Friday News and Notes

Friday, April 21,
2006

 

Are you still on the outside looking in? America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com sweeps the board last night with San Fran-Arizona way over the
total and the underdog Mets coming in. 
We have two NHL playoff winners plus five MLB.

Did you know there
is a team in which the underdog is an incredible 13-2 in their games this year?
That big underdog system that involves a team playing great defense applies
tonight.  You win with it again.

The ENTIRE card  is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  Alternate
forms of payment
are available
.
Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net

MLB

Braves-Nationals

Scorephone.com

Smoltz made five starts against
the Nationals last year, but only recorded one decision. That came in a 5-4
Braves win at RFK Stadium last June. For his career Smoltz owns an impressive 15-7 record with a 2.50 earned
run average in 56 appearances (29 starts) versus the Montreal/Washington
franchise. His counterpart, Nationals righthander
John Patterson, is also coming off his best outing of the young season.
Patterson dominated the Marlins through eight innings last Saturday, yielding
just one run and three hits while tying a career-high with 13 strikeouts to
notch a win. Patterson was outstanding in three starts against Atlanta
in 2005, but failed to record a decision in any of them despite allowing just
three runs over 14 2/3 innings. He has never beaten the Braves in six lifetime
starts, going 0-2 with a 4.28 ERA. The Braves are 25-13 against
Washington/Montreal over the last two years, but went just 4-5 in RFK Stadium in 2005. Atlanta
won 10 of the 19 matchups between the clubs a year
ago.

Marlins-Phillies

Courier Post

The Phillies will begin a three-game series with Florida
tonight at Citizens Bank
Park
. The Marlins will go with
Scott Olsen (0-1, 1.69) against Jon Lieber (0-3,
9.18). Lieber’s struggles are well documented, but
the veteran says he feels strong, unlike during his midseason slump last year
when he said his stuff was admittedly flat. “No question, I want to pitch the
next day (after struggling),” said Lieber, who
sandwiched one good start against Los Angeles between a pair of bad efforts
against St. Louis on Opening Day and one in Colorado in his last start. Lieber remains this team’s de facto No. 1 until someone
steps up to claim it. So far, the rotation has had good starts, but those are
outnumbered by one with far too many multiple-run innings. The staff is one of
many reasons the Phillies find themselves below .500 and struggling at home.

Reds-Brewers

MLB.com

Entering Thursday night’s game, the Reds’ defense had the
Major League’s lowest fielding percentage (.969) as well as the highest number
of errors (18). One game after he started and made his 2006 debut, catcher
Jason LaRue was not in Thursday’s lineup. Instead,
Javier Valentin was starting behind the plate. Narron plans to ease the workload on LaRue,
who was activated from the disabled list this week after recovering from knee
surgery. But Thursday’s decision had more to do with Valentin
batting 5-for-9 (.556) lifetime vs. Brewers starter Tomo
Ohka. Narron would like LaRue
to catch at least two games in the series, but the manager hasn’t decided if he’ll
start LaRue on Friday with Bronson Arroyo on the
mound. David Ross, the team’s third catcher, has caught all three of Arroyo’s
starts this season and the battery has worked well together.

Pirates-Astros

Post Gazette

Astros: They are the only National League team hotter at
the plate than the Pirates. In their current 5-2 run, they have scored 50 runs,
an average of 7.1 per game. The Pirates were 4-2 at Minute Maid last season, a
dramatic improvement over 2-19 in their first 21 games there.

Cubs-Cardinals

Mercury News

Mark Mulder will get the start
tonight instead of Sidney Ponson, to keep Mulder on
his four day‘s rest following the off day Thursday. The Cardinals have won
three series since losing the trio of games to the Cubs_their
only series loss this year. The Redbirds swept three from Philadelphia
to start the year; after the Cubs, they won two of three against Milwaukee,
Cincinnati and Pittsburgh.
The Cards (9-6) are 4-2 at home and 5-4 on the road. Chicago
(9-5) is 4-2 at home, 5-3 on the road.

Friday Trends

Thursday, April 20,
2006
  

The
Center of the Handicapping Universe
Godspicks.com for less than $8.20 per day! Get the NBA playoffs, NHL playoffs,
horse racing Triple Crown, and of course MLB through Game 7 of the NBA Finals
for $500.  Get the special offer now.

We have two Thursday night MLB winners, one dog
and one total. If you won’t jump on our postseason/Triple Crown offer, get at
least the four day pass to start the NHL and NBA playoffs on a winning note and
to continue the baseball windfall.

