MLD Wild Card Series Game 1 Odds; Series Prices Posted

The MLB Wild Card best-of-three series begin Friday, and we know that any team can get hot at the right time when it comes to baseball postseason. 

The Guardians-Rays series is close to a pick ’em in the eyes of the oddsmakers while the Mets are the heaviest favorite to advance to the Division Series. 

SportsBetting released lines for all four Game 1s, as well as the series odds today.

Wild Card Game 1 Odds                                                                                                                                            

Rays (McClanahan) at Guardians (Bieber)

Tampa Bay Rays +120

Guardians -130

Phillies (Wheeler) at Cardinals (Wainwright)

Philadelphia Phillies +110

St. Louis Cardinals -120

Mariners (Castillo) at Blue Jays (Manoah)                                                                                                                                                                                  

Seattle Mariners +130                                                                                                                                              

Toronto Blue Jays -140

Padres (Darvish) at Mets (deGrom)

San Diego Padres +180

New York Mets -200

Wild Card Series Odds                                                                                                                                          

Rays at Guardians

Tampa Bay Rays +110 

Cleveland Guardians -130 

Phillies at Cardinals

Philadelphia Phillies +135 

St. Louis Cardinals -155 

Mariners at Blue Jays                                                                                                                                                                                   

Seattle Mariners +135                                                                                                                                                 

Toronto Blue Jays -155

Padres at Mets

San Diego Padres +170

New York Mets -195

OffshoreInsiders.com is your home for all betting picks led by Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. 

Pro Betting Primer for College Football Week 5 Line Moves, Betting Trends

Saturday college football market report!

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Kent State, Liberty, East Carolina, Georgia, Bowling Green

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Georgia, Kent State, UL Monroe

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: UL Monroe, Troy, Navy

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Kent -7 to -12.5, Bowling Green -6 to -9.5, San Jose State +1 to -2.5

Bad weather:

Georgia State-Army 75% chance of rain 

Louisville-Boston College 56% chance of rain 

Texas State-James Madison 64% chance of rain 

Fresno State-UConn 62% chance of rain 

GA Tech-Pittsburgh 66% chance of rain 

Northern Illinois-Ball State winds 15 mph 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy.  Saturday Big 10 Game and Total of the Year among 12 bets for Saturday at OffshoreInsiders.com

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Critical Betting News and Notes College Football Oct 1

Sports betting notes for October 1 college football picks

🔥Revenge for Iowa as Michigan slaughtered them in Big Ten Championship 42-3

🔥Kansas State tries to avoid letdown after shocking Oklahoma 

🔥Purdue fighting numerous injuries 

🔥Teams off byes versus opponent that played last week: Oklahoma State, Fresno, Gardner Webb, Nebraska, UAB

🔥Kansas is 4-0 SU and ATS yet outgained in two of those wins

🔥South Alabama, Kansas both 4-0 ATS, covering by 18.3 and 17.5 points per game respectively

🔥0-4 ATS teams and how much they are failing to cover by Colorado State -20.5, Nebraska -18.4, Utah State -16.9

🔥Teams over 4-0 Bowling Green by 21.4 points per game, Ohio by 17.4

🔥Teams under all four Texas A&M -18.1 points per game, Virginia -17.9

🔥Texas A&M without star WR Ainias Smith

🔥WKU has scored at last 30 points in 18 straight games

💰💰💰Top expert pick:  Saturday Big 10 Game and Total of the Year among nine bets for Saturday. Four NFL up for Sunday! All from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com  

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Free Sports Pick South Carolina State vs. South Carolina

Free pick from the magical database of Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

CFB

South Carolina State-South Carolina UNDER 57

Team statistics relative to the cumulative average off all of college football and current total goes under a stunning 585-337-19. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 883-534-30. 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Normally $249, but sales have been embraced by you in the past, so here is another. Today, Bet it Trinity 5-day is yours for a stunningly low $209! I went 4-0 yesterday and my MLB angles are tearing the sportsbooks to shreads. No sane person disputes that Joe Duffy is the single greatest football handicapper ever. 7-2 lately NFL, get TNF side. Top MLB systems have never been hotter. Three MLB, one day, two night sides.

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Free College Football Week 5 Picks

Free winning college football picks from Joe Duffy, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper. Here are bonus winners for Saturday.

Free College Football Picks

ARMY -7.5 Georgia State

Army crushed Villanova 49-10, while Georgia State lost for the fourth straight time. Momentum angle is 550-413-29 and yes very much applies in tune-up games where the team was a large favorite and won in a blowout. 

WESTERN KENTUCKY -6 Troy

WKU just crushed Florida International 73-0, Momentum angle is 550-413-29 and yes very much applies in tune-up games where the team was a large favorite and won in a blowout. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found WKU covering at a rate 59 percent. 

Here are the best teams to bet on and against based on spread margin. 

