{"id":1210,"date":"2007-02-15T22:14:53","date_gmt":"2007-02-16T03:14:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/02\/what-to-watch-for-in-the-nba-after-the-break\/"},"modified":"2007-02-15T22:14:53","modified_gmt":"2007-02-16T03:14:53","slug":"what-to-watch-for-in-the-nba-after-the-break","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/02\/what-to-watch-for-in-the-nba-after-the-break\/","title":{"rendered":"What to Watch For in the NBA After the Break"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple style='tab-interval:.5in'><\/p>\n<div class=Section1>\n<h1><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Joe Duffy (<a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">www.OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>) <o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>As you enjoy the All-Star break, the sideshows and the<br \/>\nmanlove debates, we want to share with you our crib sheet for the NBA second<br \/>\nhalf.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>These are proactive trends we look<br \/>\nto happen, rather than react when it\u2019s too late:<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><st1:City><st1:place><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Atlanta<\/b><\/st1:place><\/st1:City><b\nstyle='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'> Hawks pick up the pace: <\/b>The Hawks have<br \/>\nplayed their best basketball in up tempo games. When we saw Coach Mike Woodson<br \/>\nbring attention to this, we researched using the most important numbers. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>They are an uncanny 7-2 SU when the total is 200 or<br \/>\nhigher. In slower paced games (199.5 or less) they are 14-29, so that stat is<br \/>\nbig. The fact they enter the break going over 8-4 represents an effort by the<br \/>\nHawks to pick up the pace.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>We look for <st1:City><st1:place>Atlanta<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\nto run more up tempo, making the over an edge to keep an eye on. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Lamar Odom and<br \/>\nLakers benefit from the rest: <\/b>The Lakers do not have a lot of talent beyond<br \/>\nKobe Bryant, who has had to be a one-man show too often this year. Lamar Odom<br \/>\nfinally looked like the player many expected the first 21 games of the<br \/>\nyear.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>He then went down with a knee<br \/>\ninjury. Since his return, his numbers are off: down 2.9 points from his<br \/>\npre-injury and he\u2019s shooting a horrid 39.7 percent.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>According to Coach Phil Jackson, Odom is<br \/>\naround 80 to 85 percent of his full strength. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>No player will benefit from the break more than he.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>This is both mentally and physically. Because<br \/>\nhe is so valuable to the depth challenged Lakers, his return to 100 percent<br \/>\nwill be consequential and should sneak under the oddsmaker\u2019s radar. We expect<br \/>\nsome extra value for the <st1:place><st1:PlaceType>Lake<\/st1:PlaceType> <st1:PlaceName>Show<\/st1:PlaceName><\/st1:place><br \/>\nafter the break. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Mavericks will be a<br \/>\nvalue to go against: <\/b>Not exactly an exclusive story\u2014the Mavericks are<br \/>\nplaying out of the collective skull. However, the oddsmakers noticed. Betting<br \/>\non Dallas right now is like purchasing the trendiest completely sold out video<br \/>\ngame a week before Christmas\u2014no matter how hard you shop you will have to pay<br \/>\nway over market value.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>As we so often state, sharp players find line value in<br \/>\nteams that often win without covering or lose while staying within the number. Assistant<br \/>\ncoach Del Harris expressed merely winning the division is not the Mavs<br \/>\npriority. \u201cWe\u2019re shooting for the big flag\u201d. Look for <st1:City><st1:place>Dallas<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\nto pace themselves as winning games handily will carry a low priority. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>They can win games effortlessly and still fail in the<br \/>\nwallet. God help the books if they go in a slump.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>Look for the Mavericks to miss the covering<br \/>\nthe number by a small margin very often from now until the regular season<br \/>\nends.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>All-Star break a<br \/>\nBulls market: <\/b>The Bulls staggered into the break.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>But they also finished out with a seven game<br \/>\nroad trip, followed by a close home loss, and then they flew through a blizzard<br \/>\nbefore fading late to <st1:City><st1:place>Charlotte<\/st1:place><\/st1:City>. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>They are a better team than that. <span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span>Few teams need the break more than they do. We<br \/>\nlook for them to come out of the homestretch gate quickly. <\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal>Joe Duffy plays are on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.godstips.com\/\">GodsTips.com<\/a>.<br \/>\nHe is former General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network and CEO<br \/>\nof <b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span style='color:blue'><a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>, <\/span><\/b>the<br \/>\npremier hub of world-class handicappers. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span><b\nstyle='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span style='color:blue'><span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span><\/span><\/b><span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span><o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/body><br \/>\n<\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com) As you enjoy the All-Star break, the sideshows and the manlove debates, we want to share with you our crib sheet for the NBA second half. These are proactive trends we look to happen, rather than react when it\u2019s too late: Atlanta Hawks pick up the pace: The Hawks have played their &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/02\/what-to-watch-for-in-the-nba-after-the-break\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">What to Watch For in the NBA After the Break<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1210","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_gambling_strategy_articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1210","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1210"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1210\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}