{"id":1121,"date":"2007-01-15T13:29:22","date_gmt":"2007-01-15T18:29:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/01\/gamblers-choose-the-road-most-traveled\/"},"modified":"2011-07-19T18:17:14","modified_gmt":"2011-07-19T23:17:14","slug":"gamblers-choose-the-road-most-traveled","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/2007\/01\/gamblers-choose-the-road-most-traveled\/","title":{"rendered":"Gamblers Choose the Road Most Traveled"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Robert Frost wrote a classic poem about the \u201cRoad Not Taken\u201d in which he chooses \u201cthe one less taken by.\u201d This may be a great lesson in life, but not so much in sports handicapping and beating the sportsbooks<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Sharp players are like scientists.\u00a0 We are always cultivating and purifying our theories.\u00a0 Working on a tip from one of SportsLine360.com\u2019s Board of Directors and pro bettor Jerry McCarn, a supposition has been tested and added to ratifying such process.<\/p>\n

It applies in every sport.\u00a0 When one team has played a disproportionate percentage of their games on the road, they generally are undervalued and not surprisingly, when a squad has played a disproportionately home heavy schedule, they are typically overrated.<\/p>\n

This hypothesis essentially further supports or in some cases, counters the home\/road dichotomy or \u201csplits\u201d used by many bettors, present company included. It also fills in a missing piece in even some of the more accurate strength of schedule ratings, in that it greatly helps isolate important angles in that line of thinking. This is so true in beating the NBA odds.<\/p>\n

A meeting of teams that have each fitting into the extremes of such category is not all that uncommon. Unbalanced schedules are par for the course over a season.\u00a0 When one team has played approximately 60 percent of the games at home, the other the same ratio on the road, we do at least put a red checkmark in the column of the team that has done the more traveling.<\/p>\n

The reason for this is simple.\u00a0 As we have said, the most overused statistic in sports gambling is the respective teams straight up won-loss records. Oddsmakers know teams with superior straight up records always get the public betting affection.<\/p>\n

Not only does the sharp player know better, but the sharpest of them all can spot a disingenuous winning percentage. A simple review of a team\u2019s schedule to date is a supreme starting point. We will add a follow-up to Mr. Frost\u2019s writing that taking the road less traveled does have its remuneration, but only if paved the way by excursions on the road most traveled.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Robert Frost wrote a classic poem about the \u201cRoad Not Taken\u201d in which he chooses \u201cthe one less taken by.\u201d This may be a great lesson in life, but not so much in sports handicapping and beating the sportsbooks. Sharp players are like scientists.\u00a0 We are always cultivating and purifying our theories.\u00a0 Working on a … Continue reading Gamblers Choose the Road Most Traveled<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-sports_gambling_strategy_articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1121","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1121"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1121\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11769,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1121\/revisions\/11769"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1121"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1121"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.joeduffy.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1121"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}