Best spread teams this season:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
James Madison3-019
South Alabama 4-018.3
Kansas 4-017.5
MTSU3-114.8

 Worst spread teams or best to bet against:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Florida International0-3-22.3
Colorado State 0-4-20.5
Nebraska0-4-18.4
Utah State0-4-16.9

 Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Best over teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
North Carolina3-128.1
Bowling Green 4-021.4
Ohio4-017.4
West Virginia 3-115.9

Best under teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
Texas A&M0-4-18.1
Virginia0-4-17.9
Iowa1-3-15.8
Louisville1-3-14
GA Tech0-4-13.8

Best NFL Week 4 Picks, Week 5 College Football Bets

First wave is up from Joe Duffy. Thursday Night NFL sides, Friday Night CFB Total of the Year, Big 10 Game and Total of the Year among 12 bets already up for this week in football. Four NFL up for Sunday! Get the picks now 

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This is How Pros Bet NFL; How Was Your Day Without Joe Duffy’s Picks? Begin the Rest of Your Betting Life Now

I do not know the personnel as well as others. I’ve been gambling for about 40 years and a pro gambler and handicapper since 1988. It’s about advanced analytics. It’s why those of us who rely on artificial intelligence are better than everyone else. Do you have this kind of NextGen info when you bet? If not, your choice has consequences. Thanks for keeping the books in biz for us pros. Or begin the rest of your life at OffshoreInsiders.com with Joe Duffy’s Picks. 

NFL

Wise Guy

HOUSTON +2.5 Chicago

Road dogs in non-divisional games based on completion percentage and rushing yards per attempt are 59-16-1. Admittedly a coin flip in recent years, but as corroborating evidence, road teams off road loss are a good bet 346-296-18. Going against favorites who are almost always underdogs is 160-98-12. Houston is a weird 1-0-1 SU, losing on the road. Chicago is 1-1 SU, winning to San Francisco at home, implying Bears are the better team. But I have told you for decades straight up record is the most deceiving stat in sports. Home field is worth three points, yet Chicago, with the better record is laying less than that. When the overall and splits records both strongly imply the road team should be a much bigger dog, but are not, we weaponize that against them with a 106-67 record. 

ATLANTA +2 Seattle 

Road dogs in non-divisional games based on completion percentage and rushing yards per attempt are 59-16-1. Admittedly a coin flip in recent years, but as corroborating evidence, road teams off road loss are a good bet 346-296-18. Going against favorites who are almost always underdogs is 160-98-12.  When the overall and splits records both strongly imply the road team should be a much bigger dog, but are not, we weaponize that against them with a 106-67 record. Yes this is a pick. We cut and pasted the Houston example by accident, but the same system applies.

GREEN BAY +2 Tampa 

Betting on the more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 348-239-15. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total. Road teams winless on the road are 191-132 under specific situations that apply in this game. Fading teams in home opener in week 3 is 60-37. 

Major

PHILADELPHIA -6.5 Washington

If the home team has been better home than in the road, regression to the mean angle favors the road team 157-113-1. 

DETROIT +6 Minnesota 

If the home team has been better home than in the road, regression to the mean angle favors the road team 157-113-1. Betting on the more disappointing defense based on delta points allowed is 348-239-15. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total. 

Washington-Philadelphia UNDER 47

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1550-1217-61. It is okay in playoffs, but much better in regular season. 

Carolina-New Orleans UNDER 40.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1550-1217-61. It is okay in playoffs, but much better in regular season. 

LA Rams-Arizona UNDER 49 

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1550-1217-61. It is okay in playoffs, but much better in regular season. 

Atlanta-Seattle UNDER 42

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1550-1217-61. It is okay in playoffs, but much better in regular season.

NFL Picks, Week 3: Injuries, Weather, Line Moves, Market Betting Report

Week 3 NFL betting market report. 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Cincinnati, Baltimore, San Francisco. The normal away favorites infatuation. Buffalo OVER

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Atlanta, Cincinnati; Detroit OVER, LA Chargers UNDER  

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Denver -2.5 to +1, Cincinnati -4 to -6, NY Giants -3 to -1

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Jacksonville, Carolina, Houston; Washington UNDER 

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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NFL Betting Picks Intel:

NFL weather:

Jacksonville-Philadelphia 62% chance of rain

Buffalo-Baltimore 51% chance of rain 

NFL injuries:

Saints both Jameis Winston and Alvin Kamara will play

Chargers QB Justin Herbert game time decision, will likely take pain killers 

Broncos Jerry Jeudy, Patrick Surtain II probable 

Colts All-Pro LB Shaquille Leonards is out

Ravens get back J.K. Dobbins, plus Marlon Humphrey, Marcus Peters are probable 

Cardinals RB James Cooper questionable to probable 

Packers WR Randall “Tex” Cobb is probable 

Bucs WR Julio Jones doubtful 

College Football Betting: Week 4 Market Report

Saturday market report for bettors! 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Utah, ODU, Michigan; Vanderbilt OVER 