The ENTIRE card  is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  Alternate
forms of payment
are available
.
Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net

MLB

·       
Tomo Ohka has a WHIP
of 1.208 in eight starts to Cincinnati

·       
Dave Williams has a 1.181 WHIP to Milwaukee
in four starts

·       
Arizona
is 19-49 -37.7 last three years to teams outscored by .5 or more rpg

·       
San Diego
is 7-3 to Steve Trachsel whose ERA is 6.89 with a WHIP of 1.792

·       
Barry Zito has a 2.79
lifetime ERA and a 1.161 WHIP in 13 starts to Detroit

·       
Cleveland
is 31-17 +19.6 as road underdog of 150 or less the last two years

Thursday Godspicks

Thursday, April 20, 2006

The Center of the Handicapping
Universe
Godspicks.com for less than $8.20 per day! Get the NBA playoffs,
NHL playoffs, horse racing Triple Crown, and of course MLB through Game 7 of
the NBA Finals for $500. Get the special offer now.

We have two Thursday night MLB winners, one dog and one
total. If you won’t jump on our postseason/Triple Crown offer, get at least the
four day pass to start the NHL and NBA playoffs on a winning note and to
continue the baseball windfall.

The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. Alternate
forms of payment
are available
.
Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net

MLB

MINNESOTA (BAKER -115) Anaheim
(Carrasco)

The Angels have now lost 5-of-7 and are coming to earth. Minnesota
has won 6-of-8 and the home team is 11-3 in their games. In two starts, the
Twinkies Scott Baker has an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.236.

LAA is 1-9 on the road the last
two years when revenging a loss as a road favorite -10.6 units.

Thursday Sport Service Rundown

Thursday, April 20,
2006
  

The
Center of the Handicapping Universe
Godspicks.com for less than $8.20 per day! Get the NBA playoffs, NHL playoffs,
horse racing Triple Crown, and of course MLB through Game 7 of the NBA Finals
for $500.  Get the special offer now.

We have two
Thursday night MLB winners
, one dog and one total. If you won’t jump on our
postseason/Triple Crown offer, get at least the four day pass to start the NHL
and NBA playoffs on a winning note and to continue the baseball windfall.

The ENTIRE card  is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  Alternate
forms of payment
are available
.
Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net

Did you notice how so many expensive sports services have
the same plays hours after we release ours? 
Get your plays where they get theirs and eliminate the middle man at www.godspicks.com?

#

 

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#

4-20-06

VINCENT IS ON A 39-10 RUN!!!!!

Stevie hits Wednesday on Memphis
-1 beats Minnesota by 10 as a big LEVEL 5, also as a LEVEL 5 winner
the Great One nails
the Atlanta Braves over NY.
The Great One got a break with Orlando covering the half-point to Indiana. Also the Great One had the Knicks/Nets under, the Bulls in a 127-106 rout and a
nice LEVEL 3 on the St. Louis Cardinals.

FORENSIC HANDICAPPER STEVIE VINCENT HAS WON 10 OF THE 1 DAYS SINCE HE STARTED HIS HISTORIC SITE!! LEVEL 5 PLAYS ARE
19-2. 10 WERE BASEBALL DOGS

STEVIE HAS A LEVEL 5 PLAY AMONG THREE WINNERS IN BASEBALL
THURSDAY.

Special up NOW: All sports from the Great One
Stevie Vincent through the end of the NBA playoffs (mid June)
can be had for just $700
at the site

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#

The Alliance
went 5-2 Wednesday. Please released shortly but you can prebuy.
We are waiting for big information from Kongpop Sukhibomrong, head of the famed Asian Syndicate which
dominated Asian and European soccer for years has over the last two months
taken over the North American sports scene.

Purchase now at and the plays will be sent upon release. http://www.alliancehandicapping.com/premium.html

Alliancehandicapping.com http://www.alliancehandicapping.com/
is proud to be featured daily on the Handicapper’s Sampler http://www.joeduffy.net/blog/todays_top_sports_service_information/  Because the Alliance purchases all the top
sports service plays, generally 60-90 tout “Game of the Year” plays are good
enough to be re-released on the Alliance. 

 

Wednesday 4 Day Winners

Wednesday, April 19, 2006

We win AGAIN. America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com goes 2-1 with our only loser being in extra innings.  However yet again mere W-L record can’t do us
justice as Dandy Dog Texas cashes
in. Dandy dogs are dogs of 140 or more in MLB. We have three Wednesday afternoon winners up
now.

Our
latest run in MLB: 33-21 with dog winners outnumbering chalk losers 18-3 with
many Dandy Dogs among them.

Late steam is
inclusive in the price
which is sent upon completion later in the morning. The
ENTIRE card  is just
$17 at www.godspicks.com.  Alternate forms of payment
are available
.
Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net Godspicks
will again have the best NHL playoff winners in 2006.

