{"id":12408,"date":"2011-11-07T21:47:36","date_gmt":"2011-11-08T02:47:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/?p=12408"},"modified":"2011-11-07T21:47:36","modified_gmt":"2011-11-08T02:47:36","slug":"key-play-of-the-day-is-every-gamblers-dream","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2011\/11\/key-play-of-the-day-is-every-gamblers-dream\/","title":{"rendered":"Key Play of the Day is Every Gambler’s Dream"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Key Play of the Day<\/a> told you that the pros love early season college basketball because soft lines are commonplace. We share the reason the pros give for tonight\u2019s oddsmaker blunder. Here is what the squares among you missed Monday.<\/p>\n

Eastern Kentucky @ Mississippi State<\/p>\n

Mississippi State (-17)<\/p>\n

5:00p<\/p>\n

Key Play of the Day: Eastern Kentucky +17<\/p>\n

I.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Private database gives EKU an 85.196 chance of covering<\/p>\n

II.\u00a0\u00a0 EKU \u201cPrinceton style\u201d offense keeps games close. They\u2019ve covered five straight as double-digit underdogs<\/p>\n

III. State struggled defending such offenses in non-conference games last season. The Colonels will utilize the 1-3-1 set, make the usual backdoor cuts to the basket and allow their frontcourt to take long jump shots.It\u2019s an early test for the Bulldogs\u2019 frontcourt, especially junior Renardo Sidney. The 6-foot-10 big man is a force inside but has yet to be truly tested outside the paint.<\/p>\n

IV.\u00a0 It will mark the college debut of freshman forward Timmy Knipp after the 2011 Gatorade Player of the year in the state of Kentucky committed to EKU in August. The 6-foot-8 Knipp averaged 31.1 points per game last season to lead the state of Kentucky. He had offers from UTEP, Duquesne, Marshall, Radford, Tennessee Tech and James Madison.<\/p>\n

V.\u00a0\u00a0 Eastern will get surprising production from two first year players. Two freshmen are expected to round out the starting line-up at Mississippi State \u2013 Timmy Knipp and Eric Stutz. Knipp hit a pair of three-pointers in the exhibition game on Nov. 2 while Stutz posted a team-high 14 points.<\/p>\n

VI.\u00a0 E KENTUCKY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points since 1997.<\/p>\n

VII.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.<\/p>\n

VIII.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.<\/p>\n

IX.\u00a0 Bulldogs are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 home games.<\/p>\n

X.\u00a0\u00a0 Bulldogs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.<\/p>\n

XI.\u00a0 Bulldogs are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.<\/p>\n

XII.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Bulldogs are 1-12 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.<\/p>\n

XIII.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater.<\/p>\n

XIV.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.<\/p>\n

XV. GreyMatterStats has Eastern covering<\/p>\n

XVI.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Teamrankings has 2* on East Carolina<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Key Play of the Day told you that the pros love early season college basketball because soft lines are commonplace. We share the reason the pros give for tonight\u2019s oddsmaker blunder. Here is what the squares among you missed Monday. Eastern Kentucky @ Mississippi State Mississippi State (-17) 5:00p Key Play of the Day: … Continue reading Key Play of the Day is Every Gambler’s Dream<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_betting_news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12408","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12408"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12408\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12410,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12408\/revisions\/12410"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}