ABC Big 12 Conference Championship Game: Texas vs Nebraska

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Courtesy of OddsShark.com
The Texas Longhorns and the Nebraska Cornhuskers will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Cowboys Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Longhorns listed as 14½-point favorites versus the Cornhuskers, while the game’s total is sitting at 47.
Colt McCoy threw four TD passes and ran for anther as Texas defeated rival Texas A&M 49-39 in Week 13. Texas failed to cover the 20.5-point spread, while the 88 points sailed OVER the posted total of 63.
McCoy completed 24-of-40 pass attempts for 302 yards for Texas, while Jordan Shipley and James Kirkendoll caught a pair of touchdown passes in that win.
Nebraska had a 14-point lead at halftime and held on for a 28-20 victory over Colorado in Week 13. Nebraska failed to cover the 10-point spread, but the 48 points made it OVER the posted total of 61.
Rex Burkhead ran for 101 yards with a touchdown to lead the way.
Current streak:
Texas has won 12 straight games.
Nebraska has won 5 straight games.
Team records:
Texas: 12-0 SU, 5-6-1 ATS
Nebraska: 9-3 SU, 8-4 ATS
Texas most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing within the conference are 10-0

Nebraska most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas’s last 5 games
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nebraska’s last 8 games
Nebraska is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Nebraska is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Texas
 

 

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 5th, 2009
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CBS Southeastern Conference Championship Game: Florida vs Alabama

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Courtesy of OddsShark.com
The Florida Gators and the Alabama Crimson Tide will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Georgia Dome.
Oddsmakers currently have the Gators listed as 6-point favorites versus the Crimson Tide, while the game’s total is sitting at 41.
Florida put on a show in Tim Tebow’s final game in Gainesville, taking down rival Florida State 37-10 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Week 13.
Florida covered as a 25.5-point home favorite while the final score played UNDER the 56-point total.
Greg McElroy threw for 217 yards with a pair of TD passes as Alabama beat Auburn 26-21 in Week 13. Alabama failed to cover the 12.5-point spread, and the 47 points went as a PUSH against the posted total of 47.
Trent Richardson ran for 50 yards with a touchdown for Alabama.
Current streak:
Florida has won 12 straight games.
Alabama has won 12 straight games.
Team records:
Florida: 12-0 SU, 5-5-1 ATS
Alabama: 12-0 SU, 7-5 ATS
Florida most recently:
When playing in December are 5-3
When playing on turf are 6-2
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When playing within the conference are 10-0

Alabama most recently:
When playing in December are 3-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida’s last 10 games
Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Alabama is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
 

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 5th, 2009
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ABC NCAA Football Odds: Arizona vs Southern California

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Courtesy of OddsShark.com
The Arizona Wildcats and the Southern Cal Trojans will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
Oddsmakers currently have the Trojans listed as 7-point favorites versus the Wildcats, while the game’s total is sitting at 50.
Alex Zendejas booted a 32-yard field goal with one second remaining to give Arizona a 20-17 win over rival Arizona State at Sun Devil Stadium in Week 13.
Arizona State covered as a 3.5-point home underdog while the final score played UNDER the 44-point total.
Allen Bradford ran for two second half touchdowns as USC defeated UCLA 28-7 in Week 13. USC covered the 13.5-point spread, while the 35 points went UNDER the posted total of 47.
Matt Barkley completed 18-of-26 for 206 yards to lead USC
Team records:
Arizona: 7-4 SU, 5-5 ATS
Southern Cal: 8-3 SU, 3-8 ATS
Arizona most recently:
When playing in December are 4-1
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Southern Cal most recently:
When playing in December are 5-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona’s last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Southern Cal is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
Southern Cal is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
Southern Cal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
 

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 5th, 2009
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ESPN2 NCAA Football Odds: Houston vs East Carolina

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Courtesy of OddsShark.com
The Houston Cougars and the East Carolina Pirates will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Cougars listed as 3-point favorites versus the Pirates, while the game’s total is sitting at 69.
Houston got up by 59 points at halftime as they ran over Rice 73-14 in Week 13. Houston covered the 30-pint spread, and the 87 points sailed OVER the posted total of 72.
Case Keenum threw for 323 yards with a pair of touchdowns, while rushing for another to lead Houston.
Dwayne Harris rushed for one touchdown as East Carolina beat Southern Miss 25-20 in Week 13.
The Pirates did not cover the 6.5-point spread, while the final score played UNDER the day’s posted total of 55.
Current streak:
Houston has won 2 straight games.
East Carolina has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Houston: 10-2 SU, 8-3 ATS
East Carolina: 8-4 SU, 5-6 ATS
Houston most recently:
When playing in December are 3-6
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 7-3

East Carolina most recently:
When playing in December are 4-4
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing East Carolina
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
East Carolina is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
East Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina’s last 5 games when playing Houston
East Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
 

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 5th, 2009
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ESPN NCAA Football Odds: West Virginia vs Rutgers

