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>>>LEVEL 3 PLAY is
on CENTRAL MICHIGAN over Eastern Michigan

Forensic ATS information on this game: Eastern Michigan
0-10 home off consecutive games in which they attempted 50 or less shots, 4-14
home conference, 0-10 home after consecutive games where they attempted 50 or
less shots, 17-35 off SU win, 3-8 home opponent road winning % of less than
.400, 3-9 home v. teams w/losing record,

Saturday, December
16, 2006

Bowls are here. style='mso-ansi-font-size:12.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt'>Approved
sportsbooks are at href="http://www.linetrackers.com/">www.linetrackers.com class=bodytext1>
  style='mso-spacerun:yes'> 

Creighton-Fresno

Press Notes

Fresno State
prepares for one home game this week against Creighton at Hour="19">7 p.m. Saturday, December 16 at the Save
Mart Center.
The Bulldogs are coming off three consecutive road games, going 2-1 against Oregon
State, UC
Santa Barbara and Montana State.
Fresno State
returns home and will play its next six games at the SMC. The Bulldogs carry an
8-1 record into Saturday’s game, while the Bluejays
are 4-2. Fresno State
holds a 0-5 all-time record against Creighton, including a 67-62 loss last
season in Omaha in the Bulldogs’
ESPN Bracket Buster game. Saturday’s game will mark the first time in history
that Creighton will visit Fresno.

Cincinnati-Ohio style='font-size:12.0pt'> State style='font-size:12.0pt'>

Press Notes

The University
of Cincinnati faces its first Top
25-ranked foe of the season when the Bearcats clash with No. 4 Ohio State on
Saturday at the John Wooden Tradition in Indianapolis,
Ind. Cincinnati
enters the game with a 7-2 record following Wednesday’s 67-57 win over class=SpellE>crosstown rival Xavier. The Bearcats’ two losses were by a
combined total of three points. Ohio State
is 8-1. The Buckeyes have been idle since last Saturday’s 78-57 win over Cleveland
State.

Akron-Illinois style='font-size:12.0pt'>Chicago style='font-size:12.0pt'>

Press Notes

The Flames sit at 5-5 on the year and are a perfect 3-0 at
home. UIC has had a week off for final exams after
dropping a hard-fought decision to Illinois
last Saturday at the United Center, 71-66. This is the start of a rigorous
stretch for UIC. The Flames will play four games in
the next seven days with stops after Saturday’s tilt with Akron
at Mississippi (Dec. 19) and Penn
(Dec. 21), before returning home to take on Illinois
State (Dec. 23). The Zips come into
their showdown with UIC riding a six-game winning
streak and are 3-0 in road games this year. Akron
has shot better than 50 percent from the field in each of its seven contests
this year and boasts a team shooting percentage of .521.

Bowling style='font-size:12.0pt'> Green-Wright style='font-size:12.0pt'> State style='font-size:12.0pt'>

Press Notes

The Wright State
University men’s basketball team,
after opening with six of seven games on the road, will host class=GramE>Bowling Green. The Raiders, now
3-4, defeated the Falcons last year at Bowling Green 70-51.

Sunday, December 17,
2006

NFL

Jets-Vikings

Journal News

Jets QB Chad Pennington has a career-high 15
interceptions, including four in the last two games. Pennington and the Jets’
passing game will be crucial Sunday at Minnesota
because the Vikings’ defense is allowing an NFL-low 54.1 rushing yards per
game.

Browns-Ravens

Gainesville style='font-size:12.0pt'> Sun

The Ravens (10-3) lead the division by two games over Cincinnati
and if they win Sunday and the Bengals lose at Indianapolis
on Monday night, will be division champions for the second time in team
history. Baltimore also won the
division in 2003, the last time it made the playoffs. Even if Baltimore
loses to Cleveland (4-9), something
that doesn’t happen very often, it can still clinch a playoff spot through a
multitude of other scenarios. Since leaving Cleveland
for Baltimore after the 1995
season, the Ravens are 10-5 against the team that replaced them. The Ravens
have won six of their last seven games and are tied with Indianapolis
for the second-best record in the AFC. Baltimore
is 5-1 at M&T Bank Stadium this season and has
won 15 of its last 19 home games in December. As the
Ravens continue to win, quarterback Steve McNair seems to grow more comfortable
in the offense. He has completed 68.1 percent of his passes and thrown for
eight touchdowns in his last seven games, and didn’t throw an interception in
six of those contests. McNair has thrown nine touchdowns passes and only one
interception in his last five starts against the Browns, posting a 98.6 passer
rating. The Ravens are first in the NFL in total defense, allowing 268.1 yards
per game. Baltimore style='color:black'> has allowed a league-low 170 points and has held style='color:black'>Cleveland style='color:black'> to 14 points or less in 10 of their 15 all-time meetings. The
Browns, who have lost eight consecutive road games to division opponents, are
trying to avoid a winless season against AFC North teams.

