Critical Betting College Football Notes for December 5

Saturday, MAC East Game of the Year and Fox Saturday Night Game of the Year as we are 30-11 with named plays. 13 winners led by six Wise Guys. Then Sunday, it’s the NFL. NFL Totals Twosome of the Year among 10 winners. Three are Wise Guys. All at OffshoreInsiders.com    

  • The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on VSIN points this weekend to Bowling Green, UCLA, Ball State, Florida Atlantic, Nebraska, Memphis, Western Kentucky
  • Michigan OVER 10-0-1 coming off a home game where they scored less than 27 points
  • Texas RB Keaontay Ingram is transferring
    • Gave depth with 250 rushing yards
  • Purdue QB Aidan O’Connell is done for year
    •  64.7 percent of his pass attempts for 921 yards, 11 TDs, 2 INT
    • Jack Plummer takes over as QB
  • LSU will start T.J. Finley at QB
  • Biggest consensus bets in terms of percent of bets: Alabama 93, Florida 91
    • Far and away the two biggest public plays
  • Biggest line moves: Hawaii opened -6.5 now +2 to San Jose State, Oklahoma opened -13.5 now -21.5 to Oklahoma, Wisconsin -10 to -14 to Indiana, Colorado -3.5 to -7.5 to Arizona
  • Best teams based on margin of cover AKA sweat barometer. ATS record followed by ATS margin: Coastal Carolina 7-1-1 +16.2, BYU 6-2-1 +12, Indiana 6-0 +11.6
  • Best teams to bet against based on margin of cover AKA sweat barometer. ATS record followed by ATS margin: Kansas 0-8 -13.4, Penn State 1-5 -12.3, Michigan 1-5 -11.5, Florida State 2-6 -11.1
  • Another angle from Joe Duffy’s database. Big away favorites in triple revenge are 63-25. Favors Colorado, Texas A&M, Tulsa 

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