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Courtesy of OddsShark.com
 
The fans at Rutgers Stadium will be treated to a game between the West Virginia Mountaineers and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights when they take their seats on Saturday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Scarlet Knights listed as 2-point favorites versus the Mountaineers, while the game’s total is sitting at 45.
Tyler Bitancurt kicked a 43-yard field goal to lift West Virginia to a 19-16 win over Pittsburgh in Week 13. West Virginia won that game as a pick’em, and the teams played UNDER the posted total of 48.
Noel Devine led West Virginia with 136 yards off 18 carries with a TD.
Rutgers defeated Louisville 34-14 as a 3.5-point favorite in Week 13. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43).
Mohamed Sanu rushed for rushed for 143 yards and two touchdowns on 18 carries for the Scarlet Kinghts and Tom Savage passed for 163 yards with a touchdown pass and a TD run.
Team records:
West Virginia: 8-3 SU, 4-6 ATS
Rutgers: 8-3 SU, 5-4 ATS
West Virginia most recently:
When playing in December are 5-4
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Rutgers most recently:
When playing in December are 3-2
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Rutgers
West Virginia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia’s last 7 games
Rutgers is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Rutgers is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia
 

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 5th, 2009
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ABC NCAA Football Odds: Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Courtesy of OddsShark.com
The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Pittsburgh Panthers will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Heinz Field.
Oddsmakers currently have the Bearcats listed as 2-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game’s total is sitting at 58.
Cincinnati defeated Illinois 49-36 as an 18.5-point favorite in Week 13. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (59.5).
Tony Pike passed for 399 yards with six touchdown passes for Cincinnati and Ben Guidugli caught seven passes for 149 yards with two touchdowns in the win.
Pittsburgh was defeated 19-16 by West Virginia in Week 13 as a pick’em. The teams played UNDER the posted total of 48.
Jonathan Baldwin caught eight passes for 127 yards with a touchdown in the loss.
Current streak:
Cincinnati has won 11 straight games.
Team records:
Cincinnati: 11-0 SU, 5-5 ATS
Pittsburgh: 9-2 SU, 6-4 ATS
Cincinnati most recently:
When playing in December are 6-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 10-0

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games at home
 

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 5th, 2009
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Bobby Esposito, Paul Nolan, Eddie Roman Radio Touts Gametime Forecast

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Ah so I’m up early and I put on WJOX for any late breaking SEC Championship news.  It’s a handicapper’s sports picks infomercial with former Stu Feiner partner Bobby Esposito and somebody named Paul Nolan and Eddie Roman.

Gee whiz even Adam Myer, Jonathan Stone, and company give football information, but this was one long hard-sell sales pitch.

Well for the best college football handicapping picks from the top winners it’s the OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

 

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 5th, 2009
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Ohio and Under Part of a 5-0 Sweep From Top Handicapper in the World

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Central Michigan gets the MAC Championship, Ohio gets the cover, the game goes under and GodsTips clients go 5-0.  The Chippewas won 20-10 laying 14 points at BetUs Sportsbook

Here is what sharp players got Friday night:

Major…

Ohio-Central Michigan UNDER 53

First of all, the squares are beginning to come out of the woodwork. Sportsbooks have to adjust to gamblers who bet in December and March, while investing little the rest of the year. True it will be more prevalent bowl and NFL playoffs, but it has begun with the conference championships.

Gamblers immediately think MAC and air attacks. Yet with a pretty high total Ohio is below par on offense, but very good on defense. The Bobcats average 5.3 yards per play to teams normally getting 5.5. On defense they allow 4.0 yards per rush to 4.2, 6.1 passing yards per attempt to 6.5 and 4.9 yards per play to 5.3.

Yes CMU’s offense does fit into the MAC stereotype, but their defense allows just 3.6 yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.0, and 5.0 yards per play to 5.3.

Central Michigan quarterback Dan LeFevour is well known and helps bloat the total. This is his third MAC Championship game. The previous two had 41 and 45 total points scored.

OHIO +14 Central Michigan

Ohio is peaking at the right time as players who fit the Frank Solich system are gelling. You recruit it,” said Solich, who also recruited some of the top running backs at Nebraska. “That’s not really something you can teach at that level. Players either have that innate capability or they don’t. You can give them technique, but they have to be physical before you get them.”

Ohio has been competitive in all of their losses, their largest being at Tennessee by only 11. Yes the same Vols team that gave Florida all they could handle.

Oh and CMU is the fifth undefeated team in conference play to make it to the Championship Game. Two of the other four lost outright.

NBA

Wise Guy…

MEMPHIS +6 Dallas

NBA Western Conference Game of the Month

Memphis has actually been a pretty good team at home as the home team is 13-6 straight up in their contests. We also exploit that their stats are a little deceptive overall as only seven of their 19 games have been on their home court including just five of their last 17 games.

Memphis won both series meeting last year. They have been playing better lately, going 2-3 on a trip that ended Wednesday at Minnesota and included a win at Portland. Before that, they won three of four at. They are 6-4 since starting the season 1-8.

