Sunday, December 24, 2006

Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com,
Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com
and MasterLockLine.com are part of OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

NFL

Computer Trends

·       
Carolina
2-8 last 10 to NFC

·       
Atlanta
7-1 home to Carolina

·       
Tennessee
6-0 overall run

·       
Buffalo 10-4 ATS

·       
Buffalo
over 10-1 in December

·       
Houston
4-11 last 15 at home

·       
New Orleans
9-5 for the year

·       
Seattle
3-7 last 10 as underdog

·       
Tampa
1-6 last seven

·       
Washington
5-0 at St. Louis

Sunday, December 24,
2006

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NFL

CAROLINA +6.5 Atlanta

The oddsmakers are finally jumping off the Carolina
bandwagon. This was the same team that the media had going to the Super Bowl
earlier this year. Remember we’ve never
been a fan of the gunslinger attitude of Jake Delhomme, so his being out is
well overcompensated for.

The Panthers have the edge in most defensive categories
including total yards per game by 33.9.

Michael Vick, the Falcons underachieving quarterback is
fighting a groin injury. Sorry folks, Vick is pretty
much a sissy. This is a major injury for
a guy who a couple of years ago said he can’t come back from an injury until
he’s 100 percent.

I would not count on him when the chips are down Losers of 5-of-7
SU and with the fans on him, laying big points, thank you very much.

12-23-06

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Forensic ATS information on this game: Orlando under 10-0
opponent makes 6 or more 3 points shots, under 38-18 home v. teams w/ winning
record, under 19-7 all, Cleveland under 13-4 home scored and gave up 90 or less
last game, under 29-13 off consecutive losses,

Saturday, December 23, 2006

Here are news and notes from OffshoreInsiders.com
private clipboard. They are compiled from hometown newspapers
and the team’s own press releases.

NFL

Chiefs-Raiders

KCChiefs.com

Both of these former AFL foes are seeking to get back on
the winning track in this Saturday night contest. Kansas
City is attempting to snap a three-game losing streak
after suffering a 20-9 loss in a Sunday night contest at San
Diego (12/17). Meanwhile, Oakland
is currently mired in a seven-game losing streak after suffering a 20-0 setback
vs. St. Louis (12/17). Kansas
City will be attempting to win its eighth straight
contest against a Raiders franchise has never lost eight consecutive games to a
single opponent. Although the Chiefs have won seven straight contests against Oakland,
all of those games have all been decided by six points or less, with KC winning
by an average margin of just 4.7 points per game. Chiefs RB
Larry Johnson has scored the game-winning points with under two minutes
remaining in the fourth-quarter of the last two Chiefs-Raiders match-ups.

KC Star

KC John Welbourn and Dante Hall
returned to practice. Welbourn probably will start at
right tackle against the Raiders.

Sacramento Bee

Starting
quarterback Aaron Brooks sat out practice Thursday morning because of a sore
neck. Raiders coach Art Shell
characterized it as “a little stiff, so there’s some concern.” He listed the
quarterback’s status for Saturday’s game against the Kansas City Chiefs as “probable.”

CBB

East
Carolina-South Florida

Sporting News

Last year, South Florida (8-4) made its first bowl
appearance since starting the program from scratch a decade ago, losing 14-0 to
North Carolina State in the Meineke Car Care Bowl. East
Carolina (7-5) hasn’t been back to a bowl since a 64-61,
double-overtime loss to Marshall in
the 2001 GMAC Bowl—which remains the highest scoring bowl game in history. South
Florida grabbed its own measure of respect with a 24-19 upset of
No. 13 West Virginia in its regular-season finale. East Carolina
is 0-3 in Birmingham and has lost
all nine of its games played in the state of Alabama,
including two GMAC Bowl defeats. The Pirates also lost 17-12 earlier this
season at UAB after losing a late fumble inside the
5-yard line.

