Joe Duffy with a big day and some free picks. JDP with four winning NBA including a Wise Guy side. Still like those coin flips on three and four-letter network websites from aspiring writers who know nada about handicapping? Welcome back to winners from a 31-year professional. It’s all I’ve done my adult life. Your degenerate handicapper wins.  Get the picks now

Jazz at Hawks 

• Teams that have lost at least 16-of-18 SU and getting 6 or more points decent 411-363-17 (Atlanta) 
• Teams that lost 16-of-18 versus an opponent won at least three straight are 100-75-4 (Atlanta)
• John Collins serving suspension for Hawks
  • 17 points per game, 8.8 rebounds per game
• Jazz G Mike Conley it out after re-injuring hamstring 
  • 13.6 points per game, 3.3 rebounds, 4.6 assists 

The pick: It’s a Wise Guy at OffshoreInsiders.com    

Lakers at Bucks

• Anthony Davis missed Tuesday, but should play tonight
  • 27.4 points per game, 9.3 rebounds per game
• Two teams with winning percentages .850 or over goes UNDER 74-59
• Kyle Kuzma out for Lake Show
  • 11.1 points per game, 3.4 rebounds 
• Thursday’s game between the Lakers and Bucks is the second-ever in a full NBA season to pit two teams with four or fewer losses on Dec. 19 or later.

No pick

Nets at Spurs

• Nets Nwaba is probable with sprained right ankle 
  • This month averaging 8.9 points per game, 2.6 rebounds in 16.6 minutes
• Jarrett Allen on fire for Nets. Over the last 17 games, Allen is averaging 14.5 points on 68.8 percent shooting, plus 11.7 rebounds per game. He’s risen to second in the NBA with a 65.5 percent field goal percentage
• Nets 11-5 record dating back to Nov. 15, the Nets are second in the NBA over that stretch in opponent field goal percentage (41.9) and opponent effective field goal percentage (48.5). They’re also ninth in defensive rating (105.1) over the same span
• LeBron admits 17 years in and 239 playoff games, not overly excited 

The pick: Brooklyn Nets +2.5

Rockets at Clippers

• Houston’s Eric Gordon remains out
  • 10.9 points per game, 1.9 rebounds 
• JaMychal Green is out for Clippers 
  • 7.4 points per game, 6.6 rebounds 
• Clippers much better home than on road, but no real edge
• Early money on dog, which is rare, but public does love quality dogs 

The pick: LA Clippers -5

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We are 3-1 with supplemental rotation playoff picks from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com. Yes, these exploit the same metrics that have made Duffy widely accepted as the industry standard and top sports handicapper in history. 

CFB

Wise Guy

James Madison-Weber State UNDER 47 at 5 Dimes  

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 834-507. A somewhat similar angle is 43-19 though obviously with much tighter parameters. 

Major

MONTANA STATE +17.5 North Dakota State at Bet Now   

Fading home teams off bad offensive efforts is 256-167-14. Fading teams off great defensive efforts is 134-93-2. Shockingly, this is the first time in history these systems combine in the same game. 

I am 69-40 with all football picks! Wise Guy and Major in college football for Friday. Saturday, what a windfall! Pre-Christmas Game and Total of the Year both go among six bowl winners. Three NFL Saturday led by two Wise Guys. Sunday, a stunning five Wise Guys and four Majors. Monday, another bowl Major. All this from Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com    

NFL and NBA free picks and football weather from OffshoreInsiders.com    

NFL

Free

MIAMI +3 +105 NY Giants

Bad road teams off a loss that was not a blowout are 251-149. Consecutive road games, team off a loss is 314-217. Road underdogs off a loss in which they covered are 85-50. 

NBA

NFL live lines, latest odds from MYBookie offering a $1,000 sign-up bonus!

Major

PHILADELPHIA -5 Brooklyn

Big road favorites despite splits that favor home team is 497-375-21. Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 371-289-8. When both apply, it is 59-39-2 for 60.2 percent.

Weather NFL

Wind conditions of concern

Game	Wind Speed
Miami Dolphins at New York Giants	17 mph
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers	15 mph

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Joe Duffy is 34-17 NFL and a draw-dropping 64-36 in football. Wise Guy Navy UNDER the latest! Six NFL Wise Guys, five NFL Majors. Seven basketball added! That is $1.61 a winner! Get the picks now

FCS Quarterfinals winning picks using the same metrics that have Joe Duffy domination regular rotation games. 

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. 

 CFB

Wise Guy

Northern Iowa-James Madison UNDER 45 at 5 Dimes the place for added rotation games

At least one high scoring team but fairly low total and either or both have a total much less than previous game goes under 507-333-20. Postseason  when one team scoring team in a game not expected to be mega high scoring, it goes under 42-19. A subsystem of famed math angle goes under 81-33-5. 

Major

JAMES MADISON -20 to Northern Iowa at Bet Now another great shop for added rotation football and basketball. 

Short week momentum angle is 52-17. 

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy sweeps the board with Dallas and Cleveland. The latter a double-digit dog winning by eight. Eight winning NBA selections led by two Wise Guys. Most importantly, it includes NBA Game of the Year. Promises made, promises delivered.  Get the picks now