{"id":12599,"date":"2011-12-15T17:16:42","date_gmt":"2011-12-15T22:16:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=12599"},"modified":"2011-12-15T17:16:42","modified_gmt":"2011-12-15T22:16:42","slug":"nfl-lines-falcons-vs-jaguars-picks-player-prop-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2011\/12\/nfl-lines-falcons-vs-jaguars-picks-player-prop-bets\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Lines: Falcons vs. Jaguars Picks, Player Prop Bets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Atlanta Falcons are prohibitive 13.5 point favorites to Jacksonville with a total of 42. Tonight\u2019s Falcons vs. Jaguars total is out of whack. Both models used by a respected commercial simulator have tonight\u2019s total off by at least a touchdown. Another extremely revered one has it off by about a dozen points. We name names. Several other have it off by more than a field goal, which this late in the year is rare. Many team trends and league-wide angles also point towards the same pick.<\/p>\n<p>Sharps give specific reasons why time-proven handicapping techniques also corroborate this sharp pick. The Key POD is 11-4 the last 15 in football and tonight\u2019s bet is so strong that only donkeys will be betting the other side of this bet. Don\u2019t be a donk. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?Page=Packages\">Tonight\u2019s spread winners<\/a> are on the OffshoreInsiders.com Network.<\/p>\n<p>Also player props galore exist as the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/index.php?PageID=13\">sportsbooks<\/a>.<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"2\" width=\"409\"><strong>PLAYER   PROPS<\/strong><\/td>\n<td colspan=\"3\" width=\"248\"><strong>Thu, Dec   15<sup>th<\/sup><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\"><strong>#<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"298\"><strong>Team<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"87\"><strong>PS\/RL<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"98\"><strong>Total<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"41\"><strong>ML<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85701<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">MOST PASS   YDS-BLAINE GABBERT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">+54.5 +125<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85702<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">MOST PASS   YDS-MATT RYAN<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">-54.5 -155<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85703<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">B.GABBERT   THROW-TD 1<sup>ST<\/sup><\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">-115<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85704<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">B.GABBERT   THROW-INT 1<sup>ST<\/sup><\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">-115<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85705<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">M.RYAN   THROW-TD 1<sup>ST<\/sup><\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">-280<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85706<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">M.RYAN   THROW-INT 1<sup>ST<\/sup><\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">+215<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85707<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   COMPLETIONS-B.GABBERT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">17.5 ov +100<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85708<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   COMPLETIONS-B.GABBERT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">17.5 un -130<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85709<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   COMPLETIONS-M.RYAN<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">22 ov +120<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85710<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   COMPLETIONS-M.RYAN<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">22 un -150<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85711<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT TD   PASSES-BLAINE GABBERT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">1 ov -105<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85712<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT TD   PASSES-BLAINE GABBERT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">1 un -125<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85713<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT TD   PASSES-MATT RYAN<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">1.5 ov -185<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85714<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT TD   PASSES-MATT RYAN<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">1.5 un +155<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85715<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">LONGEST   COMP(YDS)-GABBERT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">32.5 ov -115<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85716<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">LONGEST   COMP(YDS)-GABBERT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">32.5 un -115<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85717<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">LONGEST   COMP(YDS)-RYAN<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">38.5 ov -120<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85718<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">LONGEST   COMP(YDS)-RYAN<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">38.5 un -110<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85719<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">MOST RUSH   YDS-MAURICE J DREW<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">-5.5 -115<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85720<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">MOST RUSH   YDS-MICHAEL TURNER<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">+5.5 -115<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85721<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT REC YDS-   MAURICE J DREW<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">52.5 ov +155<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85722<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT REC   YDS-MAURICE J DREW<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">52.5 un -195<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85725<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">MOST REC   YDS-MERCEDES LEWIS<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">+24.5 -120<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85726<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">MOST REC   YDS-TONY GONZALEZ<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">-24.5 -110<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85729<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-M JONES DREW<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">5 ov +145<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85730<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-M JONES DREW<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">5 un -175<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85733<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-RODDY WHITE<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">5.5 ov -130<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85734<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-RODDY WHITE<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">5.5 un +100<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85735<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-MERCEDES LEWIS<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">3 ov +110<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85736<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-MERCEDES LEWIS<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">3 un -140<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85737<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-TONY GONZALEZ<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">5.5 ov -105<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85738<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-TONY GONZALEZ<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">5.5 un -125<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85739<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-JARETT DILLARD<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">3.5 ov -115<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85740<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-JARETT DILLARD<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">3.5 un -115<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85741<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-JULIO JONES<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">3.5 ov -125<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85742<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PASS   RECEP-JULIO JONES<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">3.5 un -105<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85743<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PTS   SCORED-MATT BRYANT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">7.5 ov +105<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85744<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT PTS   SCORED-MATT BRYANT<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">7.5 un -135<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85745<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT   TACK+ASSISTS-P.POLUSZNY<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">7.5 ov -115<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85746<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT   TACK+ASSISTS-P.POLUSZNY<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">7.5 un -115<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85747<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT   TACK+ASSISTS-C.LOFTON<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">8 ov +100<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85748<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT   TACK+ASSISTS-C.LOFTON<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">8 un -130<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"5\" width=\"668\"><strong>06:25 PM<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85749<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT   TACK+ASSISTS-S.WEATHERSPOO<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">8 ov +100<\/td>\n<td width=\"41\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"100\">85750<\/td>\n<td width=\"298\">TOT   TACK+ASSISTS-S.WEATHERSPOO<\/td>\n<td width=\"87\">&#8211;<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\">8 un -130<\/td>\n<td width=\"98\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Atlanta Falcons are prohibitive 13.5 point favorites to Jacksonville with a total of 42. Tonight\u2019s Falcons vs. Jaguars total is out of whack. Both models used by a respected commercial simulator have tonight\u2019s total off by at least a touchdown. Another extremely revered one has it off by about a dozen points. We name &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2011\/12\/nfl-lines-falcons-vs-jaguars-picks-player-prop-bets\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">NFL Lines: Falcons vs. Jaguars Picks, Player Prop Bets<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12599","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12599","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12599"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12599\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12602,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12599\/revisions\/12602"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}