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Clinton Likely to Win Indiana Primary

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Hillary Clinton is heavily favorite to win the Indiana Democratic Primary. According to the Vegas political betting odds, or more accurately the offshore odds, Clinton is -600, while Barack Obama is +350.

When betting on elections, Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy says he always compares the betting odds to the consensus polls at RealClearPolitics.com. The RCP average has Clinton +5.0 percentage points, though Zogby Tracking has Obama up by two points.

This is a clear, well Real Clear, change from about a week ago when Obama held the three-point lead.

Clinton has been aided by his slow initial condemnation of the racist and anti-American rants of Obama’s former pastor Reverend Jeremiah Wright.

Obama is still expected to get the nomination as he is a prohibitive 4/13 favorite to be the Democratic candidate for the White House. Clinton is given a punchers chance at 4/1.

The General Election odds are tightening up. Arizona Senator John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee actually barely trails Obama. McCain is 5/4 compared to Obama at 6/5. Clinton is still given a chance at 4/1, oddly (so to speak) the same as her chances of being the nominee.


Posted by Mike Godsey on May 5, 2008 09:45 PM |

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