Dolphins-Bills

Gainesville style='font-size:12.0pt'> Sun

Miami and Buffalo,
both 6-7, resurfaced in the crowded conference race after convincing victories
over East opponents last Sunday. Neither team can clinch a berth with a win
this week, but both can improve their positioning. The Dolphins, who have won
five of their last six games, recorded their first shutout in six seasons with
a 21-0 home victory over division-leading New England
last Sunday. It was the 10^th time this season that Miami
has held an opponent to 20 points or fewer. Taylor
and safety Yeremiah Bell combined for 15 tackles and
two sacks as Miami’s second-ranked
defense held the Patriots to a season-low 189 yards. The Dolphins allow 278.2
yards per game.

Steelers-Panthers

Steelers.com

The Steelers know they have an uphill battle if they are
going to get into the post-season, as they not only have to win their last
three games, but a variety of other things have to happen as well.

12-15-06

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PRO BASKETBALL

>>>FREE PLAY is on
DENVER over Boston

Forensic ATS information on this game: Boston is 3-15 at
home off road win, 12-28 off win, 1-9 after consecutive games with 10 or less
offensive rebounds, 10-24 won 3-of-4, 3-15 home off road win, 11-25 double
digit win, 12-28 off win, 1-6 as home underdog, 1-6 to West, Denver 6-0 road
favorites, 6-1 1 day rest, 7-2 as a favorite of less than 5, 13-6 to East

Wednesday, December
13, 2006

Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com,
Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com
and MasterLockLine.com style='color:black'> are part of style='color:blue'> style='color:black'>OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

Wake Forest-DePaul

Press Notes

The Demon Deacons, 5-2, are looking to snap a two-game
losing streak. Wake Forest
hasn’t played since an 87-86 home loss to Georgia
on Dec. 2.

Xavier-Cincinnati

Press Notes

This is the 74^th meeting between Xavier and Cincinnati.
Cincinnati leads the series 46-27,
although Xavier has won three of the last four, five of the last seven and
seven of the last 10 meetings. That XU success includes a 73-71 overtime win
last season. Xavier, 7-2, saw its four-game winning streak come to an end with
a 73-67 loss at Creighton on Saturday night.

Massachusetts-Louisville

Kentucky.com

UMass, which was a pre-season
pick to challenge Xavier for the Atlantic 10 championship, is off to its best
start since the 1995-96 Final Four season, but has no quality wins, having
beaten such teams at Dartmouth, Jacksonville
State and Savannah
State. The Minutemen’s losses came
at No. 4 Pittsburgh (85-68) and at home against Boston
College (84-73). class=SpellE>UMass is shooting nearly 50 percent from the field and
three of its four leading scorers are all shooting better than 55 percent — 6-9
center Rashaun Freeman (68.2), 6-8 senior forward class=SpellE>Stephane Lasme (66.7) and 6-6
junior guard James Life (55.6). Life is also shooting 50 percent from
three-point range (25-51). Lasme posted the second
triple-double in UMass history with 19 points, 10
rebounds and a school-record 11 blocked shots in a 63-49 win over St. Francis
(N.Y.).

Wright State-Marshall

Dayton style='font-size:12.0pt'> Daily News

Wright State’s
tiny band of basketball players got tinier Monday when 6-foot-6 junior forward
Scottie Wilson found out his right hand was broken. He is third on the team in
scoring at 7 points a game, and leads the Raiders (3-3) in rebounding with 6.3
a game. Wright State coach Brad Brownell said he wasn’t sure what he would do
with his lineup, but has started either Wilson or 6-6 Drew Burleson with 6-8
Jordan Pleiman in every game but one. He also has not
played the three of them together, keeping at least one on the bench. “Injuries
are circumstances you can’t control,” Brownell said. “We have only three true
post players. Now, we have two. And it happens at a time we have three games in
a week.”

UL Lafayette-New style='font-size:12.0pt'>Orleans style='font-size:12.0pt'>

Press Notes

The game will also be the 63^rd contest between
the schools, and UNO (3-6) will be trying to reverse
recent history. The Ragin’ Cajuns (2-6) have won five
straight meetings and lead the all-time series 32-30. UNO,
though, is looking to start 1-0 in conference play for the fourth time in five
seasons. The Privateers are coming off a 76-52 win over Texas-Tyler on
Saturday. UL Lafayette is coming off an 80-42 loss at Stephen F. Austin on
Saturday.