San Jose State-New Mexico

Observer Online

The Lobos (6-6) are seeking its first bowl victory in 45
years and are playing in their fourth bowl in the past five years. They started
the season with a 2-4 record, including a 17-6 loss to Div.
I-AA Portland State
in the season opener. San Jose State
is playing in its first bowl game since 1990, when they beat Central
Michigan 48-24 in the California Raisin Bowl. The Spartans are 4-3
all-time in bowls, although this is their first postseason appearance outside
the state of California. New
Mexico’s starting quarterback will either be senior
Chris Nelson or redshirt freshman Donovan Porterie.
Head coach Rocky Long said the quarterback who looks the best this week will
get the starting nod. Subbing for an injured Porterie,
Nelson started the final two regular-season games against BYU
and San Diego State;
he has started six times during the 2006 season. Porterie
is expected to be full strength after suffering a sprained left ankle in the
third quarter against TCU on Nov. 11. Porterie won his first three career starts between Oct. 14-28, all in come-from-behind fashion. It’s an
extremely young New Mexico team
that will take the field as just five seniors are definite starters, and that
includes kicker Kenny Byrd. Only nine seniors see significant playing time:
four on offense, four on defense and a kicker.

Utah-Tulsa

Examiner Enterprise

Although not riding the giddy momentum of last year’s
unexpected Conference USA
championship showing, Tulsa still brings
a highly-respectable 8-4 record into the game. The Utes, who hail from the
Mountain West Conference, finished at 7-5. Sizewise,
the teams match up almost dead even in the pit. Utah
averages nearly 300 pounds across its offensive line, going up against a Tulsa
defensive line which weighs out at approximately 293 pounds per man. Tulsa’s
offensive line is just a pound or two bigger per man than the Utes.Tulsa brings in a stronger rushing attack, which may
be the difference in the game.The Golden Hurricane
had rushed for 2,011 yards (167.6 yards per game), and are averaging 4.4 yards
per rush. Utah, on the other
hand, is averaging only 138.4 yards rushing per game. However, the Utes also
boast one of the nation’s best run defenses, allowing just 107.3 yards per
outing. If the Golden Hurricane can mount an effective rushing game against Utah,
it could open up the floodgate for Tulsa’s
passing attack. The Golden Hurricane were ranked 30^th in the nation
in passing, led by junior triggerman Paul Smith. Smith threw for 2,589 yards
while establishing an impressive 143.13 passer efficiency rating.

Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com,
Stevie Vincent’s BetOnSports360.com
and MasterLockLine.com are part of OffshoreInsiders.com Network.

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>>>LEVEL
3 PLAY is on Golden State/Orlando UNDER

Forensic ATS
information on this game: Orlando under 10-0 opponent makes 6 or more 3 point
shots per game, under 8-1 opponent forces less than 16 turnovers per game,
under 9-1 total in the 190s Golden State under 47-28 road off win as an
underdog, under 24-9 road after consecutive games as dog,

Thursday, December 21, 2006\

NON STOP WINNING
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NBA

DETROIT +3 Cleveland

We mentioned from the beginning that Cleveland
would be tough to get good value on. This is a top dichotomous ATS and SU
game. We discount 98 percent of trends,
but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. Explained in our articles
around the Net, basically if a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record
or visa versa, you ride for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams
are most under or overvalued.

They are 11-2 SU home, yet under .500 where it
counts. They are four games over .500
overall SU, but six games under in the wallet. Detroit
is 12-3 their last 15 SU. Cleveland
has lost two straight.

Thursday, December
21, 2006

Joe Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com,
which is offering a
premium version of the advanced news and notes, computer trends, weather
information and more for the entire bowl season. Much of the information is compiled from
hometown newspapers and the team’s own press releases. The entire bowl season
version of the OffshoreInsiders.com clipboard
is $69.

NFL

Vikings-Packers

Hendersonville News

Minnesota
will give Tarvaris Jackson his first NFL start on Thursday, turning the season
over to the untested quarterback from Division
I-AA Alabama State
after a series of inconsistent performances from Brad Johnson. Favre has made a
quarterback-record 255 consecutive starts, and he’s been at his best at home,
going 88-29 at Lambeau Field. Green Bay
is 40-5 under Favre at home when the game-time temperature is below 35 degrees
– temperatures are expected to be in the 30s with a chance for rain and snow
when Thursday’s game kicks off. After throwing 20 touchdown passes and a
career-worst 29 interceptions during a 4-12 season in 2005, the worst of Favre’s tenure, he’s bounced back this season to throw only
15 picks as the Packers have rebounded from a 1-4 start to join the NFC playoff
hunt. Green Bay and Minnesota
can still make the playoffs as a wild card, but both teams need help. They’re
one game behind the New York Giants and Atlanta Falcons, who at 7-7 are tied
for the NFC’s final wild-card spot.

