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February 16, 2006

Info, FAQ

Contact Information

Payments all OffshoreInsiders.com handicappers can be made by the following means:

Neteller: Neteller@joeduffy.net

Western Union: C/O Stephanie Kaye, Alpharetta, GA (email us your control number, name and phone number on the form to westernunion@JoeDuffy.net

Personal check: AJA Enterprises, 3000 Old Alabama Road, Suite 119-205, Alpharetta, GA 30022

Please note: The “alternate means” are recommended ONLY for long-term purchases to be made in advance.  One payment is confirmed (which means personal checks clearing) we then manually enter the purchase.  “Real time” purchases must be made directly through the site.

Password problems: purchases@joeduffy.net

General inquiries: contact@joeduffy.net

FAQ

How do I pay by credit card?

Please note that you need not use Paypal.  To pay by credit card, once you click on the credit card icon to the right, it will take you to a page where you can use PayPal directly or if you prefer credit card use the “Don’t have a PayPal account? Click here” option.

What is your winning percentage?

We have consistently hit in the upper 50s to mid 60 percentile in every sport.  We have the highest burden of proof and criterion before making a selection than anyone in the industry.

I lost money betting your plays yesterday.  Can I get a free day?

Anyone who wants a guarantee frankly should not be gambling. Gambling involves risk by definition and we eliminate long-term risk, while reducing short-term.  We do not win every day or even every three day period.

We will openly admit what the scamdicappers do not:  we do lose every now and then.  However our work ethic, experience, software, contacts, etc will insure that we win more than anyone else and at a fraction of the cost! Just as we do not request extra money every time we win, we do not give refunds for occasional losing days. 

Gambling by definition involves risk.  Frankly the only guarantee that any LEGITIMATE handicapper can give is that his plays are extremely well researched and we can say in good sense of right and wrong that our plays have a much better chance at winning in the long-term than any plays that will get anywhere.  “Make good” days to my knowledge are gimmicks used by services that charge 20 times what we do.  We offer the best selections on the planet for one of the lowest prices anywhere.  We are proud of the unprecedented value we offer.

It is by design that my plays are priced where you can try me for a week or even a month for LESS than it would cost you to get the selections from most inferior handicappers in a day.  Other handicappers know that they must make as much money from you as quickly as possible.  I believe that anyone who tries us for a long period will subscribe to my plays for their betting life.  My prices are with that supreme confidence in mind.  People who will try me for a day and it’s “one and gone” if I lose are unavoidable.  Luckily I have a lot more “won and I’ll try you again” days.  But for those kinds of clients timing is everything.

But I treat ever day as if it is my only chance to win someone for life.  So far, so good.

Nobody has more to lose by a losing day than I do from both a personal investing and business standpoint.  That is why I will work 16 hours a day to make sure the winning days greatly outnumber the losing ones to the benefit of us all!

Often the only difference between a client who uses me for only a day or so and one who will use me for many years is timing.  My investors and I will after basketball season weigh all the pros and cons of many things including pricing.  A possibility is raising prices and offering “make up days” as a gimmick as the more expensive (and inferior) handicappers do.

As we have been getting new clients literally every day, inevitably any time we lose for a day or two someone will have tried us for the first time and lost.  We have many loyal clients who like me suffer through a few inevitable bumps in the road—that’s why it’s called gambling, but stick with us because there is a lot more thick than thin.   To give free days after one losing day is frankly a slap in the face to them.

We are still waiting for people to beg to pay double on our more frequent winning nights.

Investing with a quality handicapper is like betting the stock market.  There are ebbs and flows but you will make money in the long run.   

If I buy a package from you, do the days have to be consecutive?

Our program is designed only for consecutive day purchases, much like a newspaper subscription.  However we have made exceptions for clients who buy at least a monthly package and are going out of town or cannot access for a few days. 

It is impractical to do this for four-day packages etc as all work must be done manually.  In fact they are designed for the weekend recreational bettor.

But if a long-term client wants to delay a subscription while out of town, we can arrange.

What is your record?

Over any long term period, we will hit near or above the 60 percentile.  Our Wise Guy plays are 3-5 percent better than our Major plays.  Note in baseball we pick predominantly dogs or small favorites, so our percentage will be lower, but our ROI will be even higher.

I have been thinking of using your plays as I visit your website every day.  However you never talk about losers.  Am I supposed to believe that you never lose?