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Eastern Michigan, TCU, GA Southern, WKU; MTSU OVER, FIU OVER, Purdue UNDER 

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Minnesota +2 to -3, WKU -27.5 to -31.5, SMU -1 to +2.5, UNC +1 to -2.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Rice; BYU UNDER, Oregon State UNDER, Oklahoma UNDER  

🖥Duffy 3-2 this week led by Thursday Night Total of Year. 10 CFB winners led by 5 Wise Guys, the strongest bet in gambling hands down at OffshoreInsiders.com

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

Betting inside info

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Locked and loaded menu for Saturday, September 24, 2022

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The top contrarian handicapper in history is a veteran out of Las Vegas. He is the only handicapper Top 15 all-time in every sport: MLB plus college and pro basketball and football and easily #1 last four years in both football overall and college football in winning percentage. Three contrarian bets to improve on 77 percent run the last four years!

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Familiar capper is #1 in NCAAF this season. Service out of San Diego is the No. 1 handicapper west of Mississippi, which includes every Las Vegas based handicapper. Two bets rated Game of the Week or higher, one agrees with contrarian, the SEC Game of the Year in fact

Long-time winning service is #1 in football last three years combined and #1 so far this season in college and NFL, including preseason. Bet the Ranch plays are their highest rated. Four Bet the Ranch NCAAF, two totals, two sides

SQL expert has skyrocketed to #1 overall capper, all sports combined for 2022 and #1 in MLB. Top football bet this season thus far. All this on MasterLockLine at OffshoreInsiders.com

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NFL Picks ATS Week 3, News and Pro Gambler Notes

Sunday, NFL week 3 betting notes from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has nine NFL winners led by three Wise Guys with great intel like in this video, aided by advanced. Find out what the pros know and you need to know from OffshoreInsiders.com CEO and top NFL bettor. 

Week 3 NFL Betting Picks 

🔥Chargers QB Justin Herbert is questionable. Chase Daniel is the backup 

🔥Also for Bolts WR Keenan Allen questionable, CB J.C. Jackson and center Corey Linsley are doubtful 

🔥Saints list QB Jameis Winston and RB Alvin Kamara as questionable 

🔥Niners TE George Kittle will make season debut

🔥Colts get top WR Michael Pittman back but star linebacker Shaquille Leonard reminds out

🔥Chiefs extended break as they played previous week on Thursday, face Colts off shutout loss to lowly Jaguars

🔥Arizona has scored just seven points in the first half

🔥Atlanta is on an extended road trip, having stayed out west after loss to Rams 

🔥Seahawks minus safety Jamal Adams

🔥Many believe Niners are a better team with Jim Garoppolo as QB than with Trey Lance, who is out for the year

🔥Denver has just 16 points combined and minus star safety Justin Simmons 

🔥Home teams off getting shutout as favorite 2-7 SU and ATS since 1998 (fade Indianapolis)

🔥Teams hitting road off blowing 21 point or more lead in a loss are 16-6 ATS (favors Ravens)

🔥Patriots home opener

🔥Saints play first outdoor game of season

🔥Winless teams with at least two losses laying at least -5.5 are 30-17 ATS (Bengals), 3-1 in rare road games

🔥Atlanta 0-2 SU, but 2-0 ATS

🔥Seattle one TD last six quarters 

🔥Buffalo 2-0 ATS by average 21.5 points per game 

🔥Colts 0-2 ATS, missing by average of -17 points per game, Titans 0-2 by -15.3

🔥Lions over both by 19.5 points per game 

🔥Tampa under both by -20.5, Vikings too by -17.5

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NFL Odds Week 3, Betting Preview Steelers-Browns

Sports gambling notes for Thursday, Sept 22

Steelers vs. Browns TNF Betting Info

Pittsburgh-Cleveland (-4.5, 38.5)

🏈Opened Cleveland -2.5, 40.5

🏈Side: Pittsburgh with 76% of bets, 75% of money

🏈OU: 52% bets, 87% of money on under

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

NFL

🔥Browns edge rushers Jadeveon Clowney and Chase Winovich are out. Myles Garrett has been upgraded to probable

🔥Steelers without TJ Watt

🔥Steelers 3-8-1 ATS after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game

🔥Cleveland 21-48-1 off loss

🔥Pittsburgh under 44-18 road

🔥Cleveland under 6-1 Thursdays

 NCAAF

🔥VA Tech 1-11 off win

🔥WVU under 53-26 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game

💰💰💰Top expert pick from Joe Duffy. Thursday Night College Football Total of the Year plus NFL side and total on Pittsburgh-Cleveland.

Huge weekend up too at OffshoreInsiders.com

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Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.