CFB

BYU-Oregon

Pahrump Valley News

Stadium officials added 4,000 seats to the home of the UNLV Rebels to accommodate a huge contingent of fans who
back the No. 19-ranked Cougars, 10-2. About one-fourth of the fans at the game
(ESPN 5 p.m.) will be supporting Oregon,
7-5. BYU is led by quarterback John Beck, a 6-2,
216-pound senior who has completed 261 of 371 passes for 319.6 yards per game,
30 touchdowns, with only six interceptions. Both teams have respectable running
games, with Jonathan Stewart (5-11, 234 sophomore)
leading Oregon with 960 yards and
10 touchdowns on 176 rushes. Curtis Brown (6, 203, senior) paces BYU with 184 attempts, 890 yards and five
TDs. Jon Hartline (6-4,
238, senior) has 49 catches for 754 yards and 11 TDs
to lead the BYU receiving corps. Jaison
Williams (6-5, 243, sophomore) has 68 receptions for 984 yards and six
touchdowns. Dennis Dixon, a 6-4, 196 junior, is expected to start at
quarterback for Oregon. He is
187-for-302 with 184 yards per game passing. He’s thrown for 11 touchdowns, but
has tossed 12 interceptions.

BYU averages 36.7 ppg, while the
Ducks scored 31.2. Defensively, the Cougars have a huge edge, allowing only
15.2 ppg, compared to 25.6 for Oregon.

Press Notes

Since 1996, BYU has played in four bowl games. The Cougars are
currently riding a nine-game winning streak, good for
third longest in the nation (Ohio State and Boise State). BYU is coming off
one of the most exciting games in the programs’ history that saw the Cougars
come from behind to beat Utah on the last play of the game—a play that took
over 10 seconds before quarterback John Beck found Jonny
Harline alone in the end zone with no time on the
clock. Oregon started the season winning five of its first
six games, including a 34-33 victory over No. 15 Oklahoma. The Ducks, who were
ranked as high as 11^th in the nation this season and remained in the
top 25 for three months, finished their season 7-5 overall and 4-5 in league
play.

Salt
Lake Tribune

BYU hasn’t won a bowl game since
it beat Kansas State
19-15 in the Cotton Bowl on Jan. 1,
1997, to finish No. 5 in the national rankings. The Cougars have
dropped four straight postseason matchups since,
including last year’s 35-28 loss to California
here. Oregon is 0-3 in bowl games
since it downed Colorado 38-16 at
the Fiesta Bowl on Jan. 1, 2002.
Bellotti said losses to Oklahoma
(17-14) in the 2005 Holiday Bowl and Minnesota
(31-30) in the 2003 Sun Bowl came on last-second plays, while the 38-17 setback
to Wake Forest
in 2002 was a legitimate butt-kicking. “We
easily could have won two of those three,” he said. The Cougars can’t say that. They’ve lost the
last four bowl games by an average score of 31-17. Because of their bowl futility, the Ducks
insist this is an important game for them. They say they won’t be merely going
through the motions because they missed out on going to the Rose Bowl, which
takes the Pac-10 champion.

Wednesday, December
20, 2006

6-3 THIS WEEK, TWO WISE GUY NIGHT PLAYS

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NBA

INDIANA -6 Philadelphia

Among the many reasons we are truly the Industry Standard is that we don’t
blindly bet systems. Some we disregard
under the right circumstances, others we realize the reasons behind a system
working can apply, even if the pure parameters do not.

A five point or more road favorite of a SU loss as a dog
is more than a 60 percent play since 1983. For a team to be more than a
five-point road favorite, you are almost always talking about a superior team
against a greatly inferior. For that
superior team to have been a dog the previous game, they likely were playing
another top-notch team. So it says that
a superior team loses to another superior team and takes out their frustrations
on the inferior team.

Again, Indiana
lost as a 1.5 home favorite, but we believe the basic premise follows. The superior team has the motivation to run
weakened Philly into the ground. They
will.