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Likewise a \u201cmust win\u201d applies \u201conly to teams fighting for a playoff spot, not those simply jockeying for homecourt advantage,\u201d adds Thomas.<\/p>\n

Remember, bad teams have players fighting for their jobs in many cases.\u00a0 Fear is a great motivator and the desire to extend a seven-figure-a-year career can invigorate a player more than the thought of extending the season.<\/p>\n

This is not necessarily across-the-board.\u00a0 A veteran team such as Minnesota could have their key players thinking of simply getting the season over with.<\/p>\n

This is why in contests involving also-rans or desperate teams we take recent form much more into consideration than we do all other circumstances.<\/p>\n

As is the case all year, deceptive straight-up records are exploited when compared to scoring margins. However, there are a lot more outplay factors this time of the year than any other point of the season because of the aforesaid false motivation perceptions knocking the line even more out of whack.<\/p>\n

We can\u2019t say it enough\u2014straight up records is the most overused statistic in ATS handicapping. Successful betting isn\u2019t about who wins the game, but who covers the spread.\u00a0 Those who keep the books in business pay so little attention to the much more significant margin statistic.<\/p>\n

Let us move onward to more proactive betting secrets. Detroit, Dallas, Phoenix and San Antonio are veteran teams that will use the late-season to fine tune for the playoffs. We will look to fade those teams as huge chalks, especially against bad teams that have shown recent competitiveness.\u00a0 Again by that we mean close losses to quality teams, not necessarily straight up wins.<\/p>\n

If we ever decided to do a sports gambling version of Snopes.com, we could start with late season NBA betting truths and myths.<\/p>\n

In fact, lucky for you, we just did.<\/p>\n

Joe Duffy\u2019s sports betting selections are at GodsTips on OffshoreInsiders.com.\u00a0He is former General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>, <\/strong>the premier hub of world-class handicappers.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As we approach the homestretch in the NBA, we celebrate that it\u2019s a very profitable time for sharp players. This is in no small part because the oddsmakers adjust to false public perception. \u00a0Betting urban legends are quite popular this time of the year. As is the case in every sport, it\u2019s the time of … Continue reading Late Season NBA Betting<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1264","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_gambling_strategy_articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1264","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1264"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1264\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11774,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1264\/revisions\/11774"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1264"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1264"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1264"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}