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Joe Duffy Picks are now 48-30 underdog moneyline winners outnumbering the moneyline chalk losers 26-6. It was led by ESPN NL Game of the Year on underdog Atlanta and yet another Hall-of-Fame game winner on Dallas as part of a 4-0 sweep.  So sign up for the monthly pick pass now!

Here is the intel you get every day:

DALLAS +2.5 Miami

If this line goes to 3.5, I will upgrade to a Wise Guy. The oddsmakers knew Dallas would likely play Tony Romo and the starters minimally anyway, so the sharp money on Miami was withknowledge that they may be able to sneak in a solid middle.

Dallas has a large contingent of young players and rookies battling for playing time. So they will have some players with a regular season intensity. Having proven veterans play a couple series in the Hall-of-Game game is something I would fade, not bet on.

Miami has looked sloppy so far, no surprise with key players being offseason additions. Today is not the day they need to prove anything and they know it. We will ride the hungry young Pokes and fade the false line move.

MLB

Wise Guy

ATLANTA (WOOD +120) Philadelphia (Lee)

ESPN NL Game of the Year

Atlanta had won nine straight while Philadelphia has lost 12-of-13. Philadelphia has lost 4-of-5 with Cliff Lee. Last five games Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .569 to .380. Sit down for this one. In their last 10 games it is .497 to .299.

Philadelphia 0-7 to teams with a winning record, 2-8 with Lee as favorite of 150 or less.

Major

MILWAUKEE (LOHSE -118) Washington (Jordan)

This is a competitor consensus. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side, we pass along as a competitor consensus.

LA DODGERS (FIFE -122) Cubs (Villanueva)

Dodgers are 18-4 in their last 22 road games. They are 18-3 an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse. Cubs are 31-64 as a team to teams with a winning record.

The Cubs have lost 6-of-7 overall. Stephen Fife has ERA and WHIP of 2.17 and 1.14 last five starts. With Carlos Villanueva, Chicago has lost four straight starts. Last three starts his ERA and WHIP are 8.22 and 1.957. They are 1-8 in his last nine. In their last 10 games LA has a slugging percentage of .425 to .354 to Chicago.

Let the winning continue now at OffshoreInsiders.com