Monday, March 26, 2007

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NBA

Memphis-Phoenix OVER 224.5

As much as we admittedly have to overcome a bias against betting high totals over (though the bias is based on facts), this game should have about 250 points scored. Memphis has had three straight games in which they both shot and allowed 50 percent or more shooting. In fact, Memphis has shot 50 percent or better in 5-of-8 and 46.2 percent or higher in seven of those eight.

Then there is the Suns. All they do is scored 110.1 points per game while giving up 103.1, but it’s rare they face a team in this much of a run and gun mode as Memphis has been in.

As bad as Memphis is, it’s so much easier to motivate them on offense than on defense. Considering Phoenix has lost 3-of-5 SU, we look for them to go nuts on the scoreboard.