It’s an early statement game for the Grizz while Dallas is in a look ahead hosting rapidly improving Atlanta tomorrow.

Major…

TORONTO +4 Washington

Road teams off a ATS loss and a winning percentage of .250-.400 is 375-265.

New Jersey-Charlotte OVER 181

We do post the system as written and the database does count the system twice because in theory it applies to both teams. It is still statistically significant. When both teams are hitting less than 33 percent from three-point range, it has gone over 1126-870.

Yes the system is giving back a lot of the money it’s won over the years, but it still qualifies as statistically significant. We will monitor the progress.

Saturday’s card is even better especially to the college football point spreads. It was a 5-0 sweep Friday including Ohio and the under in football. It’s a recent 18-10 football run as Oregon State cashed the ticket Thursday.

Simply put, we are putting in as much if not more hours than we always have so we win more than anyone else. That’s what we’ve done since the scorephone days of a quarter century ago and will do for many years to come.

Which team has one of the most deceptive straight up records in America? It’s certainly not reflected on Saturday’s offline. Which underdog is a stunning 27-7 straight up against quarterbacks paying against their complicated defensive schemes for the first time? Hint, it’s a defense that has played their best when all 11 starters are healthy as they are today. Go 6-0 in college football betting. Click now to purchase

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 4th, 2009
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Wisconsin vs. Hawaii Line and Pick

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

The best sports handicappers bets are up for Saturday. Are you among the bettors who ditched Adam Meyer and other struggling handicappers faster than Kim Sears dumped Andy Murray? Join the winning picks of the best sports handicappers including Matt Rivers.

In fact that stud has a pick on Hawaii plus the points. They are getting 12.5 at Bet Online.  
 
Timmy Chang is long gone, Colt Brennan is long gone and June Jones is long gone. But you know what? Hawaii is playing the best ball of their season right now and even with quarterback Greg Alexander still out, which he has been for awhile, I don’t mind this spot with the home Rainbows plus such a solid number.
 
We all know how teams travel to the islands and basically take the week off. These are 18, 19 and 20 year old kids who are going to party on the beach. That is a bona fide fact. Plus this game is just not that big for Wisconsin as they are 8-3 and are not qualiying for a BCS bowl. Therefore 8-4 vs. 9-3 just means one step difference in what Bowl game they go to and all in all leads to very little motivation.
 
Bret Bielema is a solid coach who will do his part to get his guys motivated to come to play but it’s just not that easy. These kids will act like they care and then go out and surf the waves while sneaking alcohol. John Clay is a great running back and could come in drunk here and still rumble for 150 yards but I do not believe that Scott Tolzien is much better than average and the Hawaii players will load the box and make him have to throw the ball to Nick Toon and the mediocre receivers.
 
Greg McMackin is not a great coach at all but he has his guys peaking right now and ready to play their biggest game of the season against a Big Ten foe. In that last game UH upset Navy as the 10 or so point home dog and comes into this thing on a four game winning streak.
 
If this game was in Madison we could be looking at Clay chewing up 250 yards and a total burial in the neighborhood of 41-7. But things are a lot more difficult for the Badgers with all of the various factors involved in this game and I think they stumble a little in a subpar effort.
 
In the end this thing is going to be tight enough for a Hawaii cover.
 
27-24 Wisconsin is my pick.

For more information: The master of college football betting match-up is Rivers. Superstar Matt Rivers has so much insight on these games, it’s almost not fair. Just read the analysis and you will see why Matt Rivers was the winningest handicapper ever on a large network of handicapping sites before being promoted to The Show.

The top ranked, rated and winning handicapper on a large network of websites has a huge Saturday ledger. It’s starts at noon EST with the biggest best bet, 200K on West Virginia-Rutgers. Also get 100,000* Georgia Tech-Clemson, 50,000* Texas-Nebraska, 50,000* North Carolina-Kentucky. Click now to purchase

 

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 4th, 2009
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Don Best Football Schedule: Patriots-Dolphins Week 13 Spread

By JoeDuffy.net Administrator

As news breaks that the Philadelphia Flyers fire coach John Stevens, likely replacing him with Peter Laviolette, sportsbooks are bracing themselves for NFL point spread week 13.

Game 363-364 on the Don Best schedule has the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins. The Patriots are a modest 4-point chalk at the Dolphins. NFL futures still say New England is a Super Bowl contender.  BetUs Sportsbook has the total at 45.5.

For football spread picks consider Stevie Vincent. Rest assured for those bettors who only purchase Stevie Vincent when he has Level 5 plays, you are doing yourself a gross disservice. Flat out his Level 2, 3 and 4 plays always have and always will win at a much higher rate than Game of the Month or Game of the Year plays elsewhere.   

The founder of forensic sports handicapping, his picks are exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com   

  

categoriaUncategorized | commentoNo Comments dataDecember 4th, 2009
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