I can say with a clear conscience that I believe that you will not get better selections anywhere.  However the best products of any kind must not ignore the basic principles of Advertising 101.

Marketing is not defined as an objective rundown of the pros and cons of a product.  Movies and restaurants do not post bad reviews with the good ones.
Automobiles do not promote anything negative said in Consumer Reports, just the positives.
Mc Donald’s does not publicize the calories or cholesterol levels of their products and Firestone I am confident will never mention the world “recall” in their commercials nor will any of the thousands of products that are recalled every year.

I live and die my selections, but I also need to keep the basic principles of advertising in mind. There will be no inaccurate records posted. I could tell the entire world every time that I lost but in fairness I would have to ask all the Ph.D. professors that I had who taught me to focus on the positive when advertising a product to retroactively lower my grades for throwing those principles out the window.
I believe I will win for you more than anyone on the planet will. I will also lose. But it would not be wise to advertise losing days.  It does make me dishonest, as I am not.  But it does make me a bit in tune with how marketing works.

Anyone could flip a coin, admit to picking heads when tails won. That takes about 30 seconds a day of “honest” handicapping.
If you upgrade to wanting a QUALITY handicapper, we are here for you.
But if merely talking about losers is all you want, I can respect that. Let me know if you decide to have as few losers as possible to talk about, a handicapper who would rather learn from losers than merely clear his conscience by talking about them.
Personally I hate losing and telling the world about it really doesn’t lesson the pain. I’d prefer to have clients that feel the same way. I do.
It is not my policy to elevate myself by bringing down other handicappers. But I will try to say this as tactful as possible.
When we formed it, we knew that it was imperative to first spend a ton of money making sure we had the best handicappers to promote. We spent a lot of money purchasing plays and “scouting” a ton of handicappers, including a few on that list. We came up with a wish list and spent a lot of money turning that list into reality. Only the best made the cut. We didn’t recruit any of your “honest” handicappers. I hope that is as delicate as possible. But then again, admitting to losers was not a criterion on our checklist.
Bluntly, we set the bar much, much higher. I do mean much higher. But to each his own. 

Is your site secure?

We have not had one instance that we know of where a client’s security of privacy has been breached.  We have as much to lose as anyone if that happens. Thus we have insured as realistically as possible at all costs no problems will happen.  Our secured server is the best in the business.

If I buy a long term package and am away from my computer, how can I get your picks?

The only way to keep Internet costs down is allow those plays to be accessed on the the Internet. 

How many plays a day do you release?

We always allow the quality of the card to dictate how many plays we release.  We’ve had complete Saturday college basketball cards in which we’ve released just two plays and we had a Thursday night football card with two games and we had plays on both sides and both totals including three Wise Guy plays.  As a general rule of thumb, we usually release 3-6 plays.

What time do you release your plays?

On weekdays in which there are no night games, our plays are up usually by 1:00 EST, generally earlier.  On days in which there are day games, we release much earlier but sometimes we will come back later with night plays.

Isn’t it a conflict of interest selling picks and promoting a sportsbook?

If it’s a conflict of interest, we are not doing a very good job as all our long-term records prove.  It would in theory be a conflict if the only people we sent to a sportsbook were our clients and the clients were also our customers.

While I don’t know of any scientific number comparisons, the number of clients who bet at sportsbooks is enormously higher than the number that purchase sports service selections. The biggest sportsbooks are looking for volume. They can adjust the line to ensure that there is enough square money to balance the sharp money.

Ideally a sportsbook would love to have 50 percent action on each side in every game.  Hence half the money wins every game. To be brutally honest, there are a lot more crap handicappers out there than good ones and the crap handicappers send clients to help sportsbooks get balanced action. 

Furthermore we give plenty of free information for the do-it-yourself handicapper.  A good faith estimate is 4-of-5 clients we send to sportsbooks never bought plays from us or any sports service. Frankly the main purpose of our free news and notes is to increase the number of do-it-yourself handicappers we send.

Finally we always urge line shopping, but we would only recommend a sportsbook that we personally place bets.  Having a reliable sportsbook that pays, helps our business not hinders it. 

Truthfully, the ethical reasons aside, I don’t think there are realistic benefits to putting out a lousy product. We have the largest number of repeat clients in the industry. 

And finally if anyone really thinks we are giving away ruse plays to benefit the books, then just bet against our plays.  It will be fool’s gold if you do, but ultimately we are only responsible for the plays we release, not how you bet them.