Thursday, December
07, 2006

It’s underway:
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which is offering href="../../../../My%20Documents/version%20of%20the%20advanced%20news%20and%20notes,%20computer%20trends,%20weather%20information%20and%20more%20for%20the%20entire%20bowl%20season.%20%20Much%20of%20the%20information%20isversion%20of%20the%20advanced%20news%20and%20notes,%20compuhttp:/www.offshoreinsiders.com/index.php?PageID=3">a
premium version of the advanced news and notes, computer trends, weather
information and more for the entire bowl season. style='mso-spacerun:yes'> Much of the information is compiled from
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NFL

Browns-Steelers

Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360

We believe Derek Anderson gets the start for Cleveland
at QB. Kellen Winslow will start at TE. Pittsburgh
will be without starting WRs Cedrick
Wilson and Hines Ward.

href="http://p6.hostingprod.com/@joeduffy.net/">JoeDuffy.net

60 chance of a snow shower, winds west/northwest at 17
mph, kickoff temperature 23 degrees

Associated Press

Steelers, winners of the last six, have taken control by
beating the Browns 20 times in 25 games since coach Bill Cowher took over in
1992. The Browns haven’t won successive games since Day="5" Month="10">Oct. 5-12, 2003, a span of 54 games. The Steelers
traditionally thrive at this time of year – since 2001, they are 21-5 in
regular-season games played on Dec. 1 or later. And it was this week a year ago
when they began the eight-game winning streak that carried them to their first
Super Bowl title in 26 years.

NBA

Suns-Nets

NY Times

The Nets, who have only one victory against a team above
.500, will have a chance to take a huge stride in the right direction Thursday
when they play host to the Phoenix Suns (10-6).
Seven of the Nets’ defeats have come against teams with a sub-.500
record. The Nets lost six in a row earlier in the season, and they broke the
skid with victories over two of their lowly Atlantic Division foes, the Boston
Celtics and the Philadelphia 76ers.
Joe Duffy’s sports betting selections are at www.GodsTips.com style='mso-spacerun:yes'>

NY Sun

With Stoudemire back, some
observers began forecasting 70 wins for the Suns. Then the Suns began the
season by losing five of six, and cooler heads began to remind people that class=SpellE>Stoudemire might take a couple of months to return to his
old form, which included a 26 points per game, 8.9 rebounds a game season in
2005 and Rookie of the Year honors in 2003. Since their sluggish start, the
Suns, who visit the Meadowlands tonight, have been on a tear. They’ve won nine
out of 10 and during the last two weeks.

CBB style='font-size:12.0pt'>

Alabama-Notre Dame

Press Register

Fourth-ranked Alabama
will face the sternest test yet to its unblemished record tonight when it takes
on Notre Dame at the Joyce Center
in South Bend, Ind.
The Crimson Tide (7-0) tips off against the unranked Irish (6-1). Alabama
has more than its ranking to defend. Its pride took a
hit in last year’s game against the Irish, when Colin
Falls nailed seven 3-pointers and
led Notre Dame to a 78-71 win at Coleman Coliseum. As was the case in last year’s
game, Tide point guard Ron Steele will not be 100 percent healthy. Steele’s
back was tightening up on him in the Irish upset last year, and this time
tendonitis in his right knee will affect his play. Notre Dame is coming off an
impressive 81-74 win over then-No. 23 Maryland
in Washington, D.C.,
and has a chance to make another big statement against the Tide. Alabama
has stumbled around a bit in sweeping its last three at home against class=SpellE>subpar competition. Steele did not play in two of those
games, then was pushed to 35 minutes in last Saturday’s
78-60 win over Tennessee State.
Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com is
pioneer in forensic handicapping and part of OffshoreInsiders.com
style='mso-spacerun:yes'>

Austin style='font-size:12.0pt'> style='font-size:12.0pt'>Peay-Morehead style='font-size:12.0pt'> State style='font-size:12.0pt'>

Leaf Chronicle

The Govs have won their last six over Morehead
State. Austin Peay
views the entire weekend as a dangerous journey. After playing Morehead
State, the Govs head down to play Eastern
Kentucky on Saturday. They don’t call this part of the Ohio Valley
Conference swing a trip to “Death Valley” for nothing.
The Govs are riding high after knocking off a Tennessee Tech team that was
picked to finish third in the OVC, three spots higher
that Austin Peay. They snapped a three-game series
losing streak there. MasterLockLine.com class=bodytext10> has the top plays from the top
sports service in their highest ranked sports.

