What to Expect For the Rest of February NCAA Betting
By Mike Godsey
Here is a sample crib sheet of news, notes, trends and
tendencies that
use.
Arizona
Nic Wise is
only true point guard and will likely not be back for the Pac-10 Tournament,
perhaps even the NCAA Tournament. This is a huge loss and the Wildcats will toil
against good pressure defenses. Those who best halftime lines, look for
to struggle late in games with no depth at point guard.
However, should Zona struggle as
expected then get Wise back earlier than anticipated, we will ride them,
knowing their game will return.
Oregon State
Okay, let’s explain our successful dichotomous spread team
theory again. We discount 98 percent of
trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. In short, if a
team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, you ride for
that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued.
has a rallying cry. They have used reports from an “unnamed coach” being quoted
as saying OSU quit on the season. They will be
getting a lot of points, in their remaining contests, in arguably the toughest
conference. Because they are a rare substandard team in the Pac-10, Beavers
bettors will benefit from sandwich games, letdown games, and look-ahead
contests. They should be a good spread time from here on out.
Carolina
It’s not likely
is going to sneak up on any team or oddsmaker. But
now they have several key injuries: star Ty Lawson
remains sidelined, Marcus Ginyard is playing wounded
on both feet, Deon Thompson is less than 100 percent and one of their best
bench players, Bobby Frasor is out for the year.
“Chemistry” is one buzzword we actually welcome and
subscribe to the theory. Keep in mind that the Tar Heels have already had three
overtime games in the ACC and three games decided by two or fewer points in
their first 10 conference games.
Yes, they have depth, but not only is that being tested
but
lineups often. While other teams are gelling this time of the year,
is making adjustments.
Be Leery of Betting on State
The Wildcats have been one of the great surprises in the
nation under first year coach Frank Martin. But they’ve gone from hunter to the
hunted. Also, they have their biggest tests coming up at home to
on Feb. 26 followed by a huge rematch against a
team they recently conquered. However, the rematch is at Allen
reached its peak.
The author, Joe Duffy, is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com.
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