Free Baseball Underdog Winner and Why; Killer MLB Trends

Here is a baseball free pick from Grandmaster Joe Duffy:

BALTIMORE (KREMEER +138) Tampa Bay (Baz)

When an underdog is playing their first winnable game in recent play, listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you and bet on them at 283-224, 55.8 percent despite being a favorite every time. This returns +90.03 units for 17.6 ROI. Baltimore has been more than a 2-1 underdog in each of their last four games, but now has a chance to win a contest. Neither pitcher has a track record making a dog a good value. 

MLB trends:

💲NY Yankees 25-3 +20.3 this season units versus opponent committing .6 or fewer errors per game

💲Texas 11-1 +11.1 units this season after stranding 5 or fewer runners in consecutive games

💲Boston under 21-5 off loss this season 

💲Alex Wood 2-11 -16.1 units career versus NL opponent scoring 3.5 or less runs per game

💲Charlie Morton over 10-0 as favorite this season 

💲Tampa over 12-1 last 2 years after a game in which 4 or fewer runs were scored

💲Houston 0-8 -10.7 units this season after scoring 8 or more runs

💲Oakland 7-24 -18.5 units at home this season 

💲LA Angels 11-25 this season -18.7 units versus starting pitcher giving up 5.5 or fewer hits per start  

💲Jordan Montgomery under 21-4 off win last 2 years 

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Off a 5-0 sweep led by Game of the Decade on Warriors as Grandmaster rocks on. Wise Guy tops 3-0 sweep tonight. Get the picks now 

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