Eastern Illinois-Tennessee Tech

Journal Gazette

Yes, Tennessee Tech has beaten last season’s NCAA Sweet
16, Kansas-conquering Bradley. Yeah, the Golden Eagles beat the now 6-3 Bradley
team that won by 20 over a DePaul team that won by 30 over Eastern
Illinois this season. But when it comes to the
earlier-than-ever-starting Ohio Valley Conference basketball race, Eastern and
Tech are dead even at 0-1. And when it comes to momentum, an class=SpellE>EIU team predicted to finish ninth in the 11-team class=SpellE>OVC might be running ahead of the No. 3 pick Eagles. While
the Panthers after a 53-50 near-upset loss to defending champion Murray State
used Mike Robinson’s last-second 40-footer to beat Arkansas State 73-70 on
Saturday, Tech was brought back down to earth from its conquest of Bradley when
it lost its OVC opener at Austin Peay
77-70. We see whether Tech, 3-3 for the season, has recharged with four days
without a game or is on a downward spiral. Having taken Tech into overtime last
season in a game that dropped the Panthers to 0-5 in a 6-21
season, Eastern should have confidence in that it is considerably ahead
of last year’s pace. Joe Duffy’s sports betting selections are at href="http://www.godstips.com/">www.GodsTips.com style='mso-spacerun:yes'>

Pepperdine style='font-size:12.0pt'>-Long Beach style='font-size:12.0pt'> State style='font-size:12.0pt'>

Press Telegram

The Long Beach State
men’s basketball team will play its first home game in a day short of three weeks
tonight when the Pepperdine Waves visit the Walter
Pyramid for a 7:05 class=SpellE>nonconference meeting. During the extended “road trip,” the
49ers (3-4) lost three times by an average margin of 24 points (to USC, UCLA
and Temple) before rallying Sunday to beat the University of Maryland-Baltimore
County, 57-53. Senior guard Kejuan Johnson missed
three games after his broken nose was set on Nov. 27 but is expected to return
to action tonight. The Waves, who were projected to finish seventh (among eight
teams) in the West Coast Conference by WCC head
coaches, improved to 2-6 Monday night with a 78-72 victory in Boulder against
the University of Colorado Buffaloes. Three of their losses have come to three
of Long Beach’s fellow Big West Conference members, Cal State Northridge
(95-92), UC Santa Barbara (89-80 in overtime) and class=SpellE>UC Irvine (68-66), all played within a stretch of eight
days in late November. The Waves, who are scoring 79.6 points per game, are
playing with a roster that includes just eight scholarship players after
sophomores Mike Gerrity (a Mater Dei High graduate)
and Chris Oakes quit, and Jason Walberg (who transferred from Saint Mary’s to
play for his father as a senior) suffered torn knee ligaments last week.

We have written many bowl articles over the years that have led to big winnings at the expense of the books.  Here are some of the most important elements to remember and what separates the top sports handicappers from the absolute squares.

The Dictionary as a Handicapping Tool: For whatever reason unbeknownst to sharp players, so many gamblers put too high a price on road record in picking games on a neutral field.  A neutral game is just that—no more a road game than a home game.

Ticket Sales: We do pay close attention to how much of their allotments a team sells of their tickets.  However, it’s not just for what many would consider the obvious reason—which team could have more of a “12^th man” cheering section.

One of the keys for a handicapper is to distinguish which teams are merely in a consolation game and which consider their postseason contest to be significant. Years of study has shown us it’s rare when a bowl is big for the fans but not for the players and visa versa. This is especially so when ticket sale discrepancies are not explained by each team’s proximity to where the game is being played.

So in short, unless a bowl is essentially a geographic home game for one squad, if one team sold 20,000 tickets and the other 4,000, it’s a strong sign the game is much more important to the former school.

Long Layoffs: Another myth is the proverbial “go with the team that enters the preseason hotter”. The long layoff hurts teams that had momentum going and gives squads that finished on a skid time to make adjustments.

Leave Conference Bowl Records for the Media: Don’t go too overboard looking at early bowl conference performances when handicapping the later bowls. Quality of competition, low sample size and so many other factors go into which conference is 3-0 and which is 0-3 in bowl games.  Don’t overlook all other factors and assume how one or two teams from a conference does early is more accurate than full season strength of schedule ratings.

If anything, the bowls have a few more “don’ts” for the postseason as the bowls bring out some of gambling’s top myths.  But for the most part, everything that works in the regular season applies in the postseason with some adjustments made for the so-called intangible factors.

Power ratings we use are adjusted as bowl season goes on.  However proper, not reactionary changes are made.

For more information: Check out the sports betting tips videos and exclusive sports handicapping podcasts