MLB

FLORIDA (WILLIS +115) Cincinnati
(Harang)

SPECIFY WILLIS. The Reds have lost 3-of-4 while Flo will send their ace to the hill today. In three starts
he has a 1.93 ERA and a 1.125 WHIP. Aaron Harang has
been drilled in his two home starts, sporting a 8.48
ERA and a WHIP of 1.714.

In five starts to Cincy Willis
has a 4-0 record with a 0.97 ERA and .892 WHIP. In
three starts to Florida, Harang has been nailed for a 6.46 ERA and 2.022 WHIP.

The Reds are hitting just .241 their last seven games.

Final Sports Service Report for Wednesday Including Day Baseball

Wednesday, April 19,
2006

HANDICAPPING BULLETIN: Late steam added.  We have a total of 14 winners, eight MLB (4 night) and six NBA. 
We waited a little longer to release NBA for tonight to exploit the
misinformation and overreaction to accurate information that goes around
regarding resting of NBA players.  What a
day and night in store.   Our baseball
includes a night Wise Guy.

We win AGAIN. America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com goes 2-1 with our only loser being in extra innings.  However yet again mere W-L record can’t do us
justice as Dandy Dog Texas cashes
in. Dandy dogs are dogs of 140 or more in MLB.

Our
latest run in MLB: 33-21 with dog winners outnumbering chalk losers 18-3 with
many Dandy Dogs among them.

The ENTIRE card  is just $17 at www.godspicks.com.  Alternate
forms of payment
are available
.
Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net Godspicks
will again have the best NHL playoff winners in 2006.

 

#

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2006

·       
Sports-Handicapper.com EXCLUSIVE:  Kongpop
Sukhibomrong, head of the
famed Asian Syndicate which dominated Asian and European soccer for years has
over the last two months taken over the North American sports scene. He has two MLB and one NBA

·       
Luther
Wade is No. 1 in MLB this year by a remarkable 6.2 units. Stats are out of 620
services monitored, rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per
play.  Yesterday he hit with
Washington, Florida, Atlanta,
Milwaukee-OVER,
Toronto and Texas in one of
the great one-day performances ever documented. 
Luther has four MLB day and night
plays.
  We pass along all four.

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Alliancehandicapping.com http://www.alliancehandicapping.com/
is proud to be featured daily on the Handicapper’s Sampler http://www.joeduffy.net/blog/todays_top_sports_service_information/  Because the Alliance purchases all the top
sports service plays, generally 60-90 tout “Game of the Year” plays are good
enough to be re-released on the Alliance. 

 

#

4-19-06

VINCENT IS ON A 33-10 RUN!!!!!

FORENSIC HANDICAPPER STEVIE VINCENT HAS WON 9 OF THE 11 DAYS SINCE
HE STARTED HIS HISTORIC SITE!! LEVEL 5 PLAYS ARE 16-2. 10 WERE BASEBALL DOGS

STEVIE HAS A LEVEL 5 PLAYS ON WEDNESDAY IN BOTH BASEBALL AND
BASKETBALL! 2 GO IN THE NBA, 1 IN MLB.

Special up NOW:
All sports from the Great One Stevie
Vincent through the end of the NBA playoffs (mid June)
can be had
for just $700
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site using the science
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. Premium selections are
rated Level 1 to Level 5. They are available for $25 per day, cheaper long term.

Your URL for
the new revolution in handicapping is http://www.knockoutpicks.com/

Knockout
picks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s
Sampler
, the complete daily rundown of who is hot and who has the big play.

#

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sign up bonus, receive a 20% bonus for referrals and 20% of their losses back.

Sharp vs. Square Betting, WHIP, NHL Betting Myths

This is the latest in a series of a Godgepodge of sports betting strategy and other sports handicapping and gaming issues.  

Sharp versus Square FAQ

As clients know, we have had enormous success with sharp versus square plays. That means most of the sharp players are going one way and most of the sucker players the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw” contacts.  We go with the sharp money.  Our article “Sharp Players Don’t Disappear, They Just Fade Away” explains why such data truly works. 

It was a question from a loyal client who made us aware we were a bit fallible when we said “money” rather than “players”. Sharp players are almost always high rollers, but they are greatly outnumbered by the square investor, who covers a wide profile ranging from a $5 player to the $5,000 a game degenerate.

It’s “one man, one vote” as far as we are concerned.  Contrarian information from a $10 four-team parlay player can be as valuable as, and in most cases arguably more valuable than that from a dime player.  Also parlay selections are tabulated the same way individual plays would be.

As enlightened above, parlay players are a contrarian kingpin’s best friend. 

Can’t Claim Any Myths in the NHL

We’ve made a lot of money over the years exposing myths in sports betting.  Many of the false convictions, as we point out, are examples of inductive rather than deductive reasoning.  However in the NHL playoffs, a hot goalie and quality special teams are the big X-factor.  The difference between the two elements is that overall not recent performance would be most important when handicapping power play and penalty killing.  But the common idea it true, nothing is better than a netminder who enters the postseason “in the zone.”

WHIP it Real Good Baseball Handicapper

We had written an article that many of you raved about as being enlightening on ERA versus WHIP in baseball handicapping. Add one of the sharpest minds in sports handicapping history, Stevie
Vincent of OffshoreInsiders.com to list of sharp players who believe WHIP is the most underutilized tool in handicapping.

Vincent, a veteran actually uses walks/hits per game as his official stat.  It’s the same statistic just calculated over a full game rather than by inning. Vincent was using it before WHIP became chic by the roto geeks. Hence the slight difference which is nothing more than semantics. 

Vincent in fact believes “picking baseball totals is now the easiest way to win in any type of gambling: horses, craps, poker, blackjack, you name it.” Vincent weighs walks/hits per game first with each starter, using last three starts, last seven starts, year to date both overall and home/away, and then he utilizes each starter’s career stats in the game day ballpark.  Like us, he prefers bestowing a pitcher’s cumulative batting average against to the opposing team’s current players much more than the more widely used pitcher’s career stats against that team.

“That way if an AL pitcher came from the NL and faced Gary Sheffield when he played for the Braves, Dodgers, Florida, San Diego and Milwaukee, those stats are factored in.”  As Vincent points out, when lesser handicappers would instead simply use a pitcher’s career stats against the Yankees, it may take into consideration players who are no longer on the Bronx Bombers.

He acknowledges that can be the case when he uses ballpark stats, but as he points out “that’s what I want to measure, if a certain park caters to a pitcher’s strengths or exploits his weaknesses.”

Vincent says otherwise the ballpark stats would in many ways simply overlap with a pitcher’s lifetime stats against an opponent. “Gamblers’ double jeopardy” he calls it. Vincent than says that bullpen must be considered, but reading the boxscore from the night before is mandatory in knowing the availability of relief pitchers for the next day. 

Joe Duffy’s premium plays are available exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com. Get his exclusive news and notes from his own clipboard at JoeDuffy.Net home of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown of top sports service plays. 

Wednesday Advanced Pitcher’s Report Card Info

Wednesday, April 19,
2006
    

 

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MLB

·       
Dontrelle Willis is 4-0 lifetime to the Reds

·       
Pittsburgh
is 1-6 to Chris Carpenter, in 19 IP Carpenter has an ERA of 2.37

·       
St. Louis
is 5-1 to Victor Santos

·       
The Mets are 0-4 to Tim Hudson who has a
remarkable 1.93 ERA to the Mets

·       
The Braves are 10-2 lifetime to Tom Glavine, whose ERA is 1.50 on the year

·       
Andy Pettitte is 6-0 lifetime to Milwaukee

·       
The Yankees are 7-3 to Ted Lily

·       
Jamie Moyer has a 12-6 lifetime record to Texas

·       
In 21 IP, Brandon Webb has a 2.14 ERA

·       
Brad Penny has a 1.50 ERA in 18 IP

·       
Curt Shilling has a 1.64 ERA in 22 IP.  Boston
is 3-0 with him

Yesterday 3-0 MLB Sweep, Tuesday Pair of Dandy Dog WG Plays

Tuesday, April 18, 2006

 

It was ANOTHER
3-0 baseball sweep
for America’s
greatest sports service the Dream Team
at Godspicks.com on Monday.  That
included a rare chalk Wise Guy, the NL Chalk of the Week on tiny favorite Houston.
Tuesday we have two MLB Wise Guy Dandy Dogs. Dandy dogs are dogs of 140 or more
in MLB. Two Dandy Dogs win tonight.

We also have an NBA Major. The ENTIRE card  is just
$17 at www.godspicks.com.  Alternate forms of payment
are available
.
Godspicks is proud to be part of the Handicapper’s Sampler rundown
of which sports services are hot and who has the big play at JoeDuffy.net Godspicks
will again have the best NHL playoff winners in 2006.

MLB

CUBS (ZAMBRANO -117) LA Dodgers (Lowe)

The Cubbies are 7-3 their last 10, while LA is 2-5 their
last seven. Chicago has feasted in
right-handed starters, going 7-2 +5.1 hitting .300 with an OBP
of .350. LA is hitting just .246 to righties and .251
overall in their last seven games.

Chicago is 2-1
with Zambrano while LA is 1-2 with Lowe. In three
starts to LA, Zambrano has scary numbers of a 0.78
ERA and a WHIP of .652.

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