{"id":1203,"date":"2007-02-11T21:09:32","date_gmt":"2007-02-12T02:09:32","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/02\/sports-gambling-watch-list-2-12-07\/"},"modified":"2007-02-11T21:09:32","modified_gmt":"2007-02-12T02:09:32","slug":"sports-gambling-watch-list-2-12-07","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/02\/sports-gambling-watch-list-2-12-07\/","title":{"rendered":"Sports Gambling Watch List, 2-12-07"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple style='tab-interval:.5in'><\/p>\n<div class=Section1>\n<h1><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>Joe Duffy (<a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">www.OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>) <o:p><\/o:p><\/span><\/h1>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Sharp players examine our daily news and notes on <b\nstyle='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span style='color:blue'><a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a>.<span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span><\/span><\/b>Among the other crib sheets we<br \/>\ncompile in-house are our pro-active sports gambling \u201cWatch Lists\u201d. These are<br \/>\nnuggets to look for based on drastic changes and recent trends by specific<br \/>\nteams. Most importantly, we analyze how the teams and oddsmakers will adapt<br \/>\naccordingly. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Update: <\/b>Gonzaga<br \/>\n6-foot-11 forward Josh Heytvelt has been suspended following an arrest. One of<br \/>\nthe leading candidates for West Coast Conference player of the year, Heytvelt<br \/>\nis averaging 15.5 points per game and 7.7 rebounds. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Insight: <\/b><span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span>Initially Gonzaga will be a go-against<br \/>\nespecially after the short-term rally-around-adversity reaches the point of<br \/>\ndiminishing return. The Zags will be a bubble-team (meaning more pressure)<br \/>\nwithout their key cog.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span>This is a classic<br \/>\ngo-against proposition in particular when the Bulldogs play against teams in<br \/>\npure spoiler roles. Interpretation: underdogs looking for a defining win in an<br \/>\n\u201ceverything to gain, nothing to lose\u201d contest.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>However, we look for the suspension to be short-lived as<br \/>\nHeytvelt is too important. Teams with dominant big men do the best in<br \/>\nconference play and the Big Dance (<st1:State><st1:place>Florida<\/st1:place><\/st1:State><br \/>\nlast year, <st1:State><st1:place>North Carolina<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> and <st1:State><st1:place>Illinois<\/st1:place><\/st1:State><br \/>\ntwo years ago headline many examples). They again will be a dark horse if he<br \/>\nreturns and the Zags make the NCAA.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Update: <\/b>Pacers<br \/>\ncontinue to play up or down to the competition. Through Sunday Feb. 11 action,<br \/>\nthey are just 14-13 SU to teams with a .500 or worse record, seven of the<br \/>\nlosses at home. They are getting key swingman Marquis Daniels back. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Insight: <\/b>This<br \/>\nis what we preach: the best \u201csplits\u201d are from teams that are not affected by<br \/>\nhome court advantage, plus the Pacers are like we so often say \u201cpredictably<br \/>\nunpredictable\u201d. Pending other factors, we look to lean going with them against<br \/>\nquality teams on the highway. Daniels is a guy, whose contribution will sneak<br \/>\nunder the radar, meaning often just inside the number. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Prior to his injury, he played his best basketball,<br \/>\naveraging 13.2 points in 27 minutes in the five games before missing action. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Update: <\/b>The<br \/>\nUCLA real-time injury report is crucial for all sports bettors. They face a key<br \/>\nroad trip to <st1:State><st1:place>Arizona<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> and <st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Arizona<\/st1:PlaceName><br \/>\n<st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> and may be without starting<br \/>\ncenter Lorenzo Mata and point guard Darren Collison.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Insight: <\/b>The<br \/>\nBruins will be very vulnerable if they are with devoid of either starter.<br \/>\nFreshman Russell Westbrook played miserably filling in for Collison, while Ryan<br \/>\nWright and Alfred Aboya proved to be a huge drop-off from Mata. The depth-challenged<br \/>\nBruins will likely lose both road games, yes even against <st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Arizona<\/st1:PlaceName><br \/>\n<st1:PlaceType>State<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place>, if both of their starters<br \/>\nare absent. <o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Update: <\/b><st1:City><st1:place>Detroit<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\nis 10-2 SU with Chris Webber in the line-up. He has three double-doubles.<o:p><\/o:p><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText><b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'>Insight: <\/b>Ride <st1:City><st1:place>Detroit<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\nagainst quality teams, especially on the road.<span style='mso-spacerun:yes'><br \/>\n<\/span>Webber is playing in a honeymoon period that will likely last through<br \/>\nthe playoffs. Rejuvenated underachievers are a component we\u2019ve exploited over<br \/>\nthe years. Also in the \u201c90 percent of the game is half-mental\u201d aspect, <st1:City><st1:place>Detroit<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\nhas convinced themselves lightning has struck twice. <st1:City><st1:place>Detroit<\/st1:place><\/st1:City><br \/>\ngot <span class=SpellE>Rasheed<\/span> Wallace midseason 2004 en route to a<br \/>\nchampionship and there are a lot of parallels to the current situation. <span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'> <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=MsoBodyText>Joe Duffy is Senior Handicapper at <a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.godstips.com\/\">GodsTips.com<\/a>. His 18-hour days during the<br \/>\ncollege postseason and the dividends it\u2019s paid for clients have earned him the<br \/>\nmonikers of \u201cMr. March\u201d and \u201cthe Lord of the Dance\u201d. Get his free gambling news<br \/>\nand notes at <b style='mso-bidi-font-weight:normal'><span style='color:blue'><a\nhref=\"http:\/\/www.offshoreinsiders.com\/\">OffshoreInsiders.com<\/a> <\/span><\/b><span\nstyle='mso-spacerun:yes'>  <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/body><br \/>\n<\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com) Sharp players examine our daily news and notes on OffshoreInsiders.com. Among the other crib sheets we compile in-house are our pro-active sports gambling \u201cWatch Lists\u201d. These are nuggets to look for based on drastic changes and recent trends by specific teams. Most importantly, we analyze how the teams and oddsmakers will adapt &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/02\/sports-gambling-watch-list-2-12-07\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Sports Gambling Watch List, 2-12-07<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1203","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_gambling_strategy_articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1203","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1203"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1203\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1203"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